我国船舶工业产业波及效应研究

船舶工业对国民经济的促进作用不仅体现在其自身发展产生的推动力,还体现在船舶工业在快速发展的同时通过与上下游产业的广泛联系所产生的产业波及效应.运用投入产出法,根据我国投入产出表,通过我国船舶工业产业关联面、产业关联度、影响力系数、感应度以及生产诱发系数等指标,系统分析船舶工业的产业波及效应,结果表明:船舶工业与其他产业具有广泛而紧密的关联,对相关产业产生了重要的影响.     

公司治理影响债务期限结构类型吗?——来自中国上市公司的经验证据

本文采用面板数据,应用Logit模型和排序选择模型实证检验公司治理机制如何影响债务期限结构类型。研究发现公司治理确实对债务期限结构类型具有显著影响。经验结果大多支持治理水平高的公司,其内部人（管理者,控制股东）受到更严格的监督,债务供给者（银行）更愿意为其提供长期债务,其更倾向使用高的债务期限类型的论点。     

技术创新对企业集团能量效率的影响与对策

引用动物捕食的最优方法的进化论观点研究了技术创新对企业集团能量效率的影响 ,提出了相应的对策 .首先 ,描述了一类企业集团的能量效率的基本模型 ,给出了一个关于技术与市场需求关系的假设 .接着 ,研究了技术创新对横向型企业集团能量效率的影响 ,在建立起模型之后 ,证明了提高核心企业的能量效率的充分性定理 ,为核心企业提供了对策方法 .然后 ,研究了核心企业是下游企业的纵向型企业集团 ,建立了模型 ,并获得了类似的结论 .最后 ,举例说明了核心企业应该怎样根据能量效率进行决策的思想 .总之 ,把一个企业集团的成长看成一群动物的进化 ,并且试图将进化论的思想应用到经济研究中     

论我国农村产业结构的合理调整

农村产业结构的合理调整,是农村经济改革进一步深化的必然要求,为了合理调整和优化农村产业结构,就必须在确定正确的调整目标、掌握有效的调整方法的基础上,选择切实可行的调整思路。     

Decision Making in `Random in a Broad Sense' Environments

It is shown that the uncertainty connected with a `random in a broad sense' (not necessarily stochastic) event always has some `statistical regularity' (SR) in the form of a family of finite-additive probability distributions. The specific principle of guaranteed result in decision making is introduced. It is shown that observing this principle of guaranteed result leads to determine the one optimality criterion corresponding to a decision system with a given `statistical regularity'.     

Stochastic Choice and Consistency in Decision Making Under Risk: An Experimental Study

This paper reports the results of an experiment designed to uncover the stochastic structure of individual preferences over lotteries. Unlike previous experiments, which have presented subjects with pair-wise choices between lotteries, our design allowed subjects to choose between two lotteries or (virtually) any convex combination of the two lotteries. We interpret the mixtures of lotteries chosen by subjects as a measure of the stochastic structure of choice. We test between two alternative interpretations of stochastic choice: the random utility interpretation and the deterministic preferences interpretation. The main findings of the experiment are that the typical subject prefers mixtures of lotteries rather than the extremes of a linear lottery choice set. The distribution of choices does not change between a first and second asking of the same question. We argue that this provides support for the deterministic preferences interpretation over the random utility interpretation of stochastic choice. As a subsidiary result, we find a small proportion of subjects make choices that violate transitivity, but the level of intransitive choice falls significantly over time.     

A Theory of Rational Choice under Ignorance

This paper contributes to a theory of rational choice for decision-makers with incomplete preferences due to partial ignorance, whose beliefs are representable as sets of acceptable priors. We focus on the limiting case of `Complete Ignorance' which can be viewed as reduced form of the general case of partial ignorance. Rationality is conceptualized in terms of a `Principle of Preference-Basedness', according to which rational choice should be isomorphic to asserted preference. The main result characterizes axiomatically a new choice-rule called `Simultaneous Expected Utility Maximization'. It can be interpreted as agreement in a bargaining game (Kalai-Smorodinsky solution) whose players correspond to the (extremal) `acceptable priors' among which the decision maker has suspended judgment. An essential but non-standard feature of Simultaneous Expected Utility choices is their dependence on the entire choice set. This is justified by the conception of optimality as compromise rather than as superiority in pairwise comparisons.     

资源型工矿业城市的再就业问题——以唐山市为例

资源型工矿业城市的再就业问题与其他城市相比具有特殊性和解决的紧迫性与困难性。本文以唐山市为例 ,在分析资源型工矿业城市再就业的困境及形成原因的基础上 ,探讨了这类城市再就业难题的解困思路     

广州建设国际大都市的产业调适研究

产业结构与世界大都市整合是建设国际大都市最为重要的一个方面。本文分析了广州产业结构调适的必要性,认为广州与国际大都市相比较有明显的不足,因此必须从产业结构化、产业创新、产业成长的环境等方面着手,以产业发展的市场为导向,利用世界产业结构调整的机遇,迅速整合世界大都市产业发展的趋势,建立高度外向型、国际化、创新型协调发展的城市产业结构关系。     

宁夏回族自治区同心县产业技术状况调查

作者通过实地调查,对宁夏回族自治区同心县产业技术发展的状况进行了论述,对影响当地产业技术进步的主要制约因素进行了分析,并对产业技术进步的重点、方式和产业技术跨越的可能性进行了初步探讨。