马克思主义与全球道德

全球道德与马克思主义是相通的。马克思主义是全球道德建设的理论基础和根本指导原则,而全球道德建设必将丰富和发展马克思主义伦理道德学说。     

公司治理对农村商业银行全要素生产率的影响研究

构建GML指数测度25家农村商业银行2008-2014年的全要素生产率增长,在剖析公司治理对全要素生产率影响机理的基础上,利用面板模型对相关因素进行实证分析。研究发现：样本农村商业银行的全要素生产率总体明显提高,个体间的增速差异逐渐缩小;董事会规模、董事会会议频率和自有资本比率的提高对生产率的增长具有积极作用,但股权制衡度和市场份额的提高不利于生产率的增长;股权集中度、独立董事比例和监事会规模的影响不显著。     

关于宽容与诚实的儒家思想资源及其局限性

儒家经典中具有"厚德载物"与"诚信无欺"的思想,但对于中国社会现阶段道德状况而言,儒家思想却缺乏可操作性,因此,如何使全球伦理准则信念化或信仰化须探寻一条新的途径.     

乐黛云教授在比较文学学科重建中的贡献

2011年,我们将迎来我国当代著名比较文学理论家乐黛云教授从教59周年与80华诞。我们纪念乐先生新时期三十年来在比较文学重建中的重要贡献不仅是对于三十年比较文学发展的一次检阅,而且也是对于只有在新时期才能产生的像乐黛云教授这样的中国文学理论家成就的一种总结与应有的肯定,更是对中国未来学术发展的一种殷切的期望。期望我们大家学习乐黛云先生,在未来有更多的乐黛云这样的学者产生。新时期以来乐黛云教授作为主要学术带头人与领导者努力构建当代中国比较文学学科并使之逐步成熟。她从1980年开始,整整三十年来,将自己的全部精力与智慧都奉献给了中国新时期比较文学的重建。她在中国比较文学学科的学科体系、研究方法与队伍建设等方面均作出杰出贡献,给整个文学学科乃至人文学科的建设提供了极为重要的启示。     

试述“十六字诀”对中国革命及世界军事战略的影响

在井冈山斗争时期,毛泽东、朱德等中国共产党人在革命战争的实践中逐步发展并最终完善形成以“十六字诀”为基础的游击战术,它不仅是红军在人力、武器都处于绝对弱势的情况下的作战指导原则,而且还是人民军队战略战术形成和发展的基础和红军战略战术的核心。它的产生及发展不仅对于我军有着极其重要的指导作用,而且为毛泽东的军事思想和红色政权理论奠定了总的原则基础,丰富和发展了马列主义人民战争的思想,并推动和促进了中国国防理论的建设和发展,对世界军事战略的发展也影响深远。     

Brexit,Global Cities,and the Future of World Order

The emergence and role of global cities provide a rubric by which we can understand Brexit and illuminate the present tensions between those who favor open economic policies and those who favor closed economic policies. Economic inequality, political disenfranchisement, and social exclusion at the regional level are now driving a fresh interrogation of the relatively open world order that requires global cities—sites densely populated with institutions necessary for orchestrating global economic activity. While questions about the legitimacy of economic openness may undermine the economic output, political power, and cultural influence of global cities, those same cities may, if they harness economic output for broader regional benefits, demonstrate the potential of an alternative and newly legitimate open world order.     

A more general methodology for fitting global cross-ratio models for discrete longitudinal responses

In this paper, we focus on repeated measurement problems, comprising an interesting research area in statistics. We study longitudinal data which arise when outcomes are observed repeatedly on each experimental subject at several points. We focus on a marginal approach for this type of data with lack of independence among the observations proposed by Dale [Global cross-ratio models for bivariate, discrete, ordered responses. Biometrics. 1986;42(4):909–917] for bivariate, discrete, ordered responses. We propose an alternative estimation based on divergence measures to the full likelihood method proposed in that paper. Finally, a wide simulation study and a data example that illustrates the new methodology is provided.     

中等国家与全球多边治理

尽管中等国家的概念内涵存在争议,但是它们在国际社会中的地位、利益、共有观念和认同等使其成为塑造全球多边治理的重要力量。中等国家可根据不同情势,灵活选择个体主义、社会交往及制度主义方式中的一种或多种,旨在实现全球多边治理的系列目标和努力提升它们在国际舞台上的话语权和影响力。从现实层面来看,多边主义是中等国家在准确定位自身能力之后而形成的"利他"与"利己"彼此交错的优先选择,但这种选择面临着巨大的挑战。     

Mapping Invasive Species Risks with Stochastic Models: A Cross-Border United States-Canada Application for Sirex noctilio Fabricius

Nonindigenous species have caused significant impacts to North American forests despite past and present international phytosanitary efforts. Though broadly acknowledged, the risks of pest invasions are difficult to quantify as they involve interactions between many factors that operate across a range of spatial and temporal scales: the transmission of invading organisms via various pathways, their spread and establishment in new environments. Our study presents a stochastic simulation approach to quantify these risks and associated uncertainties through time in a unified fashion. We outline this approach with an example of a forest pest recently detected in North America, Sirex noctilio Fabricius. We simulate new potential entries of S. noctilio as a stochastic process, based on recent volumes of marine shipments of commodities from countries where S. noctilio is established, as well as the broad dynamics of foreign marine imports. The results are then linked with a spatial model that simulates the spread of S. noctilio within the geographical distribution of its hosts (pines) while incorporating existing knowledge about its behavior in North American landscapes. Through replications, this approach yields a spatial representation of S. noctilio risks and uncertainties in a single integrated product. The approach should also be appealing to decisionmakers, since it accounts for projected flows of commodities that may serve as conduits for pest entry. Our 30-year forecasts indicate high establishment probability in Ontario, Quebec, and the northeastern United States, but further southward expansion of S. noctilio is uncertain, ultimately depending on the impact of recent international treatment standards for wood packing materials.     

Dependence function for continuous bivariate densities

The notion of cross-product ratio for discrete two-way contingency table is extended to the case of continuous bivariate densities. This results in the “local dependence function” that measues the margin-free dependence between bivariate random variables. Properties and examples of the dependence function are discussed. The bivariate normal density plays a special role since it has constant dependence. Continuous bivariate densities can be constructed by specifying the dependence function along with two marginals in analogy to the construction of two-way contingency tables given marginals and patterns of interaction. The dependence function provides a partial ordering on bivariate dependence.