Asking about the future: methodological insights from energy biographies

Temporality is fundamental to qualitative longitudinal (QLL) research, inherent in the design of returning to participants over time, often to explore moments of change. Previous research has indicated that talking about the future can be difficult, yet there has been insufficient discussion of methodological developments to address these challenges. This paper presents insights from the Energy Biographies project, which has taken a QLL and multimodal approach to investigating how everyday energy use can be understood in relation to biographical pasts and imagined futures. In particular, we detail innovative techniques developed within the project (e.g. SMS photograph activities) to elicit data on anticipated futures, in ways that engender thinking about participants’ own biographical futures and wider societal changes. We conclude by considering some of the significant benefits and challenges such techniques present. These methodological insights have a wider relevance beyond the substantive topic for those interested in eliciting data about futures in qualitative research.     

Of River Linkage and Issue Linkage: Transboundary Conflict and Cooperation on the River Meuse

Abstract

It is a truism in mainstream International Relations that issue linkage promotes regime formation and integration. The present article applies this idea to the transboundary lower river Meuse and finds its history of integration to be a tortuous one. Contextual political factors have at times promoted integration, at times fragmentation. The path towards regional integration, then, has not been not linear, but has consisted of conflict and cooperation, of (Meuse–Scheldt) river linkage and issue linkage, but also counterlinkage and non-linkage. Clearly linkage is not necessarily positive. I will argue that this does not need to be problematic, but suggest accepting more complexity in the analysis of river integration. I propose a way to create some order in the many available concepts of linkage to map out the role of linkage in integration.     

中国石油战略安全因素分析

伴随着中国经济的快速崛起,中国能源战略安全问题逐渐突显出来。避免能源引发的国家冲突,制定有效的能源战略,这是我国政府十分重视的国家安全的战略问题。论文从国际关系和地缘政治的角度分析出发,在分析了4大国能源战略的基础上,提出了解决中国能源战略安全的基本思路:构建和谐的中美关系;加大石油储备量以防台海有事;积极建立与印度的友好关系突破美国的战略封锁;积极发展中日之间的能源合作;加强对俄罗斯的能源合作的工作力度。     

合同纠纷与合同诈骗罪辨析

合同纠纷与合同诈骗是两类既相似又本质不同的法律行为。这两者往往容易混淆,不仅在生活中而且在司法实践中也容易引起歧义。因此,对两者进行认真、全面的分析,把握两者的本质属性和具体特征,分清违法与犯罪的区别,以有利于经济交往、司法活动和法制建设。     

社会主义核心价值的生态建构——以江苏省为例

价值生态以价值关系为轴心,呈现价值的存在状态、生态特性及其意义系统。江苏核心价值的生态建构,应从江苏核心价值的生态关系中科学把握核心价值的价值关系及其意义呈现状态。江苏核心价值的生态构型以社会主义核心价值体系、新江苏精神、“两个率先”、生态江苏内在关系为基础,其生态布展以价值生态理念和生态文明理念为指引,推进“五位一体”建设。其生态生成在于人与自然、社会的和谐价值关系,物质劳动与精神劳动,价值创价与价值代价,价值引领与价值给养四个维度。由此,形成生成论基础上价值的生态创生及其意义展现过程。     

长三角地区能源效率及其影响因素分析

当前我国生产领域中的能源效率远低于发达国家,而长江三角洲是我国主要能耗地区,提高长三角地区的能源效率具有重要的现实意义。选取了长三角内部三省市14年的面板数据,利用能源强度评价长三角地区能源利用现状,通过实证分析长三角内部各省市的能源效率影响因素,结果发现产业结构和市场化程度对能源效率具有正面影响,外向化程度对能源结构具有负面影响。     

东北亚区域能源合作研究

在经济全球化背景下,各国在能源领域的相互依赖性不断加强。在东北亚地区东北亚能源需求急剧增加、东北亚地区能源进口依存度高和能源引起的环境保护问题日益突出的条件下,东北亚地区必须通过区域范围的能源合作来保障能源安全。东北亚区域必须依靠地缘优势和日益紧密的经济联系,通过协商和协议进行能源合作,以保障各国的能源安全和共同利益。虽然目前东北亚区域能源合作受各种因素的影响,进展较为缓慢,但合作前景非常广阔,东北亚区域能源合作可以在许多重点领域展开。     

Divorce Chinese Style

This study investigated divorce during China's social and economic transformation period from 1970 to 2012. Specifically, the study examined the trend development of divorce and demonstrated how marriage formation type and individual socioeconomic characteristics were associated with the likelihood of divorce across time. Event‐history analysis was applied to longitudinal data from the China Family Panel Studies (2010–2012 waves). The results showed a threefold increase in divorce from the pre‐1990s to the 1990s. Surprisingly, the trend shifted to a plateau toward the 2000s. When cohabitation was in its rapidly diffusing stage in the 1990s, individuals who cohabited prior to marriage had a substantially higher likelihood of divorce. As cohabitation became increasingly common in the 2000s, its effect on divorce weakened. The role of socioeconomic characteristics in divorce also varied across time. This study enriches the knowledge of family dynamics in contemporary Chinese society.     

京津冀节能减排政策措施的差异与协同研究

在对京津冀1981年以来节能减排政策措施进行量化处理的基础上,建立针对节能减排政策措施有效性的计量模型,分析了京津冀节能减排政策措施的演变状况,并探究京津冀节能减排政策措施对其节能减排效果影响的差异性.研究结果表明:京津冀节能减排政策颁布经历了早期各年份相对零散、缺乏连续性到新世纪以来政策颁布数量显著增多、政策总体力度逐渐增大的过程,但三地政策总效力的增加主要是由于节能减排政策颁布数量增多引起的;京津冀三地在政策的制定过程中更多的是趋于实现短期目标,政策整体缺乏系统性和权威性;人事措施、行政措施、引导措施、财税措施、金融措施等不同节能减排政策措施对京津冀节能和减排的有效性具有明显的差异;三地对不同政策措施的使用方式、使用程度方面存在明显的差异,这对京津冀协同推进节能减排的治理工作提出挑战.论文还从京津冀完善单一节能减排政策措施的使用、加强市场手段的应用及京津冀区域协同治理等方面提出了相应政策建议.     

从“孔木散”的繁衍发展看查加工的形成——兼谈查加工各主要地名的由来

撒拉族是世居于青海省循化撒拉族自治县的一个少数民族,本文通过对循化县查加工(现属街子乡)各村庄孔木散由少到多的繁衍情况的考察,探讨了查加工形成、发展的过程,同时对民间关于查加工各主要地名由来的传说进行了梳理.