怎样評价一个专家系统

本文首先介绍了专家系统,然后着重介绍了国外评价专家系统的准则。它包括基本特性的估计、开发环境、学习和使用性、成本以及怎样得到支持等,最后将举例说明怎样用这些准则来评价一个实际的专家系统。     

从供应链分析探讨传统出口型外贸企业的发展战略

从分析传统外贸企业在国际供应链中的地位入手,研究了传统外贸企业的现有功能和功能扩展空间,从而提出传统外贸企业应该坚持加强供应链管理、加强战略合作伙伴关系的建设,并努力实现信息化的战略发展方向。     

中国高等教育与经济发展的区域协调性

 本文应用因子分析法对我国分地区高等教育与经济发展水平的协调性进行了实证分析。利用31个省区市2006年横截面数据计算了各地高等教育与经济发展的因子得分,进行排序、等级差和相关性分析。研究表明：31个省区市中,高等教育与经济发展协调程度为好和较好的有12个,差和较差的有13个,协调程度一般的有6个,总体协调程度较差。在分析个案原因的基础上,提出高等教育发展规划要更多考虑地方经济发展状况和潜力;鼓励高等教育发展滞后地区的地方政府加大对高等教育投资,支持社会资本进入高等教育领域;适当控制发展过度地区的高等教育规模,并加大中央财政对西部欠发达地区的财政支持。     

Promoting the Visibility of Educational Research through an Institutional Repository

Established in 1994 through the amalgamation of several teacher training colleges, The Hong Kong Institute of Education (HKIEd) is the major multidisciplinary teacher education provider in the Hong Kong SAR. Despite this, the Institute does not have a particularly high research profile when compared with its peer institutions in Hong Kong and around the world. Its research publishing achieves modest exposure and impact in international educational research literature. The Institute has a goal to attain the title of a “university of education” and has identified an improvement in its research output and profile as critical to achieving this. In this context the HKIEd Library embarked on the redevelopment of its institutional repository, changing its direction from being an archive of institutional publications to one which brought together and offered access to the sum total of published output of the Institute since its foundation, in a deliberate effort to promote Institute research. This paper explores the particular approach taken by the Library to the development of the institutional repository, how the repository contributes directly to and aligns with the research strategies of the Institute, and the impact the Repository has had so far on improving the profile of research at HKIEd.     

中国城市化与生态环境协调发展预警系统研究

本文构建了城市化与生态环境协调发展预警指标体系,并对1991～2010年中国城市化与生态环境的协调度进行了测算及预测,根据协调度建立了预警系统,并对90年代以来中国城市化与生态环境的协调发展进行了分析。结果表明,2007年以来,中国的生态环境不断恶化,城市化与生态环境的协调度不断下降,保护生态环境成为城市化进程中的重要问题。     

Non-parametric estimation of data dimensionality prior to data compression: the case of the human development index

In many applications in applied statistics, researchers reduce the complexity of a data set by combining a group of variables into a single measure using a factor analysis or an index number. We argue that such compression loses information if the data actually have high dimensionality. We advocate the use of a non-parametric estimator, commonly used in physics (the Takens estimator), to estimate the correlation dimension of the data prior to compression. The advantage of this approach over traditional linear data compression approaches is that the data do not have to be linearised. Applying our ideas to the United Nations Human Development Index, we find that the four variables that are used in its construction have dimension 3 and the index loses information.     

Rethinking Print Periodicals Holdings Retention Policy in Small Academic Libraries

Abstract

Collection development policies in small academic libraries may lack a formal policy statement about print periodical holdings retention. However, there is a need for a distinct policy about print periodicals holdings and their retention. Periodicals collections at academic libraries have been greatly affected by publishers’ decisions to discontinue print journal formats and move to online-only electronic versions. The move from one format to another produces challenges to the retention of an effective print periodicals collection. Given these continuous changes in publication format, it is necessary for academic libraries to rethink their print periodicals holdings retention. This article will present a literature review on and case study of periodicals collection management and explore strategies for developing holdings policies and guidelines for retention. It will argue that collection development policies ought to include a separate policy for the print periodicals collection and that unlike their reputation for being time-consuming and inflexible, periodical retention policies can improve flexibility and guide in decision making, helping to preserve core titles and acquire new titles that support academic programs and the work of the college community.     

Time-varying clustering of multivariate longitudinal observations

Abstract

We propose a statistical method for clustering multivariate longitudinal data into homogeneous groups. This method relies on a time-varying extension of the classical K-means algorithm, where a multivariate vector autoregressive model is additionally assumed for modeling the evolution of clusters' centroids over time. Model inference is based on a least-squares method and on a coordinate descent algorithm. To illustrate our work, we consider a longitudinal dataset on human development. Three variables are modeled, namely life expectancy, education and gross domestic product.     

高等农业职业教育《淡水养殖水化学》开展研究性学习的探索

国际 2 1世纪教育委员会的报告《教育———财富蕴藏其中》中提出面对未来社会的发展的 4种基本要求———学会认知、学会做事、学会共处、学会生存。这说明 ,在现代教育中 ,必须以学生发展为中心 ,开展研究性学习。我国实施的研究性学习就是改变我国传统的以教师为中心的教学模式 ,突出学生在学习中的主导地位。从贯彻素质教育的宗旨出发 ,在学科教学中渗透研究性学习 ,是培养学生综合能力的一种尝试和实践。