发展可持续的诚信经济

诚实守信是中华民族的传统美德,我国加入WTO、加快发展市场经济的同时,要从党和政府开始从上至下强化全民的诚信教育,全社会要尽快建立和健全相应的信用体系,发展可持续的诚信经济。     

Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape

Summary.  A general class of statistical models for a univariate response variable is presented which we call the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). The model assumes independent observations of the response variable y given the parameters, the explanatory variables and the values of the random effects. The distribution for the response variable in the GAMLSS can be selected from a very general family of distributions including highly skew or kurtotic continuous and discrete distributions. The systematic part of the model is expanded to allow modelling not only of the mean (or location) but also of the other parameters of the distribution of y , as parametric and/or additive nonparametric (smooth) functions of explanatory variables and/or random-effects terms. Maximum (penalized) likelihood estimation is used to fit the (non)parametric models. A Newton–Raphson or Fisher scoring algorithm is used to maximize the (penalized) likelihood. The additive terms in the model are fitted by using a backfitting algorithm. Censored data are easily incorporated into the framework. Five data sets from different fields of application are analysed to emphasize the generality of the GAMLSS class of models.     

中国民营经济探源——兼述民营经济发展脉络

改革开放的今天,民营经济在中国经济的大舞台上,已成为中华民族富强崛起的生力军.我们将从历史的维度审视其发生、发展脉络及四种社会形态中民营经济表现形式.由于社会制度的不同,它的存在形式也有变化或大或小、或隐或现、或集或散、或条或块,但内容和本质始终不变.     

文化生产力的崛起与发展

马克思提出的文化生产力概念包含着正确把握现代社会智能生产力的指导性原则。文化生产力的提出, 使文化知识从非独立因素变为独立因素,由潜在生产力变为现实生产力。文化生产力的高度发展对现代文明的影响是全方位的,将对旧有的生产生活方式、思维方式、价值观念、教育模式和经营管理及领导决策产生重大影响,从而改变财富的分配方式。改革开放以来,我国文化生产力有了突破性发展,但在总体水平上同发达国家的差距很大。应当强化全民的“文化生产力”意识,建立起国家的技术创新体系和知识创新体系,加大对教育和科技的投入。     

Temporal pattern in number of staff on sick leave: the effect of downsizing

Summary.  The pattern of absenteeism in the downsizing process of companies is a topic in focus in economics and social science. A general question is whether employees who are frequently absent are more likely to be selected to be laid off or in contrast whether employees to be dismissed are more likely to be absent for the remaining time of their working contract. We pursue an empirical and microeconomic investigation of these theses. We analyse longitudinal data that were collected in a German company over several years. We fit a semiparametric transition model based on a mixture Poisson distribution for the days of absenteeism per month. Prediction intervals are considered and the primary focus is on the period of downsizing. The data reveal clear evidence for the hypothesis that employees who are to be laid off are more frequently absent before leaving the company. Interestingly, though, no clear evidence is seen that employees being selected to leave the company are those with a bad absenteeism profile.     

试论知识经济条件下企业的管理创新

知识经济的发展改变了经济增长中要素贡献率的结构 ,经济增长内容的转变必然要求经济模式相应转变。管理创新是企业创新的基础 ,创新型管理是现代企业竞争力的根本。企业作为实现经济增长的实体 ,在管理上实现创新是经济规律的必然选择。     

论科技期刊的品牌资本

科技期刊的品牌资本是其生存和发展的关键因素,品牌资本体现了社会效益与经济效益的同一性。品牌资本的价值回归是一个缓慢但却是相当稳定的过程。通过抽样调查和方差分析,定量说明了上述论点的正确性。     

我国市场经济的价值取向--思想政治教育内容探讨之二

文章根据我国市场经济的性质以及市场经济在发展过程中对社会生活各方面所产生的不同影响,分析论证了我国市场经济的价值取向是经济价值、政治价值和思想文化价值三者的统一.     

关于规范"知识经济"的前提条件--试与叶险明先生商榷

知识经济是以知识为基础的经济，它不仅作为一种人们对现代科学技术革命所造就的生产力发展的程度及其趋势窥视，展望和预见的标示，而且是一种把知识视为可以市场化的主导性社会资源的新经济形态，规范这种新经济形态的现实基础。不仅要在现代科学技术革命所带来年 技术工具性的变化中去寻找，更重要的，还应在由此所推进的人的主体性的提升和人类社会经济组织方式的变勒中去寻找，要科学地规范“知识经济”这一崭新的经济形态，不应该用某种预设的“偏好”设置种种“障眼法”来误导理论，而应该以尊重有这种新经济形态的“是然”观察为前提条件。     

世界经济增速下滑与中国经济持续快速增长

世界经济增速下滑对我国经济虽有严重的不利影响 ,但只要我们坚持扩大内需的方针 ,继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策 ,大力调整经济结构 ,进一步提高对外开放水平 ,深化经济体制改革 ,中国经济就能保持持续快速健康发展