Bootstrap bandwidth selection method for local linear estimator in exponential family models

Many biological experiments involve data whose distribution belongs to the exponential family. Such data are often analysed using generalised linear models but this method requires specification of the link function which can have strong influence on the resulting estimate. Instead a local method based on quasi-likelihood can be used, but the choice of the smoothing parameter is crucial for its performance. A bootstrap bandwidth selection method is proposed and shown to be consistent. Examples of application to data from biological and psychometric experiments are given.     

Empirical likelihood for parameters in an additive partially linear errors-in-variables model with longitudinal data

Empirical likelihood inferences for the parameter component in an additive partially linear errors-in-variables model with longitudinal data are investigated in this article. A corrected-attenuation block empirical likelihood procedure is used to estimate the regression coefficients, a corrected-attenuation block empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic is suggested and its asymptotic distribution is obtained. Compared with the method based on normal approximations, our proposed method does not require any consistent estimator for the asymptotic variance and bias. Simulation studies indicate that our proposed method performs better than the method based on normal approximations in terms of relatively higher coverage probabilities and smaller confidence regions. Furthermore, an example of an air pollution and health data set is used to illustrate the performance of the proposed method.     

Joint estimation of disease-specific sensitivities and specificities in reader-based multi-disease diagnostic studies of paired organs

Binocular data typically arise in ophthalmology where pairs of eyes are evaluated, through some diagnostic procedure, for the presence of certain diseases or pathologies. Treating eyes as independent and adopting the usual approach in estimating the sensitivity and specificity of a diagnostic test ignores the correlation between fellow eyes. This may consequently yield incorrect estimates, especially of the standard errors. The paper is concerned with diagnostic studies wherein several diagnostic tests, or the same test read by several readers, are administered to identify one or more diseases. A likelihood-based method of estimating disease-specific sensitivities and specificities via hierarchical generalized linear mixed models is proposed to meaningfully delineate the various correlations in the data. The efficiency of the estimates is assessed in a simulation study. Data from a study on diabetic retinopathy are analyzed to illustrate the methodology.     

A generalized linear model approach to seasonal aspects of wind speed modeling

The aim of the article is to identify the intraday seasonality in a wind speed time series. Following the traditional approach, the marginal probability law is Weibull and, consequently, we consider seasonal Weibull law. A new estimation and decision procedure to estimate the seasonal Weibull law intraday scale parameter is presented. We will also give statistical decision-making tools to discard or not the trend parameter and to validate the seasonal model.     

Accurate Confidence Interval Estimation of Small Area Parameters Under the Fay–Herriot Model

Small area estimation has long been a popular and important research topic due to its growing demand in public and private sectors. We consider here the basic area level model, popularly known as the Fay–Herriot model. Although much of current research is predominantly focused on second order unbiased estimation of mean squared prediction errors, we concentrate on developing confidence intervals (CIs) for the small area means that are second order correct. The corrected CI can be readily implemented, because it only requires quantities that are already estimated as part of the mean squared error estimation. We extend the approach to a CI for the difference of two small area means. The findings are illustrated with a simulation study.     

A Simultaneous Confidence Band for Dense Longitudinal Regression

We present a method of using local linear smoothing to construct simultaneous confidence bands for the mean function of densely spaced functional data. Our approach works well under mild conditions. In addition, the local linear estimator and its accompanying confidence band enjoy semiparametric efficiency in the sense that they are asymptotically equivalent to the counterparts obtained from the random trajectories entirely observed without errors. We illustrate the performance of the proposed confidence band through a simulation study. Furthermore, an application in food science is presented.     

A Generalized Stochastic Restricted Ridge Regression Estimator

In this article, we introduce a new stochastic restricted estimator for the unknown vector parameter in the linear regression model when stochastic linear restrictions on the parameters hold. We show that the new estimator is a generalization of the ordinary mixed estimator (OME), Liu estimator (LE), ordinary ridge estimator (ORR), (k-d) class estimator, stochastic restricted Liu estimator (SRLE), and stochastic restricted ridge estimator (SRRE). Performance of the new estimator in comparison to other estimators in terms of the mean squares error matrix (MMSE) is examined. Numerical example from literature have been given to illustrate the results.     

Random Effects Modeling and the Zero-Inflated Poisson Distribution

Overdispersion due to a large proportion of zero observations in data sets is a common occurrence in many applications of many fields of research; we consider such scenarios in count panel (longitudinal) data. A well-known and widely implemented technique for handling such data is that of random effects modeling, which addresses the serial correlation inherent in panel data, as well as overdispersion. To deal with the excess zeros, a zero-inflated Poisson distribution has come to be canonical, which relaxes the equal mean-variance specification of a traditional Poisson model and allows for the larger variance characteristic of overdispersed data. A natural proposal then to approach count panel data with overdispersion due to excess zeros is to combine these two methodologies, deriving a likelihood from the resulting conditional probability. In performing simulation studies, we find that this approach in fact poses problems of identifiability. In this article, we construct and explain in full detail why a model obtained from the marriage of two classical and well-established techniques is unidentifiable and provide results of simulation studies demonstrating this effect. A discussion on alternative methodologies to resolve the problem is provided in the conclusion.     

冷轧生产批量计划与调度问题模型及算法

对冷轧生产系统特点进行分析,将冷轧生产批量计划与调度问题抽象为多阶段、多品种带有中间库的批量计划与调度问题。针对该问题建立了数学模型,通过对库存成本和调整成本惩罚系数的控制可以协调库存水平和调整次数的关系。对所建立的模型,提出了基于二进制粒子群优化与局部搜索的混合求解算法。最后,通过对企业实际生产数据的计算和分析,验证了模型和算法的可行性和有效性。     

城市交通规划中的交通方式结构

确定在不同城市规模(交通需求)情况下相应的最适交通方式结构,为城市交通发展规划提供科学依据。研究导致城市规模(交通需求)产生变化的影响因素,如城市人口、经济水平等,与形成不同交通方式的经济特点的影响因素,如居民年龄、出行距离、收入水平等在一定程度上存在相关。基于如上机理,确定参数,建立多目标线性规划模型,确立在不同城市规模下的最优运输方式结构,并利用大连市的实际交通资料进行计算。