高校青年教师成长过程探析

高校青年教师是学校事业发展的主体，是教师队伍中最具发展潜力的群体。高校青年教师的成长过程是青年教师与教育环境积极互动、完成社会赋予的历史使命并不断提升自身价值的过程。研究高校青年教师的成长对于高校的改革与发展、大学生素质的提高及青年教师自身的发展具有重要意义。     

和谐社会建设与地方政府转型

和谐社会实际上是一个发展成果如何共享、成本如何均衡分担的问题。而造成我国经济快速发展同时又带来社会利益失衡的重要因素是地方政府及其行为方式。和谐社会建设必须要求地方政府的转型与改革,改革的思路向上可以适度加强中央的垂直管理,向下要扩大民众的参与、推动基层的民主化进程。     

西部地区对外贸易与经济增长的协整及因果关系检验

运用协整和因果关系检验理论,对西部地区从1978年到2004年的对外贸易与经济增长数据进行实证检验。结果发现二者之间存在长期稳定的关系,但并不存在明显的互为因果关系。在协整分析的基础上建立了误差修正模型,分别从长期和短期对两者之间的关系进行了定量分析,继而提出了通过改善市场环境、完善出口制度等,加大对外贸易在西部经济总量中的份额等政策建议。     

人力资本积累制度创新与西部经济增长方式转变

西部的民族地区由于制度约束等原因,抑制了人力资本的有效供给,阻碍了西部区域经济社会的发展。在西部大开发中,通过人力资本积累机制创新与技术创新、制度安排相互协调,促进西部区域经济增长方式转变,使西部经济能长期保持又好又快地发展。     

Gender similarity in growth patterns of support toward friends during young adulthood

The purpose of this article was to analyze change over time in a specific aspect of prosocial behavior, emotional support toward friends, using two different methodologies. We examined how emotional support changes during the transition to adulthood and whether gender‐based group comparisons yield different gender patterns than person‐centered growth mixture models. We hypothesized that emotional helping toward friends would increase over time and that person‐centered analyses would not show gender differences as large as those indicated by group comparison models. Participants were 466 young adults (ages 18–21). Findings indicated that important intragroup variance was masked when analyses focused on comparisons between gender groups. Person‐centered analyses indicated two mixed‐gender groups with different prosocial trajectories. We discuss how the methods and outcomes of person‐centered analyses are more congruent with current theories of “gender similarities” as well as empirical evidence of the small gender difference in social behaviors such as emotional support.     

Length of inpatient stays and associated factors among middle‐aged and older adults in Korea

Using a nationally representative sample of middle‐aged and older adults in Korea, this study examined the length of inpatient stays and associated factors. The pooled 2008–2012 data were obtained from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging, and study sample consisted of 7,805 individuals aged 50 and older. Guided by the Andersen's healthcare utilization model, latent growth curve modeling was conducted. Study results indicate that the average inpatient stay has slightly increased among middle‐aged and older adults in Korea. Furthermore, the severity of functional disability, the number of chronic health conditions, and the level of depressive symptoms were found to be key factors associated with the length of inpatient stays. In particular, respondents who received federal welfare benefits had longer stays than those who did not receive welfare benefits. Being employed and having private insurance were also found to be predictors of increasing length of inpatient stays. However, marital status was not associated with the length of inpatient stays. By understanding the pattern of inpatient stays and associated factors, policymakers should make an effort to develop innovative cost‐effective healthcare programs.     

资源依赖度对中国区域经济增长影响研究

文章基于各省级面板数据,运用面板平滑转换回归模型,分析了资源依赖度对中国区域经济增长的影响,并对其影响机制和传导途径进行了探讨.在单变量模型中,对资源和经济增长起相对重要作用的传导机制是对外开放水平,同时发现多因素面板平滑转换模型较单因素模型更加优化,对经济增长影响的解释更为合理.研究表明:资源依赖会对经济增长造成"诅咒",其效应随着不同省份技术投入水平、人力资本、产业结构、制造业投入与对外开放程度的不同有所差异;在其他条件一定的情况下,依靠资源依赖而形成的第二产业产值对经济的增长有一定的制约作用,在资源依赖较高的地区更应该注重调整产业结构,适应"新常态",减少由于资源依赖而对经济产生的阻碍作用;尤为重要的是本研究发现对外开放度是典型的影响资源依赖与经济增长的中间传导机制,由于资源行业的特殊性,各地区应该扩大对外开放的程度,加强交流,发挥资源在利用中通过后向关联和前向关联发挥联动优势,规避"资源诅咒",促进经济的长期高质量增长.     

R＆D经费投入带动中国经济增长的时滞性分析

研究和试验发展（R＆D）是科技活动中最具有创造性和创新性的内容。基于灰色关联分析方法构建时滞分析模型,研究了中国基础研究、应用研究和试验发展的经费投入带动经济增长的时滞性,结果显示：基础研究和应用研究的经费投入带动经济增长的滞后期均在9年以上,随着滞后期的延长这种带动作用呈现上升趋势;而试验发展的经费投入带动经济增长的滞后期为4年左右,随着滞后期的延长这种带动作用呈现下降的趋势。从科技战略的长远发展考虑,中国既要继续增加R＆D经费投入总量,也要重视不同研究性质经费投入的协调发展。     

关于我国经济持续增长的问题探讨

处于世纪之交的中国经济遇上了东南亚金融危机的强烈冲击 ,给出口、内需和投资各方面造成了极其困难的局面。本文依据对我国国民经济增长的统计资料及有关资料 ,针对性地分析探讨了我国经济增长的目标与条件 ,制约经济增长的主要因素 ,以及扩大内需的有效途径