Binary probability maps using a hidden conditional autoregressive Gaussian process with an application to Finnish common toad data

The Finnish common toad data of Heikkinen and Hogmander are reanalysed using an alternative fully Bayesian model that does not require a pseudolikelihood approximation and an alternative prior distribution for the true presence or absence status of toads in each 10 km×10 km square. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are used to obtain posterior probability estimates of the square-specific presences of the common toad and these are presented as a map. The results are different from those of Heikkinen and Hogmander and we offer an explanation in terms of the prior used for square-specific presence of the toads. We suggest that our approach is more faithful to the data and avoids unnecessary confounding of effects. We demonstrate how to extend our model efficiently with square-specific covariates and illustrate this by introducing deterministic spatial changes.     

Asymptotic Bias in Parameter Estimation of AR-Processes Using Recursive Least Squares with Exponential Forgetting

The recursive least squares technique is often extended with exponential forgetting as a tool for parameter estimation in time-varying systems. The distribution of the resulting parameter estimates is, however, unknown when the forgetting factor is less than one. In this paper an approximative expression for bias of the recursively obtained parameter estimates in a time-invariant AR( n_a ) process with arbitrary noise is given, showing that the bias is non-zero and giving bounds on the approximation errors. Simulations confirm the approximation expressions.     

Bayes linear analysis for graphical models: The geometric approach to local computation and interpretive graphics

This paper concerns the geometric treatment of graphical models using Bayes linear methods. We introduce Bayes linear separation as a second order generalised conditional independence relation, and Bayes linear graphical models are constructed using this property. A system of interpretive and diagnostic shadings are given, which summarise the analysis over the associated moral graph. Principles of local computation are outlined for the graphical models, and an algorithm for implementing such computation over the junction tree is described. The approach is illustrated with two examples. The first concerns sales forecasting using a multivariate dynamic linear model. The second concerns inference for the error variance matrices of the model for sales, and illustrates the generality of our geometric approach by treating the matrices directly as random objects. The examples are implemented using a freely available set of object-oriented programming tools for Bayes linear local computation and graphical diagnostic display.     

脉宽调制型DC—DC变换器的线性描述函数分析法

介绍了一种分析开关变换器的新方法－线性描述函数法的理论证明及实验结果,这种方法具有精确度高的优点。     

DNA芯片技术

DNA芯片可用于核酸序列的测定及基因突变检测等,这里对DNA芯片的制作、作用原理、性能及用途等进行了综述。     

A two phases queueing system with Bernoulli vacation schedule under multiple vacation policy

This paper deals with a single server Poisson arrival queue with two phases of heterogeneous service along with a Bernoulli schedule vacation model, where after two successive phases service the server either goes for a vacation with probability p (0≤p≤1) or may continue to serve the next unit, if any, with probability q(=1−p). Further the concept of multiple vacation policy is also introduced here. We obtained the queue size distributions at a departure epoch and at a random epoch, Laplace Stieltjes Transform of the waiting time distribution and busy period distribution along with some mean performance measures. Finally we discuss some statistical inference related issues.     

草地早熟禾主要经济性状间的灰色关联分析

应用灰色关联分析方法研究了坪用草地早熟禾地上生物量、生殖枝数、生殖枝高、穗长、穗粒数、结实率等6个主要经济性状与种子产量以及各性状之间的关联程度。结果表明,各性状与种子产量之间的关联度大小依次为单位面积生殖枝数＞单位面积地上生物量＞生殖技高＞穗长＞结实率＞穗粒数。地上生物量对生殖校高、生殖枝数和穗长的影响较大。     

鲇鱼(Silurus asotus)产卵类型的研究

本文侧重研究了站鱼个体生殖力及产卵类型。结果表明：雌性个体1冬龄达性成熟,性腺一次成熟,卵子分批产出,产卵期是6—8月份,性成熟系数在7月份达高峰,8月份是产卵盛期,在产卵前的卵巢切片只发现有第4时相和第5时相卵母细胞,确定产卵类型为一次产卵。     

计算机辅助教学课件的应用分析

计算机辅助教学逐渐走进了课堂,选择适宜的教学软件是提高教学效果关键。本文简明扼要的阐述了计算机课件在教学活动中应遵循的基本原则,并对计算机辅助教学课件在教学活动中的地位和作用进行了客观分析和评价,为提高计算机计算机辅助教学课件的教学效果提供参考。     

PSS码词组输入法及教学实践

本文介绍了PSS码（拼音、声调、首笔码）汉字输入法的词组编码及输入方法,并总结了PSS码作为一门选修课的教学效果。