Association of the modified frailty index with adverse outcomes after penile prosthesis implantation

Objectives: To investigate frailty as a predictor of surgical outcome in elderly patients undergoing penile prosthesis implantation.

Material and methods: A total of 54 elderly patients, above 60 years of age, underwent penile prosthesis implantation between 2012 and 2014. Their data were collected and retrospectively analyzed. A modified frailty index (mFI) was calculated for each patient based on 11 risk factors from the Canadian Study of Health and Aging Frailty Index. The 1-year adverse outcomes were correlated with mFI, patients’ and procedure’s risk factors.

Results: Mean age was 64.9?±?5.2 years. No mortality was reported in our patients, however, one-year adverse outcomes were encountered in 43 (79.6%) patients. Among all studied variables, the 1-year adverse outcomes was not significantly association with mFI, but with preoperative glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) (p?=?0.031) and associated Peyronie’s disease (PD) (p?=?0.000). HbA1c, dyslipidemia, hypertension, PD and duration of the procedure were predictive of infection complications (p?Conclusions: mFI is not a predictive of post-penile prosthesis implantation adverse outcomes in elderly patients with impotence. Degree of diabetic control and association with PD was associated with the 1-year adverse outcomes and infection complications.     

基于网络环境的研究生英语教学模式研究

传统的非英语专业研究生英语教学模式已不能适应为社会培养创新复合型人才的需要,对其进行改革势在必行。文章以建构主义学习理论和语言输入与输出理论为基础,构建了一种利用互联网资源辅助研究生英语课堂的教学模式,目的旨在提高非英语专业硕士研究生的英语交际能力。     

英语口头输出与书面输出的差异性对比分析——一项基于构建语言模因语料库的研究

以50名非英语专业大学生为对象,在构建同一语言模因语料库的前提下,对英语口头输出能力和书面输出能力影响的差异性进行了相关调查研究,并用SPSS17.0对数据进行分析。实验结果和访谈表明,构建同一语言模因语料库进行语言输入,对英语口头和书面输出有不同程度的影响,对书面输出的影响较口头输出的影响显著。同时在实验研究发现的基础上,分析了构建同一语言模因语料库对英语口头输出和书面输出影响存在差异性的原因所在,并提出使两者均衡协调发展的对策。     

Modeling the demand reduction input-output (I-O) inoperability due to terrorism of interconnected infrastructures.

Interdependency analysis in the context of this article is a process of assessing and managing risks inherent in a system of interconnected entities (e.g., infrastructures or industry sectors). Invoking the principles of input-output (I-O) and decomposition analysis, the article offers a framework for describing how terrorism-induced perturbations can propagate due to interconnectedness. Data published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis Division of the U.S. Department of Commerce is utilized to present applications to serve as test beds for the proposed framework. Specifically, a case study estimating the economic impact of airline demand perturbations to national-level U.S. sectors is made possible using I-O matrices. A ranking of the affected sectors according to their vulnerability to perturbations originating from a primary sector (e.g., air transportation) can serve as important input to risk management. For example, limited resources can be prioritized for the "top-n" sectors that are perceived to suffer the greatest economic losses due to terrorism. In addition, regional decomposition via location quotients enables the analysis of local-level terrorism events. The Regional I-O Multiplier System II (RIMS II) Division of the U.S. Department of Commerce is the agency responsible for releasing the regional multipliers for various geographical resolutions (economic areas, states, and counties). A regional-level case study demonstrates a process of estimating the economic impact of transportation-related scenarios on industry sectors within Economic Area 010 (the New York metropolitan region and vicinities).     

Aggregation and Optimization with State‐Dependent Pricing: A Comment

A key argument in Caplin and Leahy (1997) states that the correlation between monetary shocks and output is falling in the variance of the money supply. We demonstrate that this conclusion depends on solving for the correlation in the nonstationary state of the model. In the stationary state, that correlation is initially rising.     

湖北省主要农产品技术效率与规模经济性的实证考察

采用超越对数生产函数形式的随机前沿模型,对湖北省2003年农产品生产的规模经济性和技术效率进行了分析比较,得出以下结论：（1）物质费用和播种面积是重要的生产投入要素,对产量的贡献基本上为正;（2）劳动投入的产出弹性有正有负;（3）各农产品的平均规模经济效果不明显,只有小麦的生产规模经济递增;（4）各种农产品的技术效率水平存在较大差距,其中棉花、蔬菜、禽肉最高,而水果、生猪最低。最后,得出两点政策建议：一是应克服技术创新的障碍因素,调动科研、推广和生产三方面的积极性,使农业科技在今后的农业增长中得到最大的发挥;二是建立新型的经营组织,以解决农业基础技术设施的投资问题。     

非期望产出下我国能源消耗产出效率差异研究

提高能源消耗产出效率是新常态下经济发展的必然趋势,随机扰动和外部环境是研究能源消耗产出效率不可回避的问题,而传统的DEA模型无法剔除非期望产出对效率值的影响。本文通过构建四阶段Bootstrap-DEA-Malmquist模型,采用1990~2014年的省际面板数据作为样本数据,通过松弛指标调整能源投入,剔除外部环境和随机因素对能源效率和能源全要素生产率的扰动,并借助Bootstrap随机抽样法进一步减小由于样本差异造成的影响,从静态和动态两个维度测算了中国能源消耗产出效率和全要素生产率。研究发现,外部环境和随机扰动对能源效率的估算具有显著影响,剔除外部环境影响因素后得到的能源效率值、技术效率变化以及全要素生产率变动均有不同程度的下降,而调整初始投入后的技术进步值有所上升。此外,考虑环境因素时,能源效率值下降,但是进一步运用Bootstrap随机抽样法消除随机因素的影响后,能源效率值有所上升。本文的主要贡献在于将环境因素和随机因素从能源效率与能源全要素生产率的测算中剥离,获得更为准确的能源效率值和能源全要素生产率值。     

军机备件需求量修正的粗糙集方法

本文针对不可量化因素对军机备件需求量的影响,提出了基于粗糙集的备件需求量的修正方法。考虑不可量化因素存在多值性的问题,将不可分辨关系下的经典粗糙集方法拓展成相容关系下的扩展粗糙集方法,通过相容关系下的近似空间获取决策规则,再由决策规则得到修正系数。最后以轮胎类器材为例,说明了修正系数的获取过程。     

PARAMETER ESTIMATION AND APPLICATIONS FOR A GENERALISATION OF THE BETA-BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION

A three-parameter generalisation of the beta-binomial distribution (BBD) derived by Chandon (1976) is examined. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters and give the elements of the information matrix. To exhibit the applicability of the generalised distribution we show how it gives an improved fit over the BBD for magazine exposure and consumer purchasing data. Finally we derive an empirical Bayes estimate of a binomial proportion based on the generalised beta distribution used in this study.     

一类有广泛适用性的综合控制算法

将闭环极点配置、史密斯予估和自适应控制策略有机地结合起来,提出了一类单、多变量自校正史密斯予估综合控制算法。并用数字仿真进行了验证。