An alternative approach to variable selection for prediction

A procedure for selecting a subset of predictor variables in regression analysis is suggested. The procedure is so designed that it leads to the selection of a subset of variables having an adequate degree of informativeness with a directly specified confidence coefficient. Some examples are considered to illustrate the application of the procedure.     

Experimental designs and their efficiencies for spatially correlated observations in two dimensions

Optimality of experimental designs for spatially correlated observations is investigated.come two dimensional correlation structures are discussed and an attempt has been made to find optimal or nearly optimal design for each sitution.The solution lend to designs similar to that used for repeated measurements.The relative efficiency of the proposed designs in comparison to randomized latin square designs is tabulated for some cases.     

HAZARD RATE ESTIMATION FOR CENSORED DATA BY WAVELET METHODS

ABSTRACT

We study the estimation of a hazard rate function based on censored data by non-linear wavelet method. We provide an asymptotic formula for the mean integrated squared error (MISE) of nonlinear wavelet-based hazard rate estimators under randomly censored data. We show this MISE formula, when the underlying hazard rate function and censoring distribution function are only piecewise smooth, has the same expansion as analogous kernel estimators, a feature not available for the kernel estimators. In addition, we establish an asymptotic normality of the nonlinear wavelet estimator.     

Estimation of the mean of the exponential distribution with an outlying observation

Given a life testing experiment consisting of n items, n-1 of which have the expected life λ while one could have an expected life λ/α with 0 < α < 1 the problem is. to find a mean square error (MSE) minimizing estimation function. The standard estimators for the homogeneous case (α = 1) overestimate the expected life and their MSE tend to infinity when a tends to 0.

Looking at the estimation problem as an insurance (see Anscombe (1960)) two different “testimators” are compared with respect to their MSE, Numerical results show that an estimation function based on the “Epstein-statistic” x_(n)/[xbar] is the best one.     

Systematic latin squares

In order to properly utilize restricted randomization in the selection of t × t Latin squares it is necessary to have some idea of the various types of systematic Latin squares that should be removed from the admissible sets. The best known systematic squares are the diagonal squares and the Knut Vik squares. When t is not a prime number there are various other types of diagonal and balanced Latin squares. Eleven types of 4 × 4 Latin squares, each of them being systematic, are identified, displayed, and their properties indicated. Eight types of systematic 6 × 6 Latin squares are also identified and displayed. The effect of removing systematic squares from the admissible sets of Latin squares is discussed. Recommendations are made on when a restricted randomization procedure is to be preferred to a full randomization procedure in the selection of a random t × t Latin square.     

Data-dependent probability matching priors of the second order

In this paper, we consider the preliminary test approach for the estimation of the regression parameter in a multiple regression model under a multicollinearity situation. The preliminary test two-parameter estimators based on the Wald (W), likelihood ratio, and Lagrangian multiplier tests are given, when it is suspected that the regression parameter may be restricted to a subspace and the regression error is distributed with multivariate Student's t distribution. The bias and mean square error of the proposed estimators are derived and compared. The conditions of superiority of the proposed estimators are obtained. Finally, we conclude that the optimum choice of the level of significance becomes the traditional choice by using the Wald test.     

Studying the dependence between ordinal-nominal categorical variables via orthogonal polynomials

In situations where the structure of one of the variables of a contingency table is ordered recent theory involving the augmentation of singular vectors and orthogonal polynomials has shown to be applicable for performing symmetric and non-symmetric correspondence analysis. Such an approach has the advantage of allowing the user to identify the source of variation between the categories in terms of components that reflect linear, quadratic and higher-order trends. The purpose of this paper is to focus on the study of two asymmetrically related variables cross-classified to form a two-way contingency table where only one of the variables has an ordinal structure.     

Use of prior information for estimating the variance components

The MINQUE and its modifications are considered for estimating the variances of the balanced one-way random effects model. The effects of the a priori values on the estimators of the variances are examined in detail. The Mean Square Errors of the estimators are compared for variations in the prior values of the unknown variances.     

Taguchi methods: linear graphs of high resolution

An important reason behind the success of the Taguchi methodology in qual- ity assurance has been the use of statistical methods, presented in a way that is accessible to the nonexpert user. Among the tools used to simplify the sta- tistical design of experiments has been the linear graph, apparently introduced by Taguchi. However, he did not consider the resolution of the corresponding designs (the higher the resolution, the more accurate the conclusions). For example, it will be shown that half of the linear graphs given by Taguchi for the L₁₆(2¹⁵) orthogonal array correspond to designs of resolution III, when designs of resolution IV are available (with the same lines in the linear graphs but with different assignments to the columns of the orthogonal array). A nontraditional but very straightforward method is presented for obtaining the alias chains and the linear graphs corresponding to an orthogonal array. The procedure can be easily understood and employed by nonstatisticians to find an experimental design of the highest possible resolution. The design can be used to obtain products or processes that are robust to variation.