立足培养规范程序促进成长--积极慎重地做好大学生党员发展工作思考

本文针对高校党组织在积极加大发展党员工作力度的基础上,如何在发展工作中把好质量关进行了探讨.介绍了我校在抓好入党积极分子的教育培训,规范发展党员工作程序,以支部建设促进党员继续教育等工作中的具体做法和成功经验.     

Coherent Frequentism: A Decision Theory Based on Confidence Sets

By representing fair betting odds according to one or more pairs of confidence set estimators, dual parameter distributions called confidence posteriors secure the coherence of actions without any prior distribution. This theory reduces to the maximization of expected utility when the pair of posteriors is induced by an exact or approximate confidence set estimator or when a reduction rule is applied to the pair. Unlike the p-value, the confidence posterior probability of an interval hypothesis is suitable as an estimator of the indicator of hypothesis truth since it converges to 1 if the hypothesis is true or to 0 otherwise.     

Cramér-Rao lower bounds for estimators based on censored data

The Cramér-Rao lower bounds for the variances of unbiased estimators based on censored data are given. Useful techniques of evaluation are then derived for these lower bounds. Examples are given to illustrate these techniques. Small-sample comparisons are made between the resulting lower bounds, the variances of the best linear unbiased estimators, and the variances of unbiased esti-mators which are based on the maximum likelihood estimators.     

Dempster's combination rule and sufficient statistics

In his articles (1966-1968) concerning statistical inference based on lower and upper probabilities, Dempster refers to the connection between Fisher's fiducial argument and his own ideas of statistical inference. Dempster's main concern however focuses on the “Bayesian” aspects of his theory and not on an elaboration of the relation between Fisher's and his ideas. This article attempts to work out the connection between those two approaches and focuses primarily on the question, whether Dempster's combination rule, his upper and lower probabilty based on sufficient statistics and inference based on sufficient statistics in Fisher's sense are consistent. To be adequate to Fisher's reasoning, we deal with absolutely continuous, one parametric families of distributions.This is certainly not the usual assumption in context with Dempster's theory and implies a normative but straightforward definition concerning the underlying conditional distribution; this definition however is done in Dempster's spirit as can be seen from his articles, (1966, 1968,a,b). Under those assumptions it can be shown that - similar to Lindley's results concerning consistency in fiducial reasoning (1958) - the combination rule, Dempster's procedure based on sufficient statistics and fiducial inference by sufficient statistics agree iff the parametric family under consideration can be transformed to location parameter form.     

Developing a variables repetitive group sampling plan based on process capability index C pk with unknown mean and variance

In this paper, variables repetitive group sampling plans are developed based on the process capability index C _pk when the quality characteristic follows a normal distribution with unknown mean and variance. The sampling plan parameters such as the sample size and the acceptance constant are determined to minimize the average sample number. Symmetric and asymmetric cases, in percent defectives due to two specification limits, are dealt with for specified combinations of acceptable quality level and limiting quality level. Tables are provided and examples are given to use proposed plans in practice.     

A lower bound for the centred L 2-discrepancy on combined designs under the asymmetric factorials

The foldover is a useful technique in the construction of two-level factorial designs for follow-up experiments. To search an optimal foldover plans is an important issue. In this paper, for a set of asymmetric fractional factorials such as the original designs, a lower bound for centred L ₂-discrepancy of combined designs under a general foldover plan is obtained, which can be used as a benchmark for searching optimal foldover plans. All of our results are the extended ones of Ou et al. [Lower bounds of various discrepancies on combined designs, Metrika 74 (2011), pp. 109–119] for symmetric designs to asymmetric designs. Moreover, it also provides a theoretical justification for optimal foldover plans in terms of uniformity criterion.     

一种适用于NGSO MSS网络的混合信道分配方案

针对ＮＧＳＯＭＳＳ网络的动态特性,提出了一种适用于该网络的混合信道分配方案。在该方案中,固定信道采用非均匀压缩图案分配算法分配给各小区作为标称信道专用,并定期根据变化了的业务条件进行重新分配,动态信道的指派采用最先可行ＦＡ（ＦｉｒｓｔＡｖａｉｌａｂｌｅ）算法。仿真结果表明,在较宽的负载范围内,运用该方案比固定信道分配方案均有更好的性能,并能有效地降低切换呼叫和信道更新期间的呼损率,从而显著提高网络的业务承载量。     

积极心理取向《大学生心理健康教育》课程教学设计研究

《大学生心理健康教育》选修课在大学生心理健康教育中发挥着主渠道的作用。但当前以问题为核心的大学生心理健康课程教学模式阻碍了课程教学效果的不断提高。针对这个问题,积极心理学提出了解决问题的新视角。以积极心理学教育理念为指导,论述了"主题探讨—心理辅导与训练—思考、价值澄清与分享"的团体辅导式的教学设计方案。     

大学生亚健康问题探析

为适应现代社会发展的需要,在我们提出构建和谐社会、以人为本理念的今天,培养良好的国民身体素质被提到了突出的高度.而当前中国大学生身体素质不佳已成为一个不争的事实.文章在分析影响大学生身心健康主要因素的基础上,探讨了当代大学生应具备的健康身体素质及加强大学生健康教育工作的途径.     

河北省大学生心理健康状况调查及对策研究

通过对河北省8所不同层次的大学2000 名在校学生进行分层整体取样,调查结果显示,我省在校大学生心理健康状况总体良好,但也有一定数量的学生存在着不同程度的心理问题。在受测对象中,大学生心理问题检出率达11.3%。在对形成这些心理问题的各方面因素进行分析和研究的基础上,本文提出了加强和改善大学生心理健康状况的对策和措施。