中国共产党开创中国式现代化道路的历史意义和世界贡献

中国共产党百年奋斗征程中将马克思主义与中国实际相结合,开创了中国式现代化道路。这是中华民族自主探索现代化道路的开始,也是民族自立自信的基石;中国式现代化道路是科学社会主义基本原则与中国具体实际相结合的产物,是对科学社会主义创新发展的成功样本;中国式现代化道路实现了从资本逻辑主导的西方现代化模式向以人民为中心的现代化模式的转变;促使世界历史进程从西方垄断现代化叙事向世界各民族自主选择现代化道路转变;中国式现代化道路集人类文明之精华,开创了人类文明的新形态,为世界发展和人类共同进步作出重要贡献。     

On hysteretic vector autoregressive model with applications

This paper proposes a new hysteretic vector autoregressive (HVAR) model in which the regime switching may be delayed when the hysteresis variable lies in a hysteresis zone. We integrate an adapted multivariate Student-t distribution from amending the scale mixtures of normal distributions. This HVAR model allows for a higher degree of flexibility in the degrees of freedom for each time series. We use the proposed model to test for a causal relationship between any two target time series. Using posterior odds ratios, we overcome the limitations of the classical approach to multiple testing. Both simulated and real examples herein help illustrate the suggested methods. We apply the proposed HVAR model to investigate the causal relationship between the quarterly growth rates of gross domestic product of United Kingdom and United States. Moreover, we check the pairwise lagged dependence of daily PM2.5 levels in three districts of Taipei.     

A new estimator of Kullback–Leibler information and its application in goodness of fit tests*

We propose here a general statistic for the goodness of fit test of statistical distributions. The proposed statistic is constructed based on an estimate of Kullback–Leibler information. The proposed test is consistent and the limiting distribution of the test statistic is derived. Then, the established results are used to introduce goodness of fit tests for the normal, exponential, Laplace and Weibull distributions. A simulation study is carried out for examining the power of the proposed test and to compare it with those of some existing procedures. Finally, some illustrative examples are presented and analysed, and concluding comments are made.     

Parametrizing the Kepler exoplanet period-radius distribution with the bivariate normal inverse Gaussian distribution

This paper presents a simple and robust method for obtaining a comprehensive understanding of the joint period and radius distribution in Kepler exoplanets. The proposed method is based on particle swarm optimization and bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian distribution. Furthermore, in the construction of the probability density function, this study selects planet-host stars with the GK-type. The injecting approach is also employed to solve the survey completeness of sample. The resulting occurrence rate of Earth analogs is 0.025 with a 95% bootstrap confidence interval between 0.023 and 0.032.     

健美操对学生形态的影响及优化策略

文章结合常见训练特点,分析了健美操在有氧活动促进心肺功能、协调运动、力量训练、柔韧训练、实践比赛、个体抗压等方面对学生形体产生的影响,为进一步强化学生身体素质提供理论参考意见。     

舞蹈与文学的"通"与"异"

舞蹈与文学有许多相通之处,如创作目的、表现手法、艺术形象等,都是人们自我表达的媒体;而不同之处在于艺术表现形式上,舞蹈是肢体语言,文学是文字语言.如果将两者有机地联系起来,并加以相互应用,将对舞蹈艺术教育起到良好的促进作用.     

彝族漆器的造型、色彩及图纹意蕴

彝族漆器具有久远的历史,它由多种生产及生活用具系列组成。本文从漆器系列的造型特点、色彩运用以及图纹艺术三元素上,据揭示了其适合于本民族审美情趣的艺术特性。     

理学的张扬与自信心的凸显——论南宋中期辞赋创作的新变

理学的发展与自信心的恢复与张扬,是南宋中期学术文化方面非常显著的特征,辞赋创作的走向与之密切相关。辞赋创作在当时显现出一些新特征:理学与辞赋形成了一种互动的态势,辞赋成为宣扬理学观念、阐释理学教义的重要载体,也成为表达理学人生境界的重要载体;辞赋多感情饱满、个性张扬、恃才骋气,辞赋中的这种感悟更具有鲜明的现实意义和批判精神,很好地体现了微闻讥刺、诡文谲谏的特征;表现生活场景的赋作思想深度得到深化,以往的浅陋见识得到一定程度的提升;辞赋较之从前,辞章和立意更精致、更新巧,这与读书人对唐宋古文的重视、科场时文的程式化等密切相关。     

ФopTyHaTOB的“形式”观

作为俄罗斯"形式语言学派"创始人的ФортунатовФ.Ф.(佛尔图拿托夫)在语言学史上独树一帜,做出了许多开创性的贡献.ФортунатовФ.Ф.的"形式"观对后来的语言学,尤其是对语法学有着很现实和深远的影响.本文概括地介绍了ФортунатовФ.Ф.对词的形式的理解和他对词的形式的分类.同时由于ФортунатовФ.Ф.认为词、词组、句子的语法结构相似,应等同看待,所以本文对词组的分类也进行了简单的阐述.     

乾嘉时期戏曲评点理论发覆

清代乾嘉时期是中国传统学术文化由理学迈向朴学之重要转型期,也是中国戏曲评点理论发生转变的关键期.清代戏曲评点在清初顺、康年间达到鼎盛,乾隆以后又迅速走向衰落.较清初而言,乾嘉时期的初戏曲评点在延续中有变化,主要表现在:戏曲叙事结构理论的延续与变异、形式批评的崇尚和反剧场化的艺术追求.这是时代思潮规训和文人戏曲评点家忽视戏曲综合性艺术的"类"特征二者合力的结果,标志着古典戏曲评点日渐走向衰亡.