单相流体在锅炉并联管组中流量分配规律研究

本文首先对单相流体在并联管组中流量分配研究的重要性作了论述，综合评述了国内外在单相流体流量分配方面的研究工作，在此基础上，结合我国大容量锅炉的运行现状，提出了进一步研究流量分配问题的意见．     

Sample Size and Power Calculation in Comparing Diagnostic Accuracy of Biomarkers with Pooled Assessments

When testing of a biomarker is costly, pooling of samples becomes a useful and efficient alternative (Faraggi et al., 2003). In this paper, we develop procedures for sample size and power calculations for planning a study comparing the accuracy of biomarkers in diagnosis of diseases with pooled samples. Explicit formulas are derived for several important pooling strategies. The effects of pooling samples on sample size and power of the test are also discussed.     

西方贸易与环境理论的演化及新发展

20世纪70年代以来,贸易与环境问题就开始成为国际关注的问题,贸易自由主义者和环境保护主义者就此从未停止过争论。文章主要对其争论的主要领域进行了总结,对自由贸易和环境保护之间的关系进行了评述,希望能对我国更好地开展自由贸易提供一些借鉴。     

水平微管内水的流动沸腾压降特性实验研究

以水为工质,对内径为0.399 mm水平布置的不锈钢微管内的流动沸腾压降进行了实验研究.实验条件:进口温度分别为30℃、60℃、75℃,流量范围79.62~238.85 kg/(m2.s),有效加热热流密度27.8~91 kW/m2.实验结果表明,在实验范围内两相摩擦压降修正因子与流量变化的关系不大,而与进口温度的大小存在较为密切的关系.因此,结合无量纲进口温度参数建立了新的微管内水流动沸腾的压降关联式,其预测实验结果的误差在12.2%以内.     

生产和销售环节的货币时间价值管理

运用现金流量成本系统和工作小组系统，针对传统的生产和销售控制系统往往忽略货币的时间价值的问题进行研究。探讨了两种方法的作用及如何利用其对现金流出收回过程进行计划与控制，分析和比较了两种方法各自的优点和局限性。     

微型燃气轮机冷热电联供系统的热经济性分析

通过划分我校能源岛系统的子系统图，计算了各股能流的热力学参数和火用值，并进行了热力性能计算及结果分析．在此基础上求取各子系统的燃料炯和产品炯单价及其经济系数，对结果进行了热经济分析，指出了系统的不足之处，并提出了改进意见．     

The assessment of tumour response to treatment

Summary.  A parsimonious model for treated tumours is developed as a continuation of our previous work on regrowth curve theory. The statistical model belongs to the family of marginal non-linear models since the only linear parameters of the model are tumour specific and random facilitating parameter estimation. An important feature of the model is that it enables the estimation of the fraction of cancer cells surviving the treatment in vivo having easy-to-obtain longitudinal measurements of tumour volume. We compare several methods of estimation, including Lindstrom–Bates, iterated reweighted least squares and maximum likelihood. The last two methods are computed via the total estimating equations approach and variance least squares. The theory is illustrated with a photodynamic tumour therapy example.     

Acceptance sampling based on truncated life tests for generalized Rayleigh distribution

This paper considers the problem of an acceptance sampling plan for a truncated life test when the lifetime follows the generalized Rayleigh distribution. For different acceptance numbers, confidence levels, and values of the ratio of the fixed experiment time to the specified mean life, the minimum sample sizes necessary to ensure the specified mean life are found. The operating characteristic values of the sampling plans and producer's risk are discussed. Some tables are presented and the use of the tables is illustrated by a numerical example.     

Objective Testing Procedures in Linear Models: Calibration of the p-values

Abstract.  An optimal Bayesian decision procedure for testing hypothesis in normal linear models based on intrinsic model posterior probabilities is considered. It is proven that these posterior probabilities are simple functions of the classical F -statistic, thus the evaluation of the procedure can be carried out analytically through the frequentist analysis of the posterior probability of the null. An asymptotic analysis proves that, under mild conditions on the design matrix, the procedure is consistent. For any testing hypothesis it is also seen that there is a one-to-one mapping – which we call calibration curve – between the posterior probability of the null hypothesis and the classical bi p -value. This curve adds substantial knowledge about the possible discrepancies between the Bayesian and the p -value measures of evidence for testing hypothesis. It permits a better understanding of the serious difficulties that are encountered in linear models for interpreting the p -values. A specific illustration of the variable selection problem is given.     

科学决策研究——效用理论与房地产项目决策实例分析

房地产项目开发中决策缺乏科学性操作,给项目造成潜在风险。科学决策的规范运用使项目风险降低,成功概率大大提升。效用理论作为科学决策的重要基本理论,在决策领域发挥着重要作用。采用历史观的方法,对效用理论的创立、发展及改进进行了研究。通过对现代效用理论在房地产中基本应用的探讨,建立项目决策的效用公式,并进行了效用决策的实例分析。