Standards of Probability Sampling for Legal Evidence

Brief recognition is given to bicentennials of the death of James Stirling (1692–1770) and birth of Ferdinand Rudolph Hassler (1770–1843); to sesquicentennials of the publication of the 3rd definitive edition of Laplace's Théorie analytique des probabilités, and of the births of William Chauvenet (1820–1870) and Isaac Todhunter (1820–1884); to centennials of the births of Louis Bachelier (1870–1946) and Jean Perrin (1870–1942); and to the semicentennial of the initial publication (1920) of Metron, an International Review of Statistics.     

Ruin Probabilities for the Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Process with Investment

In this article, we consider the perturbed compound Poisson risk process with investment incomes. The risk reserve process is perturbed by an independent Brownian motion and the surplus is invested at a constant force of interest. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability as the initial reserve goes to infinity. Bounds and time-dependent bounds are derived for the ultimate ruin probability and the probabilities of ruin within finite time, respectively. We also obtain an explicit expression for the Laplace transform of the ultimate ruin probability.     

汉语“移动”的框架语义认知

在框架语义学视角下专题讨论汉语＂移动＂的认知问题,突破了传统上汉语＂移动＂语义的研究视域,澄清了一些长久以来未予明辨的问题,比如移动域的边界划分和伴随移动的认知,为某些句子的生成找到了合理的解释。     

基于可编程控制器的群控电梯模型设计与实现

文章设计并实现了一种以可编程控制器为核心控制器的群控电梯模型.基于可编程控制器的电梯模型具有可靠性高，维护方便，能耗低，通信、组网能力强等优点.该电梯模型的设计与实现为电梯设计、制造、维修维护技术人员掌握电梯工作原理，熟悉电梯运行过程提供了实际对象.     

Minimum Contrast Estimation for Fractional Diffusions

Abstract.  When the Hurst coefficient of a fractional Brownian motion     is greater than 1/2 it is possible to define a stochastic integral with respect to     , as the pathwise limit of Riemann sums, and thus to consider pathwise solutions to fractional diffusion equations. In this paper, we consider the vanishing drift case and assume that the solution X _t is parameterized by θ in a compact parameter space Θ . Our main interest is the estimation of θ based on discrete time, but with very frequent observations. It is shown that the estimation problem in this context is locally asymptotically mixed normal. The asymptotic behaviour of a certain class of minimum contrast estimators is then studied and asymptotic efficiency is discussed.     

自相似业务流下的服务质量保障

将来网络服务质量需要考虑网络业务流自有的自相似性对网络性能的影响,而传统的网络模型未考虑此因素。该文利用分数布郎运动模型,建立了一个网络模型,此模型考虑了业务流的自相似,以及聚类的特性,通过控制有效带宽,提高统计复用效率,并通过审核控制机制,提供网络服务。实验证明分数布郎运动模型能如实描述业务流特性,准确预测业务流的性能,能够最大限度地利用网络资源,提高服务质量,弥补原来网络排队模型的缺陷。     

运动初瞬时加速度瞬心的一种确定方法及应用

从刚体平面运动的速度瞬心轨迹出发 ,推导得到在刚体由静止开始运动的初瞬时加速度瞬心与速度瞬心重合 ,可用于解答运动初瞬时刚体平面运动的动力学问题     

用状态变量法计算TSC的投入过程

状态变量法是近代对网络的过渡过程进行分析计算的一种重要方法,随着计算机的发展,日益获得重视。本文应用状态方程推导出TSC投入过程中电流、电容电压的变化规律。     

Accelerated Degradation Models for Failure Based on Geometric Brownian Motion and Gamma Processes

Based on a generalized cumulative damage approach with a stochastic process describing degradation, new accelerated life test models are presented in which both observed failures and degradation measures can be considered for parametric inference of system lifetime. Incorporating an accelerated test variable, we provide several new accelerated degradation models for failure based on the geometric Brownian motion or gamma process. It is shown that in most cases, our models for failure can be approximated closely by accelerated test versions of Birnbaum–Saunders and inverse Gaussian distributions. Estimation of model parameters and a model selection procedure are discussed, and two illustrative examples using real data for carbon-film resistors and fatigue crack size are presented.     

复合伺服液压系统在压力机的应用

针对传统压力机液压系统能耗较高等不足,采用二伺服泵及开关型电动阀通过PID控制器进行控制的复合伺服 液压系统,设计了新型压力机( press servo hybrid,PSH);进行了液压系统主要部件设计计算和选型;利用AMESim软件对 新系统与传统液压系统进行建模和仿真比较,结果表明新系统同样能满足按VOITH公司技术要求,能耗有非常显著的 降低。