Towards Enhancement of the Economy of a Thermal Power Generating System through Prediction of Plant Efficiency

The plant ‘Heat Rate’ (HR) is a measure of overall efficiency of a thermal power generating system. It depends on a large number of factors, some of which are non-measurable, while data relating to others are seldom available and recorded. However, coal quality (expressed in terms of ‘effective heat value’ (EHV) as kcal/kg) transpires to be one of the important factors that influences HR values and data on EHV are available in any thermal power generating system. In the present work, we propose a prediction interval of the HR values on the basis of only EHV, keeping in mind that coal quality is one of the important (but not the only) factors that have a pronounced effect on the combustion process and hence on HR. The underlying theory borrows the idea of providing simultaneous confidence interval (SCI) to the coefficients of a p-th p(≥1) order autoregressive model (AR(p)). The theory has been substantiated with the help of real life data from a power utility (after suitable base and scale transformation of the data to maintain the confidentiality of the classified document). Scope for formulating strategies to enhance the economy of a thermal power generating system has also been explored.     

涡轮叶片尾缘针肋的换热研究

以涡轮叶片尾缘中针肋通道的换热为研究对象，讨论并计算出了一定条件下获得最大针肋通道换热量时针肋的形状曲线和换热优势，系统分析了这种拥有最佳形状曲线针肋的通道散热量随针肋物性参数及几何特征变化的规律。     

A Two-dimensional Heat Transfer Model for Atmosphere-land System in the Lake-dominated Alaskan Arctic

1 Introduction Shallow tundra lakes are one of the dominating landscape features in the Alaskan Arctic. They typically cover 20% of the total area of the North Slope of Alaska, and up to about 40% in the coastal plain [1,2]. Many lakes are, in their entirety or in part, shallower than the maximum annual ice thickness, consequently, some ice freezes completely to the lake bottom, nevertheless, large areas of water are deeper than the maximum ice thickness and the ice remains afloat througho…     

平板非稳态导热逆问题的近似解

对一维物体非稳态加热或冷却的表面温度的计算进行了研究，在增加一个参数的基础上，采用积分求解的方法，获得了一个近似解，此解不仅表达式简单，便于应用，而且具有较高的准确度，该表达式还可方便地应用于变异热系数的场合。     

碱金属三碘化物稳定性规律的热力学探讨

用热力学原理讨论了碱金属三碘化物的热稳定性顺序以及它们在常温常压下存在的可能性     

The 2003 Heat Wave in France: Dangerous Climate Change Here and Now

In an analysis of the French episode of heat wave in 2003, this article highlights how heat wave dangers result from the intricate association of natural and social factors. Unusually high temperatures, as well as socioeconomic vulnerability, along with social attenuation of hazards, in a general context where the anthropogenic contribution to climate change is becoming more plausible, led to an excess of 14,947 deaths in France, between August 4 and 18, 2003. The greatest increase in mortality was due to causes directly attributable to heat: dehydration, hyperthermia, heat stroke. In addition to age and gender, combinatorial factors included preexisting disease, medication, urban residence, isolation, poverty, and, probably, air pollution. Although diversely impacted or reported, many parts of Europe suffered human and other losses, such as farming and forestry through drought and fires. Summer 2003 was the hottest in Europe since 1500, very likely due in part to anthropogenic climate change. The French experience confirms research establishing that heat waves are a major mortal risk, number one among so-called natural hazards in postindustrial societies. Yet France had no policy in place, as if dangerous climate were restricted to a distant or uncertain future of climate change, or to preindustrial countries. We analyze the heat wave's profile as a strongly attenuated risk in the French context, as well as the causes and the effects of its sudden shift into amplification. Research and preparedness needs are highlighted.     

未焊透缺陷安全尺寸的评价研究

未焊透是压力管道焊接接头常见缺陷之一,严重时会导致管道的承载能力明显降低,进而引发严重的安全事故。 目前我国的《在用工业管道定期检验规程》中对未焊透管道的定级是很保守的,为了减少对未焊透缺陷的返修,文章采 用非线性有限元分析的方法,通过简化未焊透管道的影响因素,并研究在不同载荷工况下管道失效模式与缺陷尺寸的关 系,获得了未焊透管道的极限载荷曲线簇;再运用塑性力学分析方法对有限元分析结果进行筛选,得到了焊接缺陷的安 全尺寸;最终通过试验验证极限载荷数值分析结果的合理性。研究结果表明含有超标焊接缺陷（如未焊透）的管道不通 过复杂应力计算和安全评定即可在保证安全前提下最大限度地使用。     

新型吸附式冷管的最低制冷温度影响因素研究

提出了一种新型的余热固体吸附式制冷管．该种制冷管无节流装置、无运动部件、结构简单、强度较高，且每根管子自成一个完整独立的制冷系统，所以其密封性好、使用方便；研究了在吸附剂量不变的情况下，制冷剂(吸附质)充注量对制冷管性能的影响。由于该种制冷管的性能跟外部环境参数具有较强的耦合性，本文就热源温度、环境温度、风速和环境空气湿度等参数对其最低制冷温度的影响进行了实验研究，实验采用的工质对为13X沸石分子筛-水．     

供热体制改革市场化研究——以呼和浩特市供热体制改革为例

国家关于推进城镇供热体制的改革已经近10年,在城镇供热市场化方面取得了一定的成效。呼和浩特市的供热体制改革也进入了攻坚阶段。本文主要分析了呼和浩特市供热体制改革的基本内容、方向、困境及原因,以及主要利益主体——政府、供热企业、用户三者在供热市场化进程中的责任与权利,依据公共产品市场化理论,从政府、企业和社会三个角度提出推进供热体制改革市场化的政策建议。     

亲水性膜的研制和亲水性研究

为了消除小片距、复杂片型高效表冷器在湿工况下运行时产生的“水塞”问题和进一步提高这类表冷器的热工性能,本文从凝结方式的理论分析出发,介绍了在表冷器上制作亲水性膜的方法,从理论上分析了这种亲水性膜的结构与亲水性的关系,从实践上给出了这种亲水性膜对表冷器的热工性能的新贡献,为研制高效紧凑式表冷器提供了可喜的前景。