船舶出口企业结算风险防范研究

国际贸易中,国际结算在发挥巨大作用的同时,也因其风险可能会给交易双方带来巨大的损失。三种常用的结算方式为汇付、托收和信用证,我国船舶出口企业使用结算方式有其独特的特点和成因,应注意防范结算风险。在人民币不断升值的压力下,船舶出口企业要将多种结算方式结合使用,并大胆采用新型国际结算工具———福费廷和国际保理,以此更好地规避结算风险,提高企业在国际市场上的竞争力。     

企业的国际化感知风险对国际化绩效影响研究

以中国国际化企业为研究对象,探讨中国国际化企业的国际化感知风险对企业国际化绩效的影响。从国际化感知风险概念出发,通过引入企业资源能力(调节变量)和国际化市场进入模式(中介变量),剖析国际化感知风险对国际化绩效的影响,并在此基础上构建国际化感知风险与国际化绩效关系整合研究框架。通过对463家中国国际化企业的数据研究发现,国际化感知风险与国际化绩效之间存在显著负相关关系;国际化感知风险不仅直接作用于国际化绩效,而且还经由企业的市场进入模式间接作用于国际化绩效,即市场进入模式的中介作用显著;国际化感知风险对国际化绩效的作用受国际化经验的调节,国际化感知风险对国际化绩效的回归系数是国际化经验的二次函数。     

Risk management in a developing country context: improving decisions about point-of-use water treatment among the rural poor in Africa

More than 1 billion people, the vast majority of which live in the developing world, lack basic access to clean water for domestic use. For this reason, finding and promoting effective and sustainable solutions for the provision of reliable clean water in developing nations has become a focus of several public health and international development efforts. Even though several means of providing centrally located sources of clean water in developing communities exist, the severity and widespread nature of the water problem has led most development agencies and sanitation experts to strongly advocate the use of point-of-use treatment systems alongside whatever source of water people regularly use. In doing so, however, development practitioners have been careful to point out that any interventions or infrastructure regarding water safety and human health must also adhere to one of the central principles of international development: to facilitate more democratic and participatory models of decision making and governance. To this end, the research reported here focused on the development of a deliberative risk management framework for involving affected stakeholders in decisions about POU water treatment systems. This research, which was grounded in previous studies of structured decision making, took place in two rural villages in the East African nation of Tanzania.     

制度因素对我国国际储备的惯性影响

本文在缓冲储备理论中引入了习惯形成因素,在BS模型的基础上构造了一个既包括国际收支波动性和机会成本同时又考虑了习惯形成因素的动态调整模型。利用1996-2009年间中国国际储备的月度数据进行了实证分析,结果表明:(1)一国国际储备是国际收支不确定性和机会成本的函数,它们三者之间存在长期均衡关系,也就是说BS理论预期模型在经过适当的修正后对中国外汇储备规模的实证研究是适用的。(2)习惯形成参数越大,以往的制度因素形成的惯性对后期储备积累的影响就越大,国际收支不确定性以及机会成本对储备的影响也越小,并且这个惯性一旦形成,很难立刻改变。(3)正是由于考虑了习惯形成因素,外汇储备规模关于国际收支不确定性的弹性以及机会成本的弹性更接近于BS模型的理论预期值。     

货币政策规则对国际资本流动与人民币汇率的时变影响——基于TVP-SV-VAR模型的实证检验

本文从货币政策理论出发,构建以稳定国际资本流动与人民币汇率的“多目标”货币政策规则理论模型,并采用1998年1月至2019年11月的月度数据,建立开放经济下的TVP-SV-VAR模型,实证检验不同货币政策规则下货币供应冲击、利率冲击对国际资本流动与人民币汇率的时变与动态影响。结果表明：(1)不同时间阶段,货币政策冲击对国际资本流动和人民币汇率的影响存在较强的时变特征。(2)等间隔脉冲响应表明,货币政策冲击对国际资本流动的短期影响效应要高于中长期,而对人民币汇率的影响却存在一定滞后性和扩散性,且价格型规则更有利于熨平外部冲击对国际资本流动与人民币汇率的影响。(3)时点脉冲响应表明,利率冲击对国际资本流动和人民币汇率的影响弱于货币供应冲击,且利率冲击对国际资本流动的影响回到稳态均衡的速度更快。总体来看,在调节国际资本流动和稳定人民币汇率的效果上,价格型规则优于数量型规则,我国央行货币政策选择应逐步从数量型规则向价格型规则转变。     

中国宪法非讼化原因探析

中国宪法呈现为非讼化特征是有其历史必然性的。其主要原因在于 :前苏联宪法模式及其苏维埃宪法意识的影响 ,宪法章程化、宪法纲领化和宪法问题政治化等中国现代宪法观念的作用 ,以及中国社会民主意识和公民宪法权利意识的限制     

广州建设国际大都市的产业调适研究

产业结构与世界大都市整合是建设国际大都市最为重要的一个方面。本文分析了广州产业结构调适的必要性,认为广州与国际大都市相比较有明显的不足,因此必须从产业结构化、产业创新、产业成长的环境等方面着手,以产业发展的市场为导向,利用世界产业结构调整的机遇,迅速整合世界大都市产业发展的趋势,建立高度外向型、国际化、创新型协调发展的城市产业结构关系。     

South Africa's 'Rainbow People', National Pride and Happiness

Since the first free elections were held in April 1994, South Africans are popularly known as the 'rainbow people'. The paper inquires whether South Africans who experienced pride in their nation in the first years of democracy also perceived a greater sense of subjective well-being. It is proposed that national pride in post-apartheid South Africa might be fused with or work through self-esteem to lift levels of happiness. The paper traces the history of the new integrating civil religion of the rainbow people and the acceptance of the rainbow as a political symbol of unity among the diverse people of South Africa immediately after the 1994 elections and two years later. The proposed link between national pride and happiness was explored with data from two independent national surveys, the 1995 South African World Values Survey conducted by Markinor and a June 1996 MarkData syndicated omnibus survey. The study found that the appeal of the rainbow as political symbol was inclusive of all groups in society and that feelings of national pride and support for the rainbow ideal were positively associated with subjective well-being. As indicated by intensity and frequency measures, the majority of South Africans were proud of their country and could name a national achievement that inspired pride. Better-off South Africans tended to be happier and more satisfied with life but less proud, while the poor were less happy but fiercely proud of their country. Results suggest that belief in South Africa's 'rainbow nation' ideal may have assisted in boosting happiness during the transition to a stable democracy, thereby preventing alienation among the losers under the new political dispensation. Supporters of the ideal of the rainbow nation were more optimistic than others about the future of their country.     

国际关系理论中的主权与人权问题

主权与人权问题不仅是国际关系理论的两个主要范畴,也是给当今国际社会现实生活带来巨大影响的热点。在诸如主权原则、人权概念、二者的关系,人权的国际化趋势与国内管辖权的矛盾,以及由此对传统国际关系理论造成的冲击和对国际法、国际关系基本准则的挑战等方面,人们确有深入思考、探究和冷静应对的必要     

我国深化人力资源管理所面临的问题与对策

在经济全球化和知识经济时代,人力资源管理已成为管理学的核心,而劳动已超越资本成为价值的主要源泉。文章提出了在国际环境下深化我国人力资源管理所面临的具体问题及其解决方案。