发达国家农民现代化模式的借鉴

美国、法国、日本、韩国等国家农民现代化形成了各具特色的发展模式。借鉴发达国家的先进经验,为我所用,成为促进农民从传统到现代转变,实现中国现代化的有效路径。     

A reference activity model for smart factory design and improvement

Smart manufacturing systems (SMSs) are envisioned to contain highly automated and IT-driven production systems. To address the complexity that arises in such systems, a standard and holistic model for describing its activities and their interrelationships is needed. This paper introduces a factory design and improvement (FDI) activity model and illustrates a case study of FDI in an electromechanical component factory. In essence, FDI is a reference activity model that encompasses a range of manufacturing system activities for designing and improving a factory during its initial development and also its operational phases. The FDI model shows not only the dependency between activities and manufacturing control levels but also the pieces of information and software functions each activity relies on. We envision that the availability of these pieces of information in digital form to integrate across the software functions will increase the agility of factory design and improvement projects. Therefore, our future work lies in contributing to standards for exchanging such information.     

物资采购综合评价指标体系质量控制模型应用研究

本文依据非序列多层次目标准则建立了物资采购综合评价指标体系,应用模型参考思想构建了物资采购综合评价指标体系的质量控制模型及其目标函数,按照采购项目管理的运作程序对各个阶段的采购质量做了相应的评价,最后运用实例对以上讨论进行了定量化的分析。通过计算得到的数量指标,我们可以有效评价和控制物资采购工作,以期提高采购质量、节省经费开支。     

竞争中的参考价格效应及承诺

消费者的社会感知会影响其对产品和品牌的评价。当消费者进行购买选择时,经常会受到参考价格效应的影响。而广告和价格不仅是企业经常要考虑的重要决策,还会对参考价格产生重要影响。为此,一个值得研究的的问题是：在考虑参考价格效应的情况下,企业该怎样确定其动态广告和价格策略？
为了研究该问题,本文构建了一个广告和价格的动态模型,来研究一个双寡头市场环境下两个寡头企业的价格和广告决策,并以此分析参考价格效应的作用。具体而言,我们假定企业可以采用广告承诺和价格承诺中的一种,其中前者承诺其在一段时间内的广告投入量恒定不变,而后者确保价格不变。两种策略不仅会影响消费者的购买决策,也会影响竞争对手的选择。在上述假定下,我们探讨了两个寡头企业在都采用广告承诺、都采用价格承诺及一个企业采用广告承诺而另一个企业采用价格承诺等三种不同情形下的最优广告和价格决策,并以此分析了三种情形下参考价格效应对最优的广告投入及定价策略的影响。最后,通过数值分析,探讨了不同情形下企业的最优策略选择。     

目标导向层次分析方法

对含有抽象属性的多属性层次结构而言,层次分析法即AHP（包括DIS-AHP、ABS-AHP、IDE-AHP和SUP-AHP四种具体方法）会因比率比较基准缺失、权重内涵模糊不清或方案评价不保序而缺乏科学理性。为发展AHP,基于摆幅置权（SW）判断模式和多属性决策属性价值公度方法,首先给出了能为层次结构抽象属性上的SW判断提供支持的规约性多属性决策属性价值公度方法,然后由此并结合多属性价值理论给出了能够克服现有层次分析法内在缺陷的目标导向层次分析方法即ToAHP。相对于AHP,ToAHP在判断模式与权重内涵、方法建构的理论基础和相关假设检验、方案评价保序与其内在数理依据上具有明显的相对科学合理性。应用分析表明：在输入信息可比的条件下,ToAHP明显优于AHP的四种分析方法之中最具可信性的SUP-AHP方法。     

诱导性信息对消费者选择的折中效应的影响

为了考察消费者处于诱导性信息环境下的选择结果,通过2个实验发现,即使当消费者面对各种诱导性信息时,依然会在消费选择中表现出折中效应。但是,如果改变呈现诱导性信息的方式,使消费者在中性信息环境下自主做出选择,再呈现诱导信息,则可以系统性地弱化折中效应,从而改变消费者的选择偏好。     

C14. Moments of the kolmogorov-smirnov one-sample statistic

In adaptive estimation, it is often considered that an estimator has made a mistake if the component estimator chosen for use is not the most efficient for the distribution sampled. Theoretical and simulation results point to a fallacy in this line of thought. The Monte Carlo study involves extension of the Princeton Swindle to distributions conditional on a location and scale-free statistic, and to the uniform. The results give a partial explanation for the sometimes surprising robustness of adaptive L-estimators.     

A generalised Box–Cox transformation for the parametric estimation of clinical reference intervals

Parametric methods for the calculation of reference intervals in clinical studies often rely on the identification of a suitable transformation so that the transformed data can be assumed to be drawn from a Gaussian distribution. In this paper, the two-stage transformation recommended by the International Federation for Clinical Chemistry is compared with a novel generalised Box–Cox family of transformations. Investigation is also made of sample sizes needed to achieve certain criteria of reliability in the calculated reference interval. Simulations are used to show that the generalised Box–Cox family achieves a lower bias than the two-stage transformation. It was found that there is a possibility that the two-stage transformation will result in percentile estimates that cannot be back-transformed to obtain the required reference intervals, a difficulty not observed when using the generalised Box–Cox family introduced in this paper.     

陈果夫教育思想浅析

陈果夫的教育思想内容丰富,涵盖面广,主要包括:教育应以固有的伦理为基础;注重家庭教育,尤以母教为主;教育与实际相结合思想;教育以人为本思想;社会教育思想以及教育与三民主义相结合思想等。这些思想,对于当时人们的启迪教育以及中国教育现代化进程的推动曾发挥了一定的积极作用,且对现今的社会教育改革也有所裨益。     

美国教育行政研究及经验借鉴

本文通过对美国教育行政机构与职能的深入研究,探讨了美国教育行政的未来发展趋势。同时与我国教育行政进行了异同比较,提出应该借鉴美国经验,向间接管理过渡、严格执行教育法律法规、职业院校应面向市场需求办学等未来发展方向。