我国居民医疗资源利用状况的不平等

医疗资源利用状况的不平等,是指不同收入组的居民在利用医疗资源方面存在显著的差异。根据2004年的中国营养与健康调查(CHNS)数据,用多元logit模型估计出我国居民医疗支出的价格弹性和收入弹性,结果表明:低收入的居民偏向于到基础医院就诊,高收入的居民偏向于到高级医院就诊;与高收入的居民相比,低收入居民受到的收入约束更大,特别是在患重病的时候,低收入居民的医疗费用更高,经济负担更重。     

经理人报酬与激励 --理论与实务及我国当前实践的探讨

对经理人报酬组合构成、报酬政策制定以及经理人报酬衡量标准的研究文献进行了述评,通过对于经理人报酬与业绩、企业规模、股东财富以及其他相关因素实证研究的回顾,根据我国上市公司经理人报酬计划的现状,探讨了经理人员报酬激励方案的设计及其影响因素.     

Dynamic Supply Risk Management with Signal‐Based Forecast,Multi‐Sourcing,and Discretionary Selling

We examine the critical role of advance supply signals—such as suppliers’ financial health and production viability—in dynamic supply risk management. The firm operates an inventory system with multiple demand classes and multiple suppliers. The sales are discretionary and the suppliers are susceptible to both systematic and operational risks. We develop a hierarchical Markov model that captures the essential features of advance supply signals, and integrate it with procurement and selling decisions. We characterize the optimal procurement and selling policy, and the strategic relationship between signal‐based forecast, multi‐sourcing, and discretionary selling. We show that higher demand heterogeneity may reduce the value of discretionary selling, and that the mean value‐based forecast may outperform the stationary distribution‐based forecast. This work advances our understanding on when and how to use advance supply signals in dynamic risk management. Future supply risk erodes profitability but enhances the marginal value of current inventory. A signal of future supply shortage raises both base stock and demand rationing levels, thereby boosting the current production and tightening the current sales. Signal‐based dynamic forecast effectively guides the firm's procurement and selling decisions. Its value critically depends on supply volatility and scarcity. Ignoring advance supply signals can result in misleading recommendations and severe losses. Signal‐based dynamic supply forecast should be used when: (a) supply uncertainty is substantial, (b) supply‐demand ratio is moderate, (c) forecast precision is high, and (d) supplier heterogeneity is high.     

基于CBR的化妆品销售组合预测模型

预测是销售企业面临的至关重要的问题,预测精度会直接影响到企业的利润及长远发展。考虑到化妆品销售独特的生命周期特点,提出基于案例推理技术的化妆品销售组合预测模型。基于案例推理技术能够弥补短生命周期产品数据不足的问题,根据\     

The Patterns of Disability in the Peripheral Neighborhoods of Ouagadougou,Burkina Faso,and the Male–Female Health‐Survival Paradox

Disability is a crucial health and social concern in sub‐Saharan Africa, where a high prevalence of disabling diseases is compounded with insufficient care provision. There is a need for detailed analysis of the disability patterns. We provide a gender‐specific picture for the population in peripheral Ouagadougou (Burkina‐Faso), based on six disability dimensions following the United Nations’ recommendations. We computed disability‐free life expectancy (LE) using the Health and Demographic Surveillance System (Ouaga HDSS) (n = 1 902). Women have a longer partial LE in the 20–79 age range (+3.3 years), half of this LE being spent with a disability, versus 31% of the LE for men. Limitations in mobility, cognition, and eyesight occur in midadulthood and result in a considerable disadvantage for women in the number of years with these limitations. These findings highlight disability patterns that are detrimental to social participation and claim for better screening and care, especially for women.     

掩饰、隐瞒犯罪所得、犯罪所得收益罪的行为对象

掩饰、隐瞒犯罪所得、犯罪所得收益罪的行为对象是"犯罪所得"与"犯罪所得收益"。"犯罪所得"与"犯罪所得收益"中的"犯罪"是刑事实体法意义上的犯罪,不限于财产犯罪。"犯罪所得"是他人既遂犯罪行为之所得,是犯罪行为直接之所得,转化物、交易物、具有有形载体的财产性利益以及部分违禁品都可以成为犯罪所得。"犯罪所得收益"是犯罪所得所产生的孳息,包括犯罪所得产生的天然孳息与法定孳息两类。     

基于数据挖掘的证券营业部客户流失分析

针对营业部客户流失的影响因素数据给出了预测模型。根据新佣金政策下的证券营业部客户一年来的交易数据分析,提出了影响客户流失的各种特征因素的假设。进一步建立三个模型（逻辑回归、决策树和径向基神经网络）,并从错分率和预测能力（提升值）两方面的模型性能评判标准来选出最佳模型,根据该模型找出最可能影响客户流失的各种预测因子,并进行深入分析,最后提出相应的对策。     

论新型收入分配观的构建——基于完善社会主义市场经济体制的分析

目前收入分配观当中存在的主要问题包括:对分配对象界定过于狭窄;对分配主体的理解过于单一,对各自作用领域划分不清;分配依据和标准不统一,未突出制度内依据、标准的作用;忽视制度体系的构建,制度的改革与建设滞后,正式制度与非正式制度不够匹配。构建新型收入分配观应从拓展分配对象、扩大分配主体、整合分配依据、强化制度改革与建设等方面着手。     

个人所得税制度改革的微观模拟

税收制度改革一直是社会和学术界关注的热点,我们提供了一个静态微观模拟模型,用于分析我国个人所得税制度改革的政策效应。模型通过收入调整、收入时化和税收制度实施更新微观个体的收入状态,通过对微观个体收入状态的统计估算税收制度的作用效果。应用长春市的微观数据,我们进行了个人所得税制度改革的模拟实验。实验结果表明:虽然个人所得税制度改革使得区域经济税收收入明显降低且没有明显降低社会总体收入差距,但能够明显扩大中等收入阶层比例并明显地促进税负公平。     

和谐社会视角下收入分配调整的财政对策

以社会主义和谐社会建设中收入分配调整为切入点,本文全面陈述了我国社会存在的收入分配不均、财富差距过大的现状,指出收入差距过大造成社会的不和谐。国家财政对收入分配的调整具有不可替代的优势和责无旁贷的责任,充分发挥财政职能,使社会收入形态逐步向“橄榄球”型转变。