关于如何完善土地流转的制度探讨---基于日本农地中间管理制度的分析与启示

土地流转是实现农业现代化的基础条件之一,但是,实现土地有序流转需要建立完善的制度体系。日本近年实施的农地中间管理制度旨在通过建立农地中间管理机构(农地银行)及相应的流转机制和流转补贴制度,促进土地向农业承担主体集中,提高农业用地的利用效率和集约化程度,进而提高农业生产力。通过对该制度的细致总结和效果分析,认为中国的土地流转制度有必要以目标为导向,完善制度设计、细化政策措施、调整农业补贴并注重基层和农民参与。     

“未预结局”：一个壮族社区社神信仰的断裂与重拾

受政治、经济和文化等因素的深刻影响，处于乡村社会之中的民间信仰体系经历着两次较大规模的由断到续的过程。这个过程在很大程度上反映的是新中国成立60多年来中国民众宗教生活的状态，是一部新中国成立以来的民众宗教生活史。该研究集中对此两次“未预结局”现象进行讨论，通过其在一个壮族社区生活场景中的具体呈现，以展示出前后两次断裂与重拾的实际状况，尽力寻找这些现象背后的社会力量，以及这种力量与当地人社会生活之间的紧密关系。     

房屋拆迁中的国有土地使用权补偿司法实证研究

房屋拆迁中的国有土地使用权补偿是我国城镇房屋拆迁中的主要矛盾点之一。通过对司法判例进行实证研究发现，法院判决多数认为原告诉请国有土地使用权补偿于法无据，抑或认为对于国有土地使用权的补偿已随房屋评估作价。房屋拆迁的重点在于“地”，若仅对房屋所有权人进行补偿，而忽视国有土地使用权人，无疑会引发诸多诉讼，乃至于阻碍城镇化进程。因此，在渐进式改革的背景之下，可以开展国有土地使用权补偿的试点，同时应当完善《国有土地上房屋征收与补偿条例》，并将合理补偿原则作为补偿的基本原则，以此为基础建立一套独立于房屋拆迁补偿的国有土地使用权补偿体系。     

An Integrated Risk Assessment Model of Township‐Scaled Land Subsidence Based on an Evidential Reasoning Algorithm and Fuzzy Set Theory

Land subsidence risk assessment (LSRA) is a multi‐attribute decision analysis (MADA) problem and is often characterized by both quantitative and qualitative attributes with various types of uncertainty. Therefore, the problem needs to be modeled and analyzed using methods that can handle uncertainty. In this article, we propose an integrated assessment model based on the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm and fuzzy set theory. The assessment model is structured as a hierarchical framework that regards land subsidence risk as a composite of two key factors: hazard and vulnerability. These factors can be described by a set of basic indicators defined by assessment grades with attributes for transforming both numerical data and subjective judgments into a belief structure. The factor‐level attributes of hazard and vulnerability are combined using the ER algorithm, which is based on the information from a belief structure calculated by the Dempster‐Shafer (D‐S) theory, and a distributed fuzzy belief structure calculated by fuzzy set theory. The results from the combined algorithms yield distributed assessment grade matrices. The application of the model to the Xixi‐Chengnan area, China, illustrates its usefulness and validity for LSRA. The model utilizes a combination of all types of evidence, including all assessment information—quantitative or qualitative, complete or incomplete, and precise or imprecise—to provide assessment grades that define risk assessment on the basis of hazard and vulnerability. The results will enable risk managers to apply different risk prevention measures and mitigation planning based on the calculated risk states.     

马克思主义人学理论的动态历史考察

马克思主义人学思想是一个非常完整、科学的理论体系,其形成和发展主要经历了三个发展阶段:从博士论文到《1844年经济学哲学手稿》是其萌芽时期,提出了以劳动为基础的人学理论框架;从《神圣家族》到《共产党宣言》是其基本形成和发展时期,确立了人学理论的唯物主义立场;从《共产党宣言》到《资本论》是其成熟和完善时期,形成了以人的自由全面发展为最终归宿的完备人学理论体系。马克思主义人学在唯物史观的基础上实现了对以往人学理论的超越,为人和社会的发展开辟了广阔的前景。     

动态视角下中国城市群土地利用TFP测度及影响因素研究

提高城市群土地利用TFP对合理高效利用土地资源,协调好城市群经济发展、资源配置和环境保护具有重大理论和实践意义.文章运用DEA-Malmquist指数对2003—2016年动态视角下中国城市群土地利用TFP进行测度和时空演变分析,并利用Tobit回归模型对影响城市群土地利用TFP变化的因素进行深入研究.结果表明:从时间维度看,城市群土地利用TFP年均上升0.7％,城市群土地利用TFP增长由技术效率和技术进步"双核驱动",技术效率的提升主要与纯技术效率提升有关,规模效率是技术效率和土地利用TFP提升的瓶颈约束;从空间维度看,晋中、哈长、海峡西岸、中原、长江中游、北部湾、成渝、黔中、关中平原和兰西城市群土地利用TFP呈下降趋势,其余城市群土地利用TFP均呈上升趋势,且京津冀、呼包鄂榆、辽中南、长江三角洲、山东半岛和天山北坡城市群土地利用TFP增长为技术进步和技术效率"双核驱动";从影响因素看,人均GDP和年末金融机构人民币各项贷款余额对中国城市群土地利用TFP具有正向促进作用,城市财政支出占本市GDP的比重和人口密度具有负向阻碍作用.     

Spatial Distribution of Flood Risk and Quality of Spatial Management: Case Study in Odra Valley,Poland

This article presents methodological solutions aimed at presenting the spatial distribution of flood risk and quality of spatial management (land use), indicating both those areas used reasonably and those requiring modification. The purpose was to identify key risk areas and risk‐free areas from the point of view of human security and activity on the floodplains, based on the examples of the vicinities of Wroclaw and Raciborz in the Odra Valley, Poland. Due to recent climate change, Poland has suffered the effects of severe flooding (e.g., 1997, 2001, 2010). The analyses conducted were motivated by the European Parliament and Council's recently implemented Directive 2007/60/WE, as well as by the demand for studies for local spatial planning. The analysis indicates that reasonably developed areas do not account for the majority of those studied, making up 36% of the Wroclaw area and 15% of the Raciborz area.     

土地流转中为什么会形成大量小农复制

土地流转是实现规模化经营的前提之一,然而土地流转中却出现大量小农复制,从而影响土地流转的质量和效果。运用12省(自治区)2 553份农户问卷,详细分析土地流转中小农复制的现状及其形成原因。研究发现：(1)农户流转耕地面积不大,转入户流转面积20亩及以下的约占总转入户数的60.3％,转出户流转面积5亩及以下的约占总转出户数的74.38％,转出户中仍然经营土地的约占总转出户数的74％。(2)农业分工发达使生产更加方便、文化传统形成路径依赖、禀赋效应产生“价值幻觉”以及公共服务不健全使未来存在不确定性导致转出户流转部分土地。乡土社会限制土地流转范围和经营风险增加风险感知导致转入户流转小规模土地。     

黑龙江省农村土地经营改革基础及优势分析

农村土地经营制度的改革与创新,必须立足于农业生产力的发展水平,立足于农业生产资料的占有、使用情况。改革开放以来,我国在农村土地经营制度改革上取得了显著成绩。随着全球化经济趋势的加强,农村土地经营制度亟需现代化思路加以诠释。文章以我国农业大省之一——黑龙江省作为研究对象,试通过对农村土地改革的基础条件、优势资本的剖析,对这一问题的解决寻求方案。     

Revisiting the effectiveness of the employment‐oriented welfare state: Considering the quality of employment achievement

The purpose of this study was to examine the effectiveness of an employment‐oriented welfare state. While previous studies have focused on employment growth, this study considers the quality of employment, especially its mediating impact between public social expenditure and fiscal soundness. Three‐step mediated regression analysis was conducted on a data sample from 19 developed countries from 1991 to 2013. The results show that while public social expenditure negatively affects fiscal soundness, if it promotes total and part‐time employment, it can positively affect fiscal soundness. However, when the incidence of involuntary part‐time employment is high, public social expenditure and its impact on employment performance no longer guarantee fiscal soundness. This study addresses the importance of promoting not only employment growth but also employment quality to secure fiscal soundness.