对推进西部文化产业深入发展的再思考

文化产业对提高区域竞争力起着至关重要的作用。应该在打造文化新经济产业、依托优势资源、加强横向联系、推进文化产业价值链的融合与延伸等方面加强力度,推进西部文化产业的深入发展。     

高职院校思想政治教育联动机制探析

高职院校思想政治教育是一项系统工程,各个环节、各组成部分之间不能相互协调形成整体联动,已成为制约学生思想政治教育有效进行的重要因素。采取构建思想政治教育各职能部门协调联动,思想政治理论课教育与专业课教育联动,理论教育与实践教育联动,网络教育与传统教育联动,学校、家庭、社会教育联动等措施,能有效解决这一问题。     

SPECIAL ISSUE： REGIONAL CONVERGENCE AND COORDINATED URBAN GROWTH Regional Correlation and Spatial Spillovers in China＇s Regional Economic Growth

本文使用探索性空间数据分析工具研究了1988．2009年问中国各省区人均GDP的空间分布格局与特征,结果显示,一方面,存在着全域范围的正的空间自相关性,并且这种相关性随着时间的推移在增大;另一方面,局域相关也显示出中国局域性的空间集聚特征越来越明显。以一个表征市场潜能对地区经济发展影响的新经济地理学模型为基础,本文通过计量分析进一步考察了中国区域经济发展的空间溢出效应。经验分析表明,空间溢出效应是中国地区经济发展不可忽视的重要影响因素,市场潜能每增长1％,地区人均GDP增长率将提高0．47％,超过了地区固定资产投资增长的弹性值。当然,实证分析也发现这种空间溢出效应会随着地区间距离间隔的增加而减少。     

制度关联、广义内部人控制与股市泡沫——我国股市泡沫的制度分析

从我国转轨经济的制度背景出发 ,通过股市制度变迁中时间维度的历时性关联与空间维度的共时性关联机制 ,指出由于我国股市制度变迁中政府的行政性干预 ,股市制度安排出现了以政府为核心的政府、中介、上市公司、机构投资者四个层次的广义内部人控制。股市广义内部人控制导致从投资者→国有企业→内部人的单向利益流动机制 ,这种利益的单向流动机制破坏了股市中正常的聚财、用财、生财的双向利益流动机制 ,从而形成了我国股市潜在的体制性泡沫 ,即股票的市场价格过度上涨 ,股票的内在价值不断下跌。最终根据制度变迁的关联关系提出了深化产权改革、通过市场竞争培育真正的市场主体的制度对策。     

Ascertainment-Adjusted Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Additive Genetic Gamma Frailty Model

The additive genetic gamma frailty model has been proposed for genetic linkage analysis for complex diseases to account for variable age of onset and possible covariates effects. To avoid ascertainment biases in parameter estimates, retrospective likelihood ratio tests are often used, which may result in loss of efficiency due to conditioning. This paper considers when the sibships are ascertained by having at least two affected sibs with the disease before a given age and provides two approaches for estimating the parameters in the additive gamma frailty model. One approach is based on the likelihood function conditioning on the ascertainment event, the other is based on maximizing a full ascertainment-adjusted likelihood. Explicit forms for these likelihood functions are derived. Simulation studies indicate that when the baseline hazard function can be correctly pre-specified, both approaches give accurate estimates of the model parameters. However, when the baseline hazard function has to be estimated simultaneously, only the ascertainment-adjusted likelihood method gives an unbiased estimate of the parameters. These results imply that the ascertainment-adjusted likelihood ratio test in the context of the additive genetic gamma frailty may be used for genetic linkage analysis.     

人力资源管理实践和企业绩效关系的中介机制研究综述

人力资源管理和企业绩效之间的中介机制研究受到了越来越多的关注.本文从理论构建和实证研究两个方面讨论了近年来该领域取得的进展和存在的局限性,并对今后的研究提出了一些建议.     

行政记录整合的贝叶斯分层记录链接模型及应用

记录链接的技术问题与统计理论密切相关,尤其是在建立记录链接分类规则时需要构建统计模型,识别关键变量以完成数据匹配。在贝叶斯框架下构建分层模型整合行政记录,通过多元回归可以实现匹配错误率的估计,而且一对一限制下的记录链接允许通过模块反映记录信息的来源变化,基于MCMC模拟的后验分布计算方便,有助于提高数据整合效率。     

Advantages of Groups in Market Transactions

This paper takes individuals as rationaleconomic decision makers but ones operating withinwell-defined groups not just today but into the futurewhen a reputation for fair dealing will be ofsignificance. The paper explores the functional advantageswhich might accrue from group membership in suchcircumstances. As social science makes clear, mostgroups come into being for social and cultural reasonsindependent of any obvious immediate economic advantage.For this reason, this paper is exploratory of theboundary between economic reasoning and that of othersocial sciences. It explores the bridge toofar, cited by Loveridge in the 1993 special editionof this journal. This is a metaphor for the possibilityof a meaningful connector between social psychologicaland economic reasoning. This paper tentatively looks into the relationships that might beestablished between the specific economic analysiscovered by this paper and that deployed in other socialsciences. In essence, the paper suggests that bothreputational and informational benefits arise from groupbehavior. These benefits accrue to both its members andothers. By extension it is argued that similaradvantages can accrue to families ofproducts in marketing. In both cases, reputationallinkage serves as a commitment device(Schelling, 1960) with ensuing benefits to all membersof the group or product family. These relationships areseen to mediate the reputational guarantees given to consumers.     

上海自贸区物流管理对皖江物流联动的启示——基于皖江城市带的建设历程

皖江城市带与上海自贸区都位于长江沿岸,在地理位置、货物运输等方面具有相似性,因此上海自贸区在物流方面的管理经验对其有导向性和可复制意义。通过定性分析法研究了皖江物流近十年来在内河规模、货物吞吐量以及公路、水运货运量等方面的现状以及皖江物流联动与上海自贸区物流之间的联系,运用SWOT分析框架分析了皖江物流面临的优势、劣势、机会以及威胁,借鉴上海自贸区关于诚信通关、冷链物流、物流园建设以及负面清单制度等方面的成功经验,针对当前皖江物流联动的劣势,提出了简政放权、借力冷链物流发展农村电商、发展大型第三方物流企业、促进制造业与物流业联动发展、培养物流专业人才等方面的改进措施。