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151.
What determines risk attraction or aversion? We experimentally examine three factors: the gain-loss dichotomy, the probabilities (0.2 vs. 0.8), and the money at risk (7 amounts). We find that the majority display risk attraction for small amounts of money, and risk aversion for larger amounts. Yet the frequency of risk attraction varies according to the gain-loss dichotomy and the probabilities. Kahneman and Tversky studied gain-loss reflections. We submit that a reflection can be decomposed into a translation and a probability switch. We find significant translation and switch effects, which are of comparable magnitude, a result that is equidistant from the diverging two popular views inspired by Prospect Theory: the gain-loss asymmetry, and the fourfold pattern. 相似文献
152.
ABSTRACTWhen a distribution function is in the max domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution, its tail can be well approximated by a generalized Pareto distribution. Based on this fact we use a moment estimation idea to propose an adapted maximum likelihood estimator for the extreme value index, which can be understood as a combination of the maximum likelihood estimation and moment estimation. Under certain regularity conditions, we derive the asymptotic normality of the new estimator and investigate its finite sample behavior by comparing with several classical or competitive estimators. A simulation study shows that the new estimator is competitive with other estimators in view of average bias, average MSE, and coefficient of variance of the new device for the optimal selection of the threshold. 相似文献
153.
H. M. Barakat 《Statistics》2013,47(5):1005-1012
In this paper, we show that both the class of beta-generated distributions GF and its base distribution F belong to the same domain of maximal (or minimal or upper record value or lower record value) attraction. Moreover, it is shown that the weak convergence of any non-extreme order statistic (central or intermediate order statistic), based on a base distribution F, to a non-degenerate limit type implies the weak convergence of GF to a non-degenerate limit type. The relations between the two limit types are deduced. 相似文献
154.
利用1,3-偶极环加成合成了新的去甲去氢斑蝥素衍生物,借助1HNMR、13CNMR及相关的2DNMR谱的分析,对斑蝥素衍生物的氢谱和碳谱进行了归属,并确证了该类化合物的构象. 相似文献
155.
利用动态因果模型,分析右手运动执行和想象过程中功能磁共振实验数据对侧初级运动皮层(M1)和双侧辅助运动区(SMA)的动态功能网络,发现了左侧SMA在右手运动执行和运动想象过程中的主导作用,以及运动想象过程中左侧SMA对左侧M1的抑制作用;进一步分析了运动执行和想象过程的动态功能网络的差异,发现了实验刺激模式在两种不同的动态网络中对激活脑区的激活和抑制作用的转化,揭示了运动执行和想象动态功能网络转换的神经机制。 相似文献
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M. Granger Morgan Paul Slovic Indira Nair Dan Geisler Donald MacGregor Baruch Fischhoff David Lincoln Keith Florig 《Risk analysis》1985,5(2):139-149
The perception of the potential risk arising from human exposure to 50/60 Hz electric and magnetic fields was studied with a quasi-random sample of 116 well-educated, opinion leaders using the risk perception framework previously developed by Slovic, Fischhoff, and Lichtenstein. These individuals rated exposure to fields from transmission lines and electric blankets on a variety of scales that have been found useful in characterizing people's risk attitudes and perceptions. These judgments allowed us to conjecture about the likely desire for regulation of these potential hazards and the likely response to a publicized problem (e.g., an accident or ominous research finding) involving these two sources of exposure. Various forms of detailed information about 50/60 Hz fields were supplied to respondents. The provision of information produced modest, but statistically significant, changes in perceptions in the direction of greater concern about the risks. In response to questions of public policy, participants desired modest regulatory control of field exposure from transmission lines and little or no control of field exposure from appliances like electric blankets. 相似文献