A monte carlo evaluation of response surface analysis based on paired-comparison data

The use of the logit transformation on paired-comparison data in the weighted least squares analysis of response surfaces for aesthetic qualities of products is discussed. Monte Carlo simulations are employed to investigate the small sample properties of the estimators and test statistics. A secondary objective of the Monte Carlo simulations is the comparison of two transformation procedures. The simulations are of standard-item paired-compar-ison experiments in which ties are not allowed.     

Improving TAIEX forecasting using fuzzy time series with Box–Cox power transformation

Box–Cox together with our newly proposed transformation were implemented in three different real world empirical problems to alleviate noisy and the volatility effect of them. Consequently, a new domain was constructed. Subsequently, universe of discourse for transformed data was established and an approach for calculating effective length of the intervals was then proposed. Considering the steps above, the initial forecasts were performed using frequently used fuzzy time series (FTS) methods on transformed data. Final forecasts were retrieved from initial forecasted values by proper inverse operation. Comparisons of the results demonstrate that the proposed method produced more accurate forecasts compared with existing FTS on original data.     

有限理性指导下的过渡性制度构建——社会转型背景下侦查程序完善的整体设想

目前理论界对侦查程序的研究理性化色彩过重，学者们多对不同的刑事诉讼模式进行静态比较，得出何种模式相对优劣的结论，从而进行制度构建。这虽然有利于目标模式的选择，但不利于具有可操作性的制度设计。本文从我国社会转型时期的宏观背景出发，以这一特定时期所存在的对侦查机关完成打击犯罪和保障人权双重使命有重大影响的因素为切入点，进行系统审视，提出有限理性的理念，并以此为指导进行过渡性制度设计。     

A note on approximate confidence limits for the negative binomial model

Four methods of approximating confidence limits for the single negative binomial parameter, P, are outlined and an empirical study is presented. Some remarks on prediction intervals are also included.     

SPECIAL ISSUE： ONLINE LITERATURE IN CHINA： PRESENT SITUATION AND THEORETICAL REFLECTIONS Online Writing in the Course of Discourse Transformation： A Review of Ten Outstanding Online Novels of the Past Decade

中国当代文学阅读层面上的价值认同正在经受前所未有的挑战。特别是新世纪以来，新的写作群体、写作方式不断涌现，使固有的理论批评体系遭到撞击、被撕裂，从而导致理论批评不时出现失语现象。随着网络文学的迅猛发展，非主流文学在阅读与消费环节中的影响日益增强，这就使得上述问题转化成了新的矛盾——互相不能包容的阅读隔膜。十多年来，网络上产生了海量的小说文本，逐渐形成了二十多种类型；本文兼顾时间跨度和创作类型，遴选了十年中不同类型的十部佳作，并针对它们区别于纸质媒体的艺术审美和创作特点进行了述评。     

转型加速时期西部少数民族地区结构性贫困研究述论

文章认为西部少数民族地区在社会转型加快时期的贫困问题基本上是结构性贫困,并对这种结构性贫困问题的具体特征及其产生的社会危害进行纬度结构分析,最后系统地从建构现代国家治理体系和治理现代化的背景下提出了治理路径。     

Orientation relationship in finite dimensional space

In the present article, we discuss the regression of a point on the surface of a unit sphere in d dimensions given a point on the surface of a unit sphere in p dimensions, where p may not be equal to d. Point projection is added to the rotation and linear transformation for regression link function. The identifiability of the model is proved. Then, parameter estimation in this set up is discussed. Simulation studies and data analyses are done to illustrate the model.     

转型背景下地方高校新同质化问题思考?

地方高校在转型过程中陷入了新同质化的困境,出现了侧重向工科专业投入建设的一边倒倾向,过度强调就业技能等问题,偏离了政府对地方高校转型的目的。地方高校在转型中应找准定位,将传统优势与地方资源需求相结合,相关专业互融支撑,创办特色专业,从而实现错位化、差异化的发展。还要利用优质智力资源,及时更新、动态调整专业设置,发展社会急需的新专业,从而实现地方高校真正意义上的转型,为地方高校的生存争取更大的空间。     

中国农村社会学研究现状与前景展望——“第七届农村社会学论坛”观点综述

“第七届农村社会学论坛”于2016年5月21－22日在西北农林科技大学成功举办。这次论坛主要围绕现代乡村文化建设与公共空间重建、乡村的现代命运及其未来发展趋势、国家治理下的基层社会治理困境与逻辑、农村公共事务治理及社区发展转型、农村社会发展和社会治理等议题展开讨论交流。     

把握机遇,科学谋划,全面建设高水平应用型大学

《盐城工学院“十三五”事业发展规划》将“特色鲜明的高水平应用型大学”确定为自身转型发展目标,在紧密对接地方产业链、创新链中错位发展,凝练“特色”;在全面支撑服务区域经济社会中彰显“高水平”。高水平应用型大学建设,涉及高校治理结构、专业体系、课程教学、师资结构等各个方面的变革,但其瓶颈依然是教育观念、人才资源、办学经费等问题。作为一所地方应用型本科高校,盐城工学院必须紧紧围绕“地方性、应用型、特色化”,努力突破发展瓶颈,积极探索具有自身特色的应用型大学建设与发展之路。