Earnings and Consumption Dynamics: A Nonlinear Panel Data Framework

We develop a new quantile‐based panel data framework to study the nature of income persistence and the transmission of income shocks to consumption. Log‐earnings are the sum of a general Markovian persistent component and a transitory innovation. The persistence of past shocks to earnings is allowed to vary according to the size and sign of the current shock. Consumption is modeled as an age‐dependent nonlinear function of assets, unobservable tastes, and the two earnings components. We establish the nonparametric identification of the nonlinear earnings process and of the consumption policy rule. Exploiting the enhanced consumption and asset data in recent waves of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find that the earnings process features nonlinear persistence and conditional skewness. We confirm these results using population register data from Norway. We then show that the impact of earnings shocks varies substantially across earnings histories, and that this nonlinearity drives heterogeneous consumption responses. The framework provides new empirical measures of partial insurance in which the transmission of income shocks to consumption varies systematically with assets, the level of the shock, and the history of past shocks.     

正交优化法的软件设计及其应用

本文用BASIC语言编制了正交优化法软件，并通过实例对其应用进行探讨，研究结果表明：用正交优化法处理化学、环保等方面的非线性模型的参数估值和非线性回归问题是非常有效的。     

SOME SECOND ORDER ASYMPTOTICS IN EXPONENTIAL FAMILY NON-LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS (A GEOMETRIC APPROACH)

The differential geometric framework of Amari (1982a, 1985) is applied to the study of some second order asymptotics related to the curvatures for exponential family nonlinear regression models, in which the observations are independent but not necessarily identically distributed. This paper presents a set of reasonable regularity conditions which are needed to study asymptotics from a geometric point of view in regression models. A new stochastic expansion of a first order efficient estimator is derived and used to study several asymptotic problems related to Fisher information in terms of curvatures. The bias and the covariance of the first order efficient estimator are also calculated according to the expansion.     

A new estimation procedure for a partially nonlinear model via a mixed‐effects approach

The authors consider the estimation of the parametric component of a partially nonlinear semiparametric regression model whose nonparametric component is viewed as a nuisance parameter. They show how estimation can proceed through a nonlinear mixed‐effects model approach. They prove that under certain regularity conditions, the proposed estimate is consistent and asymptotically Gaussian. They investigate its finite‐sample properties through simulations and illustrate its use with data on the relation between the photosynthetically active radiation and the net ecosystem‐atmosphere exchange of carbon dioxide.     

城市化发展中的人口与经济增长

基于非线性理论,针对人口增长和经济发展中的非线性现象,根据城市化发展中的人口和经济这两个主要因子的制约关系,建立了人口-经济模型,并对其进行了运动稳定性和动力学特性的分析。人口-经济模型的建立,可为城市化发展中的人口与经济增长问题提供定量分析的依据。     

关于两类二阶非线性系统的全局渐近稳定性

本文讨论了两类二阶非线性系统的零解的全局渐近稳定性，得到了一组充分条件．     

具有非线性时滞的双曲型微分方程解振动的充分条件

给出具有非线性时滞的双曲型微分方程定解问题２ｕｔ２＝ａ（ｔ）Δｕ＋ｓｉ＝１ａｉ（ｔ）Δｕ（ｘ，ｔ－ρｉ（ｔ））－ｆ（ｘ，ｔ，ｕ）－ｋｊ＝１ｇｊ（ｘ，ｔ，ｕ（ｘ，ｔ－σｊ）），ｕ＝０，（ｘ，ｔ）∈Ω×〔０，∞），其中（ｘ，ｔ）∈Ω×（０，∞）的解振动的几个充分条件．     

非线性混合整数规划的罚函数解法

主要对非线性混合整规划问题的求解进行探讨。利用罚函数把非线性混合整规划问题转化为等价的非线性规划问题,从而可通过求解一个无约束线性规划问题而得到原问题的最优解。     

电子在电环轴上的非线性振动

研究电子在电环轴上的非线性振动，在建立电子的运动方程后利用椭圆积分求得自由振动的准确解及周期，讨论和图示其非线性振动特征。截断级数展式导致杜芬方程，解和周期近似表达式由杜芬振动和简谐振动给出，且与准确表达式比较。指出了非线性振动解在工程上的实用意义     

工程机械制造产业集群竞争力驱动因素研究--以徐州工程机械产业集群为例

研究以文献元分析为基础,开发量表并设计问卷提取相关因素,并以徐州工程机械产业集群为调研对象进行调研,结合主成分分析对其作进一步统计学处理与探索性验证。结果表明：集群网络协作能力、集群知识创新能力、集群科技产出能力、集群内外部环境、集群发展后劲是驱动工程机械产业竞争力的关键因素。