Internet与未来教育

Internet是20世纪末世界上最激动人心的发现,它将我们带入了一个完全信息化的时代,它正在改变着人们的生活和工作方式,也必将对中国未来教育发生深远的影响。从教育的内容、教育的方式方法、教育的观念等诸方面阐述了Internet对未来教育的影响,分析了未来教育将向着终身化、远程化和多媒体化、大众化、个性化、产业化和市场化等方向发展的趋势,同时提出了我们应采取的对策。     

卡伯拉尔远航印度意义初探

1500-1501年卡伯拉尔率葡萄牙舰队远航印度,堪称地理大发现第一阶段仅次于三大航行的第四大航行。这次远航经过了欧美非亚四大洲,往返行程5.5万公里。卡伯拉尔远航开创了发现、殖民南美大陆和巴西的进程,重新发现了世界第四大岛马达加斯加。从此葡萄牙人在印度辟建商站立足插手,创建商业殖民帝国;同时开始在印度洋上打击摩尔人—穆斯林,由此开辟了反击反包围摩尔人—穆斯林的新战线,实现了当初的一个战略意图,问鼎印度洋霸权。     

从"终身体育"视角谈高职体育素质教育

高职学校体育是终身体育前期阶段的一种特殊形态。为此,要从体育改革基本理念的三个方面,即终身体育观、体育与健康素质教育观和育人为本的课程设计观出发,构建符合素质教育要求的高职体育课程及教材体系。     

浅论建立保持老党员先进性长效机制

保持共产党员先进性，是每一个党员的政治使命，不以党员的身份与年龄而改变。离退休老年党员队伍是党的机体的重要组成部分。在新的历史条件下，不断探索保持老党员先进性长效机制，使老党员政治上永葆青春，思想常注活力，不仅是加强党的执政能力，完善马克思主义建党学说的重要方面，而且是我国人口老龄化加剧的前提下，研究推进政治、经济、文化发展和构建和谐社会的重要一环。     

上海股市周日历效应及长期记忆研究

运用ARMA-GARCH-M、EGARCH-M及FIGARCH-M模型对上海股市A股指数收益率及其波动性的周日历效应进行联合检验;另外还检验了成交量的周日历效应。研究结果表明:(1)风险溢价系数为正值,上海股市的风险传递机制正在发挥作用;(2)股市收益率序列存在显著的周日历效应,并且其异常收益并非来自风险溢价;(3)波动性过程同时存在周日历效应和长期记忆效应;(4)股市交易量同时存在周日历效应和长期记忆效应。最后利用混合分布假说进行了解释,信息可能是周日历效应形成的重要原因。     

“受事+施事+vp”型主谓谓语句的句法、篇章功能考察

"受事 施事 vp"型主谓谓语句的形成和使用受到句法、篇章的制约.在句法上有强调、突出受事主语和强调、突出补语成分的作用.在篇章中,受事主语有衔接连贯、对比和开启下文的作用,衔接连贯的受事主语能够使文气顺畅;对比的受事主语带有话题焦点的性质;开启下文的受事主语可以使主题统一;施事主语有对比强调和开启下文的作用,对比强调的施事主语带有对比焦点的性质;开启下文的施事主语起到主题统一的作用.     

Piecewise FARIMA models for long-memory time series

We consider the problem of modelling a long-memory time series using piecewise fractional autoregressive integrated moving average processes. The number as well as the locations of structural break points (BPs) and the parameters of each regime are assumed to be unknown. A four-step procedure is proposed to find out the BPs and to estimate the parameters of each regime. Its effectiveness is shown by Monte Carlo simulations and an application to real traffic data modelling is considered.     

The turn to optional familialism through the market: Long‐term care,cash‐for‐care,and caregiving policies in Europe

Cash‐for‐care (CfC) schemes are monetary transfers to people in need of care who can use them to organize their own care arrangements. Mostly introduced in the 1990s, these schemes combine different policy objectives, as they can aim at (implicitly or explicitly) supporting informal caregivers as well as increasing user choice in long‐term care or even foster the formalization of care relations and the creation of care markets. This article explores from a comparative perspective, how CfC schemes, within broader long‐term care policies, envision, frame, and aim to condition informal care, if different models of relationships between CfC and informal care exist and how these have persisted or changed over time and into which directions. Building on the scholarly debate on familialization vs. defamilialization policies, the paper proposes an analytical framework to investigate the trajectories of seven European countries over a period of 20 years. The results show that, far from being simply instruments of supported familialism, CfC schemes have contributed to a turn towards “optional familialism through the market,” according to which families are encouraged to provide family care and are (directly or indirectly) given alternatives through the provision of market care.     

Local asymptotic normality for long-memory process with strong mixing noises

Abstract

We will establish the local asymptotic normality (LAN) for fractional autoregressive long memory model in the case of strong mixing noises. This opens the way in future work to construct an adaptive estimator and construct optimal tests for the parameters. To check the feasibility and validity of our theoretical results a simulations study is considered.     

新世纪以来大学题材长篇小说的基本类型

在当代文学领域，大学题材长篇小说创作长期处于边缘位置，直至进入新世纪，该类作品才大量出现。根据文本内容与现实生活的距离以及不同的艺术手法，可以将这些文本大致划分为三种类型：回忆型、体验型和想象型，其中后两者在内容方面有一定交互性，但在创作技法上却有显著不同，想象型文本虽也有现实底色，但艺术手法更为夸张。这三种类型的出现，既有文学题材自身的原因，也与作家们的身份和经历、文学自身艺术手法的多样以及日益宽松的创作环境有关。