首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   20745篇
  免费   902篇
  国内免费   314篇
管理学   2219篇
劳动科学   2篇
民族学   75篇
人才学   3篇
人口学   417篇
丛书文集   1001篇
理论方法论   475篇
综合类   8757篇
社会学   875篇
统计学   8137篇
  2024年   29篇
  2023年   197篇
  2022年   311篇
  2021年   359篇
  2020年   493篇
  2019年   675篇
  2018年   767篇
  2017年   984篇
  2016年   775篇
  2015年   739篇
  2014年   1135篇
  2013年   2975篇
  2012年   1507篇
  2011年   1238篇
  2010年   1026篇
  2009年   1013篇
  2008年   1099篇
  2007年   1077篇
  2006年   988篇
  2005年   859篇
  2004年   724篇
  2003年   600篇
  2002年   511篇
  2001年   471篇
  2000年   312篇
  1999年   226篇
  1998年   155篇
  1997年   138篇
  1996年   97篇
  1995年   89篇
  1994年   68篇
  1993年   53篇
  1992年   54篇
  1991年   48篇
  1990年   34篇
  1989年   21篇
  1988年   22篇
  1987年   16篇
  1986年   13篇
  1985年   19篇
  1984年   14篇
  1983年   14篇
  1982年   5篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   2篇
  1979年   4篇
  1978年   2篇
  1977年   1篇
  1975年   1篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 46 毫秒
921.
In the article, properties of the Bennett test and Miller test are analyzed. Assuming that the sample size is the same for each sample and considering the null hypothesis that the coefficients of variation for k populations are equal against the hypothesis that k ? 1 coefficients of variation are the same but differ from the coefficient of variation for the kth population, the empirical significance level and the power of the test are studied. Moreover, the dependence of the test statistic and the power of the test on the ratio of coefficients of variation are considered. The analyses are performed on simulated data.  相似文献   
922.
Variable selection is an effective methodology for dealing with models with numerous covariates. We consider the methods of variable selection for semiparametric Cox proportional hazards model under the progressive Type-II censoring scheme. The Cox proportional hazards model is used to model the influence coefficients of the environmental covariates. By applying Breslow’s “least information” idea, we obtain a profile likelihood function to estimate the coefficients. Lasso-type penalized profile likelihood estimation as well as stepwise variable selection method are explored as means to find the important covariates. Numerical simulations are conducted and Veteran’s Administration Lung Cancer data are exploited to evaluate the performance of the proposed method.  相似文献   
923.
This article explores the calculation of tolerance limits for the Poisson regression model based on the profile likelihood methodology and small-sample asymptotic corrections to improve the coverage probability performance. The data consist of n counts, where the mean or expected rate depends upon covariates via the log regression function. This article evaluated upper tolerance limits as a function of covariates. The upper tolerance limits are obtained from upper confidence limits of the mean. To compute upper confidence limits the following methodologies were considered: likelihood based asymptotic methods, small-sample asymptotic methods to improve the likelihood based methodology, and the delta method. Two applications are discussed: one application relating to defects in semiconductor wafers due to plasma etching and the other examining the number of surface faults in upper seams of coal mines. All three methodologies are illustrated for the two applications.  相似文献   
924.
This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation parameters of the stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Removed) epidemic model from the trajectory data. Specifically, the data from the count of both infectives and susceptibles is assumed to be available on some time grid as the epidemic progresses. The diffusion approximation of the appropriate jump process is then used to estimate missing data between every pair of observation times. If the time step of imputations is small enough, we derive the posterior distributions of the infection and recovery rates using the Milstein scheme. The paper also presents Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation that demonstrates that the method provides accurate estimates, as illustrated by the synthetic data from SIR epidemic model and the real data.  相似文献   
925.
In this article, we study global L2 error of non linear wavelet estimator of density in the Besov space Bspq for missing data model when covariables are present and prove that the estimator can achieve the optimal rate of convergence, which is similar to the result studied by Donoho et al. (1996) Donoho, D.L., Johnstone, I.M., Kerkyacharian, G., Picard, D. (1996). Density estimation by wavelet thresholding. Ann. Stat. 24:508539.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar] in complete independent data case with term-by-term thresholding of the empirical wavelet coefficients. Finite-sample behavior of the proposed estimator is explored via simulations.  相似文献   
926.
In this article, we consider a linear model in which the covariates are measured with errors. We propose a t-type corrected-loss estimation of the covariate effect, when the measurement error follows the Laplace distribution. The proposed estimator is asymptotically normal. In practical studies, some outliers that diminish the robustness of the estimation occur. Simulation studies show that the estimators are resistant to vertical outliers and an application of 6-minute walk test is presented to show that the proposed method performs well.  相似文献   
927.
Bootstrap forecast intervals are developed for volatilities having asymmetric features, which are accounted for by fitting EGARCH models. A Monte-Carlo simulation compares the proposed forecast intervals with those based on GARCH fittings which ignore asymmetry. The comparison reveals substantial advantage of addressing asymmetry through EGARCH fitting over ignoring it as the conventional GARCH forecast. The EGARCH forecast intervals have empirical coverage probabilities closer to the nominal level and/or have shorter average lengths than the GARCH forecast intervals. The finding is also supported by real dataset analysis of Dow–Jones index and financial times stock exchange (FTSE) 100 index.  相似文献   
928.
In this article, based on generalized order statistics from a family of proportional hazard rate model, we use a statistical test to generate a class of preliminary test estimators and shrinkage preliminary test estimators for the proportionality parameter. These estimators are compared under Pitman measure of closeness (PMC) as well as MSE criteria. Although the PMC suffers from non transitivity, in the first class of estimators, it has the transitivity property and we obtain the Pitman-closest estimator. Analytical and graphical methods are used to show the range of parameter in which preliminary test and shrinkage preliminary test estimators perform better than their competitor estimators. Results reveal that when the prior information is not too far from its real value, the proposed estimators are superior based on both mentioned criteria.  相似文献   
929.
930.
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号