Distal and Proximal Factors in Domestic Violence: A Test of an Integrated Model

We employed 4,095 couples from both waves of the National Survey of Families and Households (NSFH) to test a model of couple violence drawn from several theoretical perspectives. The outcome distinguishes among nonviolent couples and those experiencing either physical aggression or intense male violence. According to the model, background characteristics of couples are related to relationship stressors, which affect the risk of violence via their tendency to promote verbal conflict. Considerable support for the model was found. Couples were at higher risk for one or both forms of violence if they were younger at union inception, had been together for less time, were both in their first union, had only one partner who was employed, had a nontraditional woman paired with a traditional man, had at least one partner who abused substances, had more children, had more frequent disagreements, exhibited a more hostile disagreement style, or lived in an economically disadvantaged neighborhood. Moreover, the effects of stressors such as the number of children and couples' employment status disparities appear to be mediated by disagreement frequency and disagreement style.     

当前我国区域经济发展差距

随着改革开放的不断深入 ,我国区域经济发展的差距日益拉大 ,已经成为社会广泛关注的热点问题。从缩小我国区域经济发展差距的必要性入手 ,分析了我国区域经济发展差距的产生原因 ,并就新形势下如何尽快缩小我国区域经济差距问题 ,提出了看法     

客户关系管理是一种竞争战略

客户关系管理是当今企业管理研究的热点之一,但理论界对客户关系管理的定义、界定、体系框架一直处于热烈的争论与探讨之中。正确界定客户关系管理的定义意义重大,用战略管理方法研究客户关系管理战略。通过战略管理可以降低企业CRM系统实施的失败率。     

Economic Determinants of Net International Migration in Western Europe

This paper aims to estimate theinfluence of economic determinants on netinternational migration in Western Europe inthe period 1960–1998. Net migration rates(i.e., population growth minus natural increase,divided by the midyear population) constitutethe dependent variable. The economicdeterminants used in this study are GDP percapita, unemployment, and average educationallevel (amount of human capital) of thepopulation. Time series regression models havebeen used in country-specific analyses. Inaddition, a pooled cross-sectional time seriesanalysis has been made. The analyses suggestthat GDP per capita has a positive effect andunemployment a negative effect on a country'snet international migration.     

经济预测中的Monte Carlo模拟及方差控制——以国际石油价格预测为例

从MDnte Carlo模拟的实现过程入手，首先通过对Monte Carlo方法原理的阐述来介绍该种方法。进一步结合具体的实例通过计算机进行模拟来解释Monte Carlo方法的具体实现过程。重点讨论在选择合理的数据生成过程的前提下，如何在Monte Carlo方法中减少模拟方差，从而提高估计精度，更好地应用这种方法来进行经济预测。     

政府公共支出与中国经济增长——基于VAR方法的研究

基于协整理论和向量误差修正模型,考察了政府公共支出对中国经济增长的长期影响及二者之间的互动关系.研究发现:(1)多项公共支出变量为非平稳的二阶单整并与总产出及全社会固定资本形成额等经济变量存在长期均衡关系;(2)非生产性支出与经济增长正相关,生产性支出、政府机构支出与经济增长负相关;(3)非生产性支出是经济增长的长期原因,而经济增长只是政府机构支出增加的长期原因.经济增长反方向促进非生产性支出和生产性支出增加在统计学上并不显著.     

FDI、要素成本与东道国产业发展

论题拓展了James R Markusen（1997）的基本模型，重点纳入外商直接投资进入东道国对其要素市场的影响，分析了FDI与东道国产业的关联效应以及在要素市场的竞争效应对东道国产业发展的影响。外商直接投资将通过关联效应和要素市场的竞争对东道国产业发展产生一个动态二阶段影响过程：在初始阶段外商直接投资的进入将引导东道国发展最终消费品产业，从而促进产业结构变动；但在东道国产业发展到一定阶段后外商直接投资与东道国产业在要素市场的竞争加剧将阻碍东道国产业发展。     

有机构成调整下劳动就业问题的思考

资本有机构成理论是马克思分析资本积累三大历史趋势的首要内容,深刻认识资本有机构成的内涵,特别是深刻认识有机构成发展趋势的内涵,对于调整社会产业结构、经济结构以及就业结构;对于充分认识经济形势变化形成劳动就业给社会带来的压力,进行事前引导和调整;在理论和实践上都将有着重大影响和深刻的指导意义。     

从人力资本与经济的发展关系看贵州教育

经济的跨越式发展与人力资本的发展相关,成功的经济追赶是人力资本追赶的结果,且人力资本的积累与教育的发展密切相关,教育的快速发展取决于教育制度的创新,贵州教育的发展特别是高等教育的发展必须加大投入,解放思想,用新的思路实现贵州教育的发展目标。     

增加农民收入:经济与社会发展的稳定器

增加农民收入是关系到经济与社会发展的一个全局性的问题。本文着重分析了农民收入与经济社会发展的相互关系及影响农民收入增长的主要因素 ,提出了让农民变市民、免除农业税、调整农业产业结构、提高农民创收能力、增加农业投入及对农业实行必要的扶持和保护措施等办法来促进农民收入的增长