城市客运交通能源需求与环境排放研究——以北京为例

基于LEAP模型框架构建北京市城市客运交通-能源-环境模型,计算得到北京市2020年在不同政策情景下的能源需求趋势和常规大气污染气体及温室气体的环境排放变化趋势。研究认为:在北京市对城市客运需求量逐渐增加的前提下,大力发展公共交通尤其是轨道交通以及限制私家车的上升趋势势在必行;同时,改善终端利用层次的能源结构对于降低能源需求以及减缓大气污染压力具有重要作用。     

重庆市农村客运发展战略研究

运用TOWS法分析重庆农村客运系统面临的机遇与挑战,构建农村客运发展的战略目标体系,提出重庆市农村客运发展战略目标、任务与基本政策,为重庆市城乡统筹发展大计提供理论依据与支持。     

成渝客运市场博弈分析

运用博弈模型对成渝容运市场竞争状况进行了实证分析。采用斯塔伯格竞争模型研究结论认为,在高速公路进入前,成渝客运市场已达到纳什均衡。价格博弈模型表明,铁路与高速公路竞争中,避免价格战是双方最优主导战略。旅客间的ＰＵＶ博弈结果证明,成渝客运市场中旅客在不同运输方式中的分布是对其总效用博弈的结果。     

关于发展城市轨道交通的理性思考

面对近几年我国城市轨道交通如火如荼的发展形势,就某个城市而言,文中简要地分析了三个问题,是否应该发展城市轨道交通,发展什么类型的城市轨道交通,如何建设经济高效的城市轨道交通系统。旨在为发展我国城市轨道交通事业提供参考。     

中国民航客运机票定价策略研究

通过分析目前中国民航客运市场的现状 ,针对统一限价政策存在的许多问题和中国加入WTO形势下的新问题 ,对价格体系的科学性和合理性进行探讨 ,并借鉴国外航空公司收益管理的先进理论与方法 ,提出建立适合中国民航客运的多级票价策略     

跨国双向供应链物流合作模型分析

针对中欧班列去回程商品双向流动的现实问题，构建了跨国双向供应链的物流合作模型。考虑境内外物流公司搭建合作平台，通过制定激励策略来缩小双向运量差和提升运载总量，对比物流非合作与物流合作下的双向供应链运作以及平台的激励作用，为中欧班列的市场化运营提供微观运作基础。研究发现：物流合作平台的建立在达到自身激励目标的同时还提高了供应链整体收益，有利于推动中欧班列市场化运营，但是，缩小运量差与提升运量总量这两个激励目标之间存在一定的“对冲效应”。     

Measuring the Benefit of Offering Auxiliary Services: Do Bag‐Checkers Differ in Their Sensitivities to Airline Itinerary Attributes?

When firms evaluate their service system design choices, there is typically more uncertainty surrounding the value that a particular auxiliary service provides than there is on the cost of providing that service. To help inform this decision, we propose an approach where we compare the relative value of the segment of passengers who use an auxiliary service to the relative value of the segment that does not use it. We demonstrate this approach for a typical auxiliary service common to the airline industry. In 2008, most US airlines implemented checked baggage fee policies to decrease their costs by reducing the number of customer service agents needed in the check‐in and baggage handling processes. The success of this change has led to a current debate at many of these airlines on whether to make further staffing cuts in these areas, essentially making it even less attractive for passengers to check their baggage. Our proposed methodology helps answer whether passengers who continue to check bags in today's baggage‐fee era are more or less valuable than passengers who do not check bags. We explore this question empirically by examining, through a stated preference survey, if a history of checking or not checking bags can be used to segment passengers based on how their itinerary choices are influenced by common airline service attributes (on‐time performance, itinerary time, number of connections, airfare, and schedule delay). Contrary to the opinions of some top airline executives, we find that the passengers who continue to check bags at airlines that charge baggage fees are generally less sensitive to differences in three of these important service attributes and are less likely to switch airlines when a competing airline improves its offerings along these dimensions. Thus, airlines that charge for checked bags should consider improving the customer experience for their bag‐checking passengers, as they represent a potentially more valuable segment class to the airline.