先验还原与现象学的世界问题

胡塞尔的先验现象学从怀疑论所揭示的自然认识的超越之谜入思,遵循直观明见性的原则,以向原初的经验视域回溯的最终奠基观念为引导,论证了先验还原的必然性。借此,通过先验还原的具体实行,开启了先验经验的研究领域。最终,在经验的视域结构的揭示中,凸显出现象学的世界问题性。     

论刑事证据的法律分类

本文对刑事证据的“种类”、“分类”之称谓进行辨析,认为两者实质含义一致,进而提出采 用“法律上的分类”与“理论上的分类”的观点。作者立足我国刑事证据的立法分类,分析其规定不足, 建议重新分类,特别指出刑事证据分类应注视一、二审的转化问题和与今后将建立的证据规则相衔接 问题。     

The probabilistic analysis of testimony

The probabilistic analysis of testimony is surveyed. The coverage is not comprehensive; attention is focused on several problems of particular interest or complexity. The theory often contains implicit assumptions, and some attempt is made to clarify the role these play. The theory originally arose in an attempt to understand the logic of belief. It was not empirically grounded, however, and later died out in the 19th century when its conclusions became largely self-evident, and its non-empirical background suspect.     

从适用到规范——论民事诉讼中的“策略取证”

民事诉讼中"陷阱取证"这一概念存在较大争议,用"策略取证"将其替代,并对"策略取证"进行严格界定,通过对其源起、概念、可行性及价值诉求作详细的探究,为此概念及相关制度顺利移植到民事诉讼中创造了条件.     

Choice of Parametric Accelerated Life and Proportional Hazards Models for Survival Data: Asymptotic Results

We discuss the impact of misspecifying fully parametric proportional hazards and accelerated life models. For the uncensored case, misspecified accelerated life models give asymptotically unbiased estimates of covariate effect, but the shape and scale parameters depend on the misspecification. The covariate, shape and scale parameters differ in the censored case. Parametric proportional hazards models do not have a sound justification for general use: estimates from misspecified models can be very biased, and misleading results for the shape of the hazard function can arise. Misspecified survival functions are more biased at the extremes than the centre. Asymptotic and first order results are compared. If a model is misspecified, the size of Wald tests will be underestimated. Use of the sandwich estimator of standard error gives tests of the correct size, but misspecification leads to a loss of power. Accelerated life models are more robust to misspecification because of their log-linear form. In preliminary data analysis, practitioners should investigate proportional hazards and accelerated life models; software is readily available for several such models.     

群体归因偏差及矫正策略

转型期社会群体对于社会认知和人的发展的归因偏差主要表现在过度归因于体制和政策、社会认识偏差、人情认知偏差、社会浮躁心态与社会牢骚等方面。因此,应通过克服归因从众心理,克服群体归因极化模式,提高元认知水平和强化自我控制等对策,使个体与群体都能得到良好的发展,更好地促进社会发展。     

刑事诉讼法违法证据排除法则的分析

通过对违法证据排除法则的概念、英美法律中该法则发展状况的分析和论证,提出我国刑事诉讼法也应适用该规则,并应采用既注重内容、又兼顾形式的“部分排除”原则。     

On sources and narratives in historical social science: a realist critique of positivist and postmodernist epistemologies

Critics of the interdisciplinary enterprise of historical sociology commonly contend that the narrational accounts of past social phenomena provided by historians are inadequate to the task of theory-building and testing. In support of this negative assessment, opponents will adduce informational deficiencies in the available data (the standard positivist appraisal of historical evidence), or cite the interpretive anarchy that seemingly prevails at the narrative phase of emplotment (the skeptical, postmodernist contention that historiographic texts 'construct' rather than veridically represent the events they artfully contrive to signify). Both of these lines of criticism are unbalanced, and therefore seriously misleading as regards the epistemic foundations of historical-sociological inquiry. The 'social authenticity' and 'informational density' of historical evidence does allow for veridical reconstructions of the past, while the reflexive interpretive protocols of source criticism and the sociology of knowledge can be deployed to provide warrant for discriminating arbitrations between competing theories and narratives. The various epistemological deformations in the study of human affairs that have been encouraged by the old idiographic-nomothetic polarity - chronic ahistoricism within the social sciences, the atheoretical predilections of much conventional historiography - are rectifiable through the consolidation of a fully integrated sociological history, a unified and inclusive historical social science.     

论科学证据的两种概率解释

在科学证据研究中,存在＂正相关＂和＂高概率＂两种科学证据的概率定义。从这两个定义出发,能够比较清晰直观地解释科学证据的许多相关问题,如科学证据中的＂比较级＂和＂可接受性＂等。然而,两个定义自身存在着不可忽视的缺陷：＂正相关＂不是证据的充要条件,＂高概率＂也不足以使证据之为证据。     

Merging data from multiple sources: pretest and shrinkage perspectives

In this article, we have developed asymptotic theory for the simultaneous estimation of the k means of arbitrary populations under the common mean hypothesis and further assuming that corresponding population variances are unknown and unequal. The unrestricted estimator, the Graybill-Deal-type restricted estimator, the preliminary test, and the Stein-type shrinkage estimators are suggested. A large sample test statistic is also proposed as a pretest for testing the common mean hypothesis. Under the sequence of local alternatives and squared error loss, we have compared the asymptotic properties of the estimators by means of asymptotic distributional quadratic bias and risk. Comprehensive Monte-Carlo simulation experiments were conducted to study the relative risk performance of the estimators with reference to the unrestricted estimator in finite samples. Two real-data examples are also furnished to illustrate the application of the suggested estimation strategies.