A methodological strategy for a one-number census in the UK

As a result of lessons learnt from the 1991 census, a research programme was set up to seek improvements in census methodology. Underenumeration has been placed top of the agenda in this programme, and every effort is being made to achieve as high a coverage as possible in the 2001 census. In recognition, however, that 100% coverage will never be achieved, the one-number census (ONC) project was established to measure the degree of underenumeration in the 2001 census and, if possible, to adjust fully the outputs from the census for that undercount. A key component of this adjustment process is a census coverage survey (CCS). This paper presents an overview of the ONC project, focusing on the design and analysis methodology for the CCS. It also presents results that allow the reader to evaluate the robustness of this methodology.     

水力发电企业整体效益评价及实例

针对水力发电企业的整体经济效益难以进行评价的问题,提出了以灰色关联度技术为支撑,选择数量模型评价方法,应用层次分析法的有关技术和思想,建立起具有可操作性的评价模型及评价体系。     

聚焦中国英语课堂:影响学生参与讨论的因素—— 一次采用定性分析法进行本土化研究的尝试

通过课堂观察及课后的学生采访,本文采用定性研究法考察了决定英语课堂上中国学生讨论情况的因素。　　本文的主要发现是：（１） 中国文化推崇的谦虚美德明显地妨碍了学生们抒发己见;（２） 学生推理能力和英语表达能力之间的鸿沟是引起表达焦虑的主要原因;（３） 教师的角色左右学生讨论中表现。基于上述发现,本文认为,课堂学习由民族性格、教育体制、口语习得心理以及教师角色所决定。因此建议,今后要注意研究课堂学习和其他影响因素之间的关系     

《世界经济地理》教材编写体系研究

本文从理论上探讨世界经济地理研究的依据和体系,指出现行教材编写存在的问题,提出编写的新建议。认为世界经济地理侧重研究经济区→经济地域→经济地域系统及其运动规律,认为存在世界和国家级区域级别差异。为此,本文认为教材编写时要强调条件要素要与经济地域和经济地域系统形成发展过程一起进行论述,要突出研究对象的等级层次关系,突出城市或城市群的地位与作用,并要加强国家经济国际化进程对经济地域形成发展的影响作用。     

网上CAI

用好现代先进技术,开展网络建设,是教育信息化的第一步。本文基于这一思想,介绍了网上CAI的设计思路,描述了该系统的功能,以及实现系统所采用的技术措施。     

用跳马步系列研究奇素数阶规则完美幻方的个数

本文先介绍跳马步系列的有关概念及性质,然后用跳马步系列研究奇素数阶规则完美幻 方的个数。     

On Non-parametric Estimation of the Survival Function with Competing Risks

The non-parametric maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) are derived for survival functions associated with individual risks or system components in a reliability framework. Lifetimes are observed for systems that contain one or more of those components. Analogous to a competing risks model, the system is assumed to fail upon the first instance of any component failure; i.e. the system is configured in series. For any given risk or component type, the asymptotic distribution is shown to depend explicitly on the unknown survival function of the other risks, as well as the censoring distribution. Survival functions with increasing failure rate are investigated as a special case. The order restricted MLE is shown to be consistent under mild assumptions of the underlying component lifetime distributions.     

Further results for parallel systems with two heterogeneous exponential components

In this paper, we investigate ordering properties of lifetimes of parallel systems with two independent heterogeneous exponential components with respect to likelihood ratio and hazard rate orders. Two sufficient conditions are provided for likelihood ratio and hazard rate orders to hold between the lifetimes of two parallel systems, respectively. Moreover, we extend the results from exponential case to the proportional hazard rate models. The results established here strength some of the results known in the literature. Finally, some numerical examples are given to illustrate the theoretical results derived here as well.     

Semiparametric estimation of plane similarities: application to fast computation of aeronautic loads

In the big data era, it is often needed to resolve the problem of parsimonious data representation. In this paper, the data under study are curves and the sparse representation is based on a semiparametric model. Indeed, we propose an original registration model for noisy curves. The model is built transforming an unknown function by plane similarities. We develop a statistical method that allows to estimate the parameters characterizing the plane similarities. The properties of the statistical procedure are studied. We show the convergence and the asymptotic normality of the estimators. Numerical simulations and a real-life aeronautic example illustrate and demonstrate the strength of our methodology.     

On the use of curve fitting to model the error of the Cornish-Fisher expansion of the pearson type-VI distribution

The Cornish-Fisher expansion of the Pearson type VI distribution is known to be reasonably accurate when both degrees of freedom are relatively large (say greater than or equal to 5). However, when either or both degrees of freedom are less than 5, the accuracy of the computed percentage point begins to suffer; in some cases severely. To correct for this, the error surface in the degrees of freedom plane is modeled by least squares curve fitting for selected levels of tail probability (.025, .05, and .10) which can be used to adjust the percentage point obtained from the usual Cornish-Fisher expansion. This adjustment procedure produces a computing algorithm that computes percentage points of the Pearson type VI distribution at the above probability levels, accurate to at least + 1 in 3 digits in approximately 11 milliseconds per subroutine call on an IBM 370/145. This adjusted routine is valid for both degrees of freedom greater than or equal to 1.