两个随机变量的独立性和相关性之比较

从随机变量的独立性和相关性概念出发,运用反例和定理的形式详细探讨二者的区别和联系.     

Estimation of noncentrality parameters

We propose some estimators of noncentrality parameters which improve upon usual unbiased estimators under quadratic loss. The distributions we consider are the noncentral chi-square and the noncentral F. However, we give more general results for the family of elliptically contoured distributions and propose a robust dominating estimator.     

优选方案定量评价模型研究

在确定评价指标体系的基础上，如何对若干事物或方案进行选优是一个十分有意义的问题．作者利用模糊多目标决策对此进行研究，并通过实例说明该方法的有效性与实用性．     

基于因果关系的教育研究方法思考

探索、检验因果关系是教育科学研究的重要目标之一,相关分析、回归分析、路径分析等常用统计方法存在许多不足。结构方程模型是针对这些不足提出来的,从统计思路上,它具有优点,但还不够完善,应引起我国教育学界的注意。     

50年代中国政治制度的基本特征及其初步调整

50年代的中国社会主义政治制度有两个基本特征 :一是党对政府的绝对领导 ,二是国家权力的高度集中统一。这套政治制度 ,既具有广泛的民主性和高效性 ,也存在着党政不分、权力过分集中的弊端。针对政治体制运行中存在的一些问题 ,以毛泽东为首的中国共产党人冲破苏联模式的束缚 ,与时俱进 ,勇于探索 ,大胆对中国社会主义制度进行调整和完善 ,取得了许多重大成效 ,也积累了政治体制改革的一些宝贵经验     

Estimation of Metabolic Rate Constants in PBPK‐Models from Liver Slice Experiments: What Are the Experimental Needs?

A mechanistic model is presented describing the clearance of a compound in a precision-cut liver slice that is incubated in a culture medium. The problem of estimating metabolic rate constants in PBPK models from liver slice experiments is discussed using identifiability analysis. From the identifiability problem analysis, it appears that in addition to the clearance, the compound's free fraction in the slice and the diffusion rate of the exchange of the compound between culture medium and liver slice should be identified. In addition, knowledge of the culture medium volume, the slice volume, the compound's free fraction, and octanol-water-based partition between medium and slice is presupposed. The formal solution for identification is discussed from the perspective of experimental practice. A formally necessary condition for identification is the sampling of parent compound in liver slice or culture medium. However, due to experimental limitations and errors, sampling the parent compound in the slice together with additional sampling of metabolite pooled from the medium and the slice is required for identification in practice. Moreover, it appears that identification results are unreliable when the value of the intrinsic clearance exceeds the value of the diffusion coefficient, a condition to be verified a posteriori.     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

湖南省省属高校经常性财政拨款新模式构建研究

经过近几年来高校管理体制的大幅度调整变化,目前湖南省省属高校所采用的经常性财政拨款方案已不能适应新形式的需要。成为适时之需,构建一种公平合理、简单有效的新模式,既发挥财政拨款在高教事业中的基础作用,又引导高校不断提高办学效益。     

浅论教师在多媒体教学中的主体地位

运用现代多媒体教学手段，是实现教育方法现代化的必由之路，但教师在现代多媒体教学中的主体地位是不可替代的，多媒体教学在高等教育教学中发挥的作用如何，主要取决于教师的主体地位。     

一种基于MPLS业务量工程的选路机制

分析了诸如受限路由等传统QoS路由机制业务震荡现象出现的原因给出了呼叫级QoS路由和分组级QoS路由的概念在此基础上提出了多标签QoS路由机制(MLR)作为一种分组级QoS路由机制多标签QoS路由机制不仅能够从理论上避免业务震荡现象的出现同时由于采用了业务量工程的业务均衡的思想从而提高了全网的业务性能指标仿真的数据结果可以在同时运行实时业务和非实时业务下得到