Follow the leader! The peer effect in aid supply decisions

This study assesses the existence of imitative behaviour among donors in terms of their aid supply. The urgency in addressing this subject is motivated by an increasing degree of aid volatility and unpredictability which may be linked to this imitative behaviour. Our results highlight that while any connection among donor peers is a potential channel for the transmission of aid volatility, the extent of such volatility decreases significantly in the presence of established imitative behaviour. This result suggests that the promotion of donor imitative behaviour would contribute to containing the current and growing trend of volatility in aid supply.     

与时俱进办好社科期刊发展繁荣哲学社会科学

江泽民同志连续三次就哲学社会科学的发展问题作了重要讲话,从治党兴国的战略高度,强调了哲学社会科学的重要性,指明了哲学社会科学发展的正确方向,这些讲话是新时期关于哲学社会科学发展的纲领性文件.文章论述了学习江泽民讲话的重要意义,着重论述社会科学期刊编辑工作者如何贯彻"讲话"精神,做好工作,并就在办刊实践中应坚持正确的导向、增强创新意识、精心策划选题以及树立精品意识做好编稿工作等几个方面进行了探讨.     

多圈层——中心辐射式选题策划模式

目前选题策划在我国出版界处于起步和尝试阶段,受到出版界的高度重视.本文在对比分析若干策划模式利弊的基础上,提出一种"多圈层-中心辐射式"的选题策划模式.该模式是指建立以社长、总编为核心、以编辑室主任和发行部门负责人为骨干、以广大编辑为补充的三层策划网络系统.该模式强调全编辑职能扩展,能够调动各层面人员的积极性,形成选题策划合力,避免或减少人员之间的感情隔阂和选题策划的盲目性.     

不确定环境下新技术投资策略模型研究

探讨企业关于可升级换代新技术的投资策略选择问题,建立了基于实物期权方法的投资分析模型,模型有完备的解析解.阐述分析了企业可选择的五种基本投资策略,这些策略充分考虑了隐含的期权价值,可为企业管理者提供有益的决策参考和实践指导.     

internet网上旱地农业土壤灌溉和需水管理决策支持系统

本文通过对因特网旱地农业土壤灌溉和需水管理决策支持的设计和分析的介绍,较具体地阐明了internet技术在旱地农业土壤灌溉研究的应用,讲述了系统所提供的各种功能,深入浅出地阐明了该系统提供的决策分析模型。说明该系统是旱地水资源可持续利用的重要辅助决策工具。     

群决策中基于语言信息处理的一种理想点法

针对具有自然语言评价信息的多指标群决策问题,提出了一种基于语言信息处理的理想点法。该方法是采用近年来最新发展的LWD算子和LOWA算子对自然语言符号进行处理和运算,通过计算每个方案与正负理想点间的距离,最终确定最优方案,使该方案最贴近正理想点和最远离负理想点。最后给出了一个算例。     

企业经理风险决策行为的实证研究

本文报告的两项研究系统深入地探讨了中国企业经理的风险决策行为。在研究一中,214名企业经理填答了效用测量表;在研究二中,82名企业经理填答风险决策情景模拟表。结果发现,个人特征(如性别、职位、所在企业的性质与规模等)、决策任务特征(如结果值的符号与大小)以及决策环境特征(如企业文化、企业经营状况、上司的风险态度等)均是影响企业经理风险决策行为的关键变量。本文为建立风险决策行为的理论或模型提供了基本的参考资料。     

一类两层多目标决策问题及其交互式决策方法

两层多目标决策问题是。一类非常现实而又非常复杂的问题。本文探讨了问题的决策机制：合作决策机制与独立决策机制,说明了它们的决策求解等价于求解具隐含约束的多目标规划问题。该问题可用增广加权Tchebycheff范数优化问题有效表示其非劣解集,可应用steuer Choo思想设计辅两层多目标决策的交互式方法。     

The case of post-acquisition integration design decisions

In a multi-method study that examined post-acquisition integration design decisions, managers were found to have poor insight into the values underlying their decision making. This lack of insight was not found to be moderated by increased levels of experience with acquisition decision making, and its effects were reflected in post-acquisition performance.     

Framing Emerging Environmental Movement Tactics: Mobilizing Consensus,Demobilizing Conflict

This paper is a study of an emerging environmental decision-making model that attempts to move beyond traditionally adversarial approaches toward consensus building. Consensus-based decision making ostensibly allows activists equal power with industrialists and state actors in environmental policy-making. This research builds upon the growing literature on frame-analysis by demonstrating that there are instances when challengers actually engage in collaborative framing with their adversaries. This does not presume that activists reject oppositional framing altogether. In these cases, environmentalists actually draw on a mixture of confrontation and negotiation in this innovative form of collective action that positions them in contexts most environmentalists never experience—a place at the decision-making table with elites. This study reveals that environmentalists are becoming more sophisticated in their efforts to protect local communities and natural resources.