影响服务业国际竞争力的因素分析

目前国内服务经济理论界对影响服务业国际竞争力因素的分析,大多用波特的国家竞争优势理论进行解释,同时应用于服务贸易研究。并且大多是定性的分析,并没有从实证的角度进行验证,本文从实证角度对影响服务业国际竞争力的因素进行探析,分析了影响中国服务业竞争力的主要因素,并提出提高中国服务业竞争力的若干政策建议。     

Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape

Summary.  A general class of statistical models for a univariate response variable is presented which we call the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). The model assumes independent observations of the response variable y given the parameters, the explanatory variables and the values of the random effects. The distribution for the response variable in the GAMLSS can be selected from a very general family of distributions including highly skew or kurtotic continuous and discrete distributions. The systematic part of the model is expanded to allow modelling not only of the mean (or location) but also of the other parameters of the distribution of y , as parametric and/or additive nonparametric (smooth) functions of explanatory variables and/or random-effects terms. Maximum (penalized) likelihood estimation is used to fit the (non)parametric models. A Newton–Raphson or Fisher scoring algorithm is used to maximize the (penalized) likelihood. The additive terms in the model are fitted by using a backfitting algorithm. Censored data are easily incorporated into the framework. Five data sets from different fields of application are analysed to emphasize the generality of the GAMLSS class of models.     

教育世界的特性

教育世界是教育科学研究的对象域。教育世界的特性是本质世界。教育世界的本质世界特性是以人的本质力量的外在表现物——哲学和各门学科知识体系为手段培养人性——人的本质。教育世界的本质特点就是本质教育。人的本质表现在责任、方法和美。教育世界的本质世界特性决定了教育科学属于本质科学。     

新疆兵团现代物流业发展探析

现代物流作为一种先进的组织方式和管理技术,其发展程度已成为衡量一个国家或地区现代化程度的重要标志。该文从新疆兵团物流业发展现状、面临的机遇和优势等方面对兵团工业化进程中的现代物流业进行了分析,并提出兵团发展现代物流业的对策。     

中国传统文化中的"尚三"理念对巴金《家·春·秋》创作的影响

巴金自称是受外国文学影响最多的作家之一,但是中国传统文化对他的创作在无形中的影响恐怕连他自己都没有意识到,在巴金的小说尤其是在长篇小说《家.春.秋》创作中就处处可见"尚三"传统的影响,形成了几种独特的创作现象:三事话语,三复情节,三变情节,三极建构,三而后成,传统文化与外来文化的相互渗透融合,是巴金能够成为文学大师的文化基础。     

Towards Enhancement of the Economy of a Thermal Power Generating System through Prediction of Plant Efficiency

The plant ‘Heat Rate’ (HR) is a measure of overall efficiency of a thermal power generating system. It depends on a large number of factors, some of which are non-measurable, while data relating to others are seldom available and recorded. However, coal quality (expressed in terms of ‘effective heat value’ (EHV) as kcal/kg) transpires to be one of the important factors that influences HR values and data on EHV are available in any thermal power generating system. In the present work, we propose a prediction interval of the HR values on the basis of only EHV, keeping in mind that coal quality is one of the important (but not the only) factors that have a pronounced effect on the combustion process and hence on HR. The underlying theory borrows the idea of providing simultaneous confidence interval (SCI) to the coefficients of a p-th p(≥1) order autoregressive model (AR(p)). The theory has been substantiated with the help of real life data from a power utility (after suitable base and scale transformation of the data to maintain the confidentiality of the classified document). Scope for formulating strategies to enhance the economy of a thermal power generating system has also been explored.     

Horwitz's rule, transforming both sides and the design of experiments for mechanistic models

Summary. The paper develops methods for the design of experiments for mechanistic models when the response must be transformed to achieve symmetry and constant variance. The power transformation that is used is partially justified by a rule in analytical chemistry. Because of the nature of the relationship between the response and the mechanistic model, it is necessary to transform both sides of the model. Expressions are given for the parameter sensitivities in the transformed model and examples are given of optimum designs, not only for single-response models, but also for experiments in which multivariate responses are measured and for experiments in which the model is defined by a set of differential equations which cannot be solved analytically. The extension to designs for checking models is discussed.     

基于主成分分析的我国西部地区间产业结构转换能力评价

产业结构的演进和转换是经济发展的本质特征,也是促进经济持续稳定协调发展的关键。西部地区产业结构转换能力的地区差异十分明显,本文阐述了影响地区产业结构转换的一般因素,并通过主成分分析方法对影响西部地区产业结构转换的主要因素进行了分析,并对西部各地区产业结构转换能力、转换速度以及转换方向进行了分析评价。     

上市公司虚减成本费用的方法分析

中国证券市场尚不完善 ,上市公司操纵利润的现象屡见不鲜。虚减成本费用是上市公司调增利润更简便的方法。在财务运作中 ,上市公司频繁运用虚拟资产、利息资本化等五种方法虚减成本费用     

管理案例教学法的探析

管理案例教学法是现代管理学教育中不可替代的重要方法 ,是目前大学教育中弥补学生管理实践不足、锻炼提高学生学会管理本领的重要手段 ,同时也是促进教师素质提高的重要途径。本文对此试作探析。