论民族精神的多样性、发展性和全民性

“民族精神是一个民族赖以生存和发展的精神支撑”,具有多样性、发展性和全民性。要做好弘扬和培育民族精神的工作,让以爱国主义为核心的团结统一、爱好和平、勤劳勇敢、自强不息的民族精神深入到每个国民的心中,并传布到世界上每一个有华人的地方去。     

西方经济增长方式的演进与中国增长方式的转变

本文从分析西方经济增长理论及方式的演进入手,结合中国自身的特点,对实现中国“两”个根本性转变”提出了可行的政策思路和建议。     

Growth and Heat Resistance Kinetic Variation Among Various Isolates of Salmonella and its Application to Risk Assessment

The abilities of cells of a particular type of bacteria to leave lag phase and begin the process of dividing or surviving heat treatment can depend on the serotypes or strains of the bacteria. This article reports an investigation of serotype-specific differences in growth and heat resistance kinetics of clinical and food isolates of Salmonella. Growth kinetics at 19 degrees C and 37 degrees C were examined in brain heart infusion broth and heat resistance kinetics for 60 degrees C were examined in beef gravy using a submerged coil heating apparatus. Estimates of the parameters of the growth curves suggests a small between-serotype variance of the growth kinetics. However, for inactivation, the results suggest a significant between-serotype effect on the asymptotic D-values, with an estimated between-serotype CV of about 20%. In microbial risk assessment, predictive microbiology is used to estimate growth and inactivation of pathogens. Often the data used for estimating the growth or inactivation kinetics are based on measurements on a cocktail--a mixture of approximately equal proportions of several serotypes or strains of the pathogen being studied. The expected growth or inactivation rates derived from data using cocktails are biased, reflecting the characteristics of the fastest growing or most heat resistant serotype of the cocktail. In this article, an adjustment to decrease this possible bias in a risk assessment is offered. The article also presents discussion of the effect on estimating growth when stochastic assumptions are incorporated in the model. In particular, equations describing the variation of relative growth are derived, accounting for the stochastic variations of the division of cells. For small numbers of cells, the expected value of the relative growth is not an appropriate "representative" value for actual relative growths that might occur.     

哥老会在长江中下游的崛起

19世纪70～90年代,哥老会在长江中下游迅速崛起.曾国藩遣散湘军直接导致了哥老会的迅速蔓延;清同治年间,哥老会在两湖地区首先崛起,规模和声势已凌驾于活动不多、处于相对沉寂状态的天地会以及斋教等秘密社会组织之上;约在光绪朝中、晚期,哥老会势力从湖广地区伸展到长江下游,并在反对外国教会的过程中成为斗争的主角.至此,长江中下游哥老会的活动广为"世人所注目".     

自然资源耗竭与经济可持续增长：基于四部门内生增长模型分析

本文在已有研究文献的基础上发展了一个基于水平创新的四部门内生增长模型,探讨了人口增长、自然资源耗竭、内生技术进步与长期经济增长的关系.通过对模型的社会最优均衡分析和竞争性市场均衡分析,分别求出了均衡解、均衡解存在性条件以及在人口增长和资源约束下经济可持续增长所需的条件,并证明了分权经济条件下的市场均衡解往往是非帕累托最优的,进一步分析了导致市场效率损失的主要原因及其政策涵义.     

The estimation of derivatives of a nonparametric regression function when the data are correlated

A kernel estimator of a derivative of arbitrary order of a nonparametric average population curve is considered for a correlated-errors model with balanced replicate measurements at each design point. Asymptotic expansions of the mean squared error are derived for two classes of correlation functions in the model. Consistency, choice of smoothing parameter, and rates of convergence are examined for the important special cases of estimating the first and second derivatives.     

国外“一村一品”发展的主要做法及经验研究

当前是我国加快发展现代农业、推进社会主义新农村建设的关键时期。通过充分发挥地方的自然资源、传统文化、生态和区位等优势,积极培育具有鲜明特色和市场竞争力的主导产品和主导产业,使"一村一品"面向更广阔的市场,可以有效促进我国农业和农村经济的发展。主要以日本、泰国、蒙古、菲律宾、巴拉圭为例,介绍了国外"一村一品"发展的主要做法,以期获得有益于我国农业发展的宝贵经验,促进农民增收和区域经济的发展。     

我国慈善事业发展态势及其法律体系建构研究

近些年来,我国慈善事业发展态势良好,但也存在一些不和谐因素。分析其中原因,除了传统低层面的慈善意识影响以外,慈善法律制度体系的缺失恐是主要原因。具体表现在我国慈善事业中专门的慈善组织法律规范、慈善行为法律激励机制、慈善活动法律监管制度和可操作的法律规定的缺乏。为促进慈善事业的发展,可采用集中立法模式,建立以《慈善法》为基础的慈善事业法律体系,具体就是要进一步制定和完善关于慈善组织设立、慈善行为实施、慈善信用法律保障、慈善活动国家激励、慈善行为责任担当等内容的法律体系。     

加工贸易与地区经济增长 ——基于我国省际面板数据的研究

 本文通过改造Keynes宏观经济理论并利用省际面板数据，对加工贸易活动对地区经济增长的影响进行了分析。结果表明：加工贸易对地区经济增长有着积极和显著的影响，我国应采取措施鼓励加工贸易活动向中西部地区转移，以促进中西部地区经济增长和就业增加；我们还发现，消费增长对地区经济增长的影响超过了投资因素已成为拉动地区经济增长的重要动力。     

一种新的求极限方法

本文将不动点原理应用于极限问题中,得到一种求极限的方法。