党的执政效果的哲学思考

执政效果是党执政的终极目标.十六届四中全会对执政效果提出了明确的要求。从主体、客体和实践角度对执政效果的内涵和衡量标准进行探讨。     

突发社会安全事件下大众羊群行为的演化模拟及行为族现象

基于行为的传播性和保持性,对突发社会安全事件下的大众羊群行为利用元胞自动机进行了模拟.从各类行为者均匀混合的初始条件开始,得到了非常接近社会实际情况的行为族现象.研究结果表明,只要各种行为的比例相差不过于悬殊,羊群行为并不能导致许多行为的消失而使群体中只存在一种行为,而是许多类型的行为以行为族的方式同时存在.     

移动商务驱动因素的研究方法述评

移动商务即将成为商业活动和社会活动的中坚力量,研究哪些因素将驱动移动商务的发展至关重要。文章综述了有关移动商务驱动因素的研究方法,并将其归为四类,即基于理性行为理论（TRA）、计划行为理论（TPB）和技术接受模型（TAM）,以及基于感知图、基于灰色系统理论、基于消费者满意度模型。评述了各种方法的不足,并对未来移动商务驱动因素的研究方法进行展望。     

Gender similarity in growth patterns of support toward friends during young adulthood

The purpose of this article was to analyze change over time in a specific aspect of prosocial behavior, emotional support toward friends, using two different methodologies. We examined how emotional support changes during the transition to adulthood and whether gender‐based group comparisons yield different gender patterns than person‐centered growth mixture models. We hypothesized that emotional helping toward friends would increase over time and that person‐centered analyses would not show gender differences as large as those indicated by group comparison models. Participants were 466 young adults (ages 18–21). Findings indicated that important intragroup variance was masked when analyses focused on comparisons between gender groups. Person‐centered analyses indicated two mixed‐gender groups with different prosocial trajectories. We discuss how the methods and outcomes of person‐centered analyses are more congruent with current theories of “gender similarities” as well as empirical evidence of the small gender difference in social behaviors such as emotional support.     

Validation of interaction-based egocentric elicitation using ecological momentary assessment with young adults currently or formerly homeless

IntroductionSocial network changes are common as individuals transition from homeless to Supportive Housing. Egocentric approaches to elicit network members have been utilized with young adults experiencing homelessness to better understand such socio-environmental contexts; however, such approaches are subject to recall bias. Momentary measurements of one’s social network via Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) can support in understanding the accuracy of egocentric elicitation methods.ObjectiveTo examine who is elicited using an interaction-based approach in egocentric social network analysis among currently homeless and formerly homeless young adults residing in Supportive Housing and explore which alters are reported in interactions and how often are they reported when egocentric network analysis is embedded in EMA.MethodsThe present study utilizes interaction-based elicitation embedded within Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) in two sub-samples: currently homeless young adults (n = 72) and formerly homeless young adults residing in Supportive Housing (n = 118).ResultsMost egos interacted with three of their top five alters, while only 8.9% interacted with all five. Conversely, only 2% of egos reported that they did not interact with any of their top five. Several differences in alter characteristics were identified by housing status. Alters indicated as being more supportive are elicited first and alters elicited first are interacted with the most.ConclusionsEMA findings suggest that a cross-sectional social network survey of top five alters will results in an ordered list, with the most important/frequent alter being named first and trend downward. Results have implications for future study design involving egocentric network analyses. Present findings indicate qualities of alters present and thus, offer plausible “best practices” when utilizing network elicitation methods, particularly interaction-based methods.     

“社会性自我”的同一性危机与自我重建——儿童“特殊行为”的意义阐释

“发现儿童”之后如何“理解儿童”是广大教育研究者们一直思考研究的重要问题。本研究则聚焦儿童的某些“特殊行为”，从儿童丰富的情绪体验出发尝试理解他们的行为意图。研究发现：“特殊行为”是教师作为他人的立场判定的，儿童“特殊行为”的背后隐藏着其原有的自我同一性失衡断裂的危机，儿童采取这些“特殊行为”是为重建自我同一性进行的尝试。这启示广大教育工作者应当关注与保护儿童自我意识的发展，注意引导儿童更好地认识自己和他人眼中的“我”。教育工作者应当对儿童的“特殊行为”从儿童情绪体验意义出发，站在儿童立场上进行理解，切忌妄加指责，贴上道德标签。     

羊群行为激励作用的实验研究

通过博弈模型发现,在信息完全的条件下,由于个体的自利将导致创新投入行为的事前效率低下,而在信息不完全的条件下产生的羊群行为会使得搭便车的企图落空,因而具有改善这种低效困境的作用。接下来将模型参数化,通过实验室实验的方法,以高年级本科生为被试对象,对理论的预测进行实际验证。最终的实验结果表明:①完全信息条件下行动的事前效率是一个逐渐降低的过程,趋于理论的均衡但又不稳定于其上;②羊群行为确实具有积极的激励作用,但也有很大的局限性。     

The stages of mass mobilization: separate phenomena and distinct causal mechanisms

The notion that mass mobilization has analytically important stages is underappreciated in the literature. This paper proposes an approach that decomposes mass mobilization into three main phenomena: origins, protest and outcome. Each stage is characterized by unique factors and mechanisms. Accordingly, the research questions pertaining to each stage are dealt with by multiple levels of analysis and alternative explanations, allowing theory testing and theory development. The paper highlights separate causal mechanisms that operate in the emergence of grievances and protest motivation during the origins stage; mechanisms involving different forms of pressure, organization, psychological processes, and external forces during the protest stage; and mechanisms pertaining to key players and strategies that determine outcomes of mass mobilization. We illustrate that certain factors and mechanisms which are key in one stage have little or no causal relevance in the other stages. Other factors and mechanisms may also dramatically change in content, meaning or configuration between the stages. This theoretical approach facilitates the integration of a large and diverse body of scholarship into a structured analysis of mass mobilization that allows for both a detailed case study as well as comparison of stages across mass protests. The analysis of stages and causal mechanisms is illustrated across cases of democratization, revolution, and protest within democracy.     

韩企在华投资行为特征研究

针对韩资企业在华投资行为中存在的同质化问题,结合韩国统计数据对企业投资治理和投资行为进行分析,探索韩企在华投资的行业、规模及区域同质化倾向。投资行为同质化导致韩企成本上升、内部竞争加剧、外部优势降低,据此从改进投资同质化角度提出韩资企业在华投资的共赢性建议。     

移动银行使用行为多因素模型与影响分析

针对我国移动银行使用率不高、推广困难等问题,本文通过对移动银行的国内外使用现状比较论述了我国移动银行市场发展潜力巨大,进而基于消费者行为三因素理论构建了影响移动银行使用行为的多因素模型,并针对消费观念和消费习惯、风险感知、学习和态度、服务功能和安全性能、资费、广告宣传等因素进行分析,从而为移动银行营销策略的制定提供理论依据。