首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   8679篇
  免费   416篇
  国内免费   103篇
管理学   1197篇
民族学   121篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   139篇
丛书文集   560篇
理论方法论   398篇
综合类   5044篇
社会学   665篇
统计学   1073篇
  2024年   41篇
  2023年   117篇
  2022年   156篇
  2021年   192篇
  2020年   233篇
  2019年   200篇
  2018年   226篇
  2017年   306篇
  2016年   281篇
  2015年   309篇
  2014年   288篇
  2013年   898篇
  2012年   584篇
  2011年   541篇
  2010年   360篇
  2009年   326篇
  2008年   446篇
  2007年   572篇
  2006年   534篇
  2005年   472篇
  2004年   429篇
  2003年   354篇
  2002年   306篇
  2001年   258篇
  2000年   206篇
  1999年   116篇
  1998年   74篇
  1997年   62篇
  1996年   59篇
  1995年   56篇
  1994年   42篇
  1993年   22篇
  1992年   21篇
  1991年   21篇
  1990年   24篇
  1989年   16篇
  1988年   12篇
  1987年   9篇
  1986年   1篇
  1985年   2篇
  1984年   8篇
  1983年   7篇
  1982年   3篇
  1981年   3篇
  1980年   1篇
  1979年   2篇
  1978年   1篇
  1977年   1篇
排序方式: 共有9198条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
991.
The two well-known and widely used multinomial selection procedures Bechhofor, Elmaghraby, and Morse (BEM) and all vector comparison (AVC) are critically compared in applications related to simulation optimization problems.

Two configurations of population probability distributions in which the best system has the greatest probability p i of yielding the largest value of the performance measure and has or does not have the largest expected performance measure were studied.

The numbers achieved by our simulations clearly show that none of the studied procedures outperform the other in all situations. The user must take into consideration the complexity of the simulations and the performance measure probability distribution properties when deciding which procedure to employ.

An important discovery was that the AVC does not work in populations in which the best system has the greatest probability p i of yielding the largest value of the performance measure but does not have the largest expected performance measure.  相似文献   
992.
In this article, we present the problem of selecting a good stochastic system with high probability and minimum total simulation cost when the number of alternatives is very large. We propose a sequential approach that starts with the Ordinal Optimization procedure to select a subset that overlaps with the set of the actual best m% systems with high probability. Then we use Optimal Computing Budget Allocation to allocate the available computing budget in a way that maximizes the Probability of Correct Selection. This is followed by a Subset Selection procedure to get a smaller subset that contains the best system among the subset that is selected before. Finally, the Indifference-Zone procedure is used to select the best system among the survivors in the previous stage. The numerical test involved with all these procedures shows the results for selecting a good stochastic system with high probability and a minimum number of simulation samples, when the number of alternatives is large. The results also show that the proposed approach is able to identify a good system in a very short simulation time.  相似文献   
993.
The study of the dependence between two medical diagnostic tests is an important issue in health research since it can modify the diagnosis and, therefore, the decision regarding a therapeutic treatment for an individual. In many practical situations, the diagnostic procedure includes the use of two tests, with outcomes on a continuous scale. For final classification, usually there is an additional “gold standard” or reference test. Considering binary test responses, we usually assume independence between tests or a joint binary structure for dependence. In this article, we introduce a simulation study assuming two dependent dichotomized tests using two copula function dependence structures in the presence or absence of verification bias. We compare the test parameter estimators obtained under copula structure dependence with those obtained assuming binary dependence or assuming independent tests.  相似文献   
994.
Variable selection is an important issue in all regression analysis, and in this article, we investigate the simultaneous variable selection in joint location and scale models of the skew-t-normal distribution when the dataset under consideration involves heavy tail and asymmetric outcomes. We propose a unified penalized likelihood method which can simultaneously select significant variables in the location and scale models. Furthermore, the proposed variable selection method can simultaneously perform parameter estimation and variable selection in the location and scale models. With appropriate selection of the tuning parameters, we establish the consistency and the oracle property of the regularized estimators. These estimators are compared by simulation studies.  相似文献   
995.
ABSTRACT

In profile monitoring, control charts are proposed to detect unanticipated changes, and it is usually assumed that the in-control parameters are known. However, due to the characteristics of a system or process, the prespecified changes would appear in the process. Moreover, in most applications, the in-control parameters are usually unknown. To overcome these issues, we develop the zone control charts with estimated parameters to detect small shifts of these prespecified changes. The effects of estimation error have been investigated on the performance of the proposed charts. To account for the practitioner-to-practitioner variability, the expected average run length (ARL) and the standard deviation of the average run length (SDARL) is used as the performance metrics. Our results show that the estimation error results in the significant variation in the ARL distribution. Furthermore, in order to adequately reduce the variability, more phase I samples are required in terms of the SDARL metric than that in terms of the expected ARL metric. In addition, more observations on each sampled profile are suggested to improve the charts' performance, especially for small phase I sample sizes. Finally, an illustrative example is given to show the performance of the proposed zone control charts.  相似文献   
996.
Abstract

In time series, it is essential to check the independence of data by means of a proper method or an appropriate statistical test before any further analysis. Therefore, among different independence tests, a powerful and productive test has been introduced by Matilla-García and Marín via m-dimensional vectorial process, in which the value of the process at time t includes m-histories of the primary process. However, this method causes a dependency for the vectors even when the independence assumption of random variables is considered. Considering this dependency, a modified test is obtained in this article through presenting a new asymptotic distribution based on weighted chi-square random variables. Also, some other alterations to the test have been made via bootstrap method and by controlling the overlap. Compared with the primary test, it is obtained that not only the modified test is more accurate but also, it possesses higher power.  相似文献   
997.
In this paper a specification strategy is proposed for the determination of the orders in ARMA models. The strategy is based on two newly defined concepts: the q-conditioned partial auto-regressive function and the p-conditioned partial moving average function. These concepts are similar to the generalized partial autocorrelation function which has been recently suggested for order determination. The main difference is that they are defined and employed in connection with an asymptotically efficient estimation method instead of the rather inefficient generalized Yule-Walker method. The specification is performed by using sequential Wald type tests. In contrast to the traditional testing of hypotheses, these tests use critical values which increase with the sample size at an appropriate rate  相似文献   
998.
A well-known procedure for the optimization of a second-degree response function over a spherical region of interest is that of ridge analysis. Khuri and Myers (1979) introduced a modification of this procedure by incorporating a certain constraint on the prediction variance. Both procedures, however, assume that the response variable has a constant variance throughtout the experimental region. In the present article, we consider two extensions to Khuri and Myers modifioed ridge analysis. The first extension relaxes the constant variance assumption. In the second extension. generalised linear models are used instead of the trasitional linear model. which are commenly used in responce variables that are not necessaily continusly distribution, including these have discreate distributions, Two examples are presented to illustrate the implementation of the proposed extensions.  相似文献   
999.
Economic selection of process parameters has been an important topic in modern statistical process control. The optimum process parameters setting have a major effect on the expected profit/cost per item. There are some concerns on the problem of setting process parameters. Boucher and Jafari (1991 Boucher , T. O. , Jafari , M. A. ( 1991 ). The optimum target value for single filling operations with quality sampling plans . J. Qual. Technol. 23 : 4447 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) first considered the attribute single sampling plan applied in the selection of process target. Pulak and Al-Sultan (1996 Pulak , M. F. S. , Al-Sultan , K. S. ( 1996 ). The optimum targeting for a single filling operation with rectifying inspection . Omega 24 : 727733 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) extended Boucher and Jafari's model and presented the rectifying inspection plan for determining the optimum process mean. In this article, we further propose a modified Pulak and Al-Sultan model for determining the optimum process mean and standard deviation under the rectifying inspection plan with the average outgoing quality limit (AOQL) protection. Taguchi's (1986 Taguchi , G. ( 1986 ). Introduction to Quality Engineering . Asian Productivity Organization . [Google Scholar]) symmetric quadratic quality loss function is adopted for evaluating the product quality. By solving the modified model, we can obtain the optimum process parameters with the maximum expected profit per item and the specified quality level can be reached.  相似文献   
1000.
Recently, several new applications of control chart procedures for short production runs have been introduced. Bothe (1989) and Burr (1989) proposed the use of control chart statistics which are obtained by scaling the quality characteristic by target values or process estimates of a location and scale parameter. The performance of these control charts can be significantly affected by the use of incorrect scaling parameters, resulting in either an excessive "false alarm rate," or insensitivity to the detection of moderate shifts in the process. To correct for these deficiencies, Quesenberry (1990, 1991) has developed the Q-Chart which is formed from running process estimates of the sample mean and variance. For the case where both the process mean and variance are unknown, the Q-chaxt statistic is formed from the standard inverse Z-transformation of a t-statistic. Q-charts do not perform correctly, however, in the presence of special cause disturbances at process startup. This has recently been supported by results published by Del Castillo and Montgomery (1992), who recommend the use of an alternative control chart procedure which is based upon a first-order adaptive Kalman filter model Consistent with the recommendations by Castillo and Montgomery, we propose an alternative short run control chart procedure which is based upon the second order dynamic linear model (DLM). The control chart is shown to be useful for the early detection of unwanted process trends. Model and control chart parameters are updated sequentially in a Bayesian estimation framework, providing the greatest degree of flexibility in the level of prior information which is incorporated into the model. The result is a weighted moving average control chart statistic which can be used to provide running estimates of process capability. The average run length performance of the control chart is compared to the optimal performance of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart, as reported by Gan (1991). Using a simulation approach, the second order DLM control chart is shown to provide better overall performance than the EWMA for short production run applications  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号