“镇改市”过程中的制约因素与改革进路

“镇改市”是我国基层行政体制改革的试验,也是在新型城镇化过程中对基层行政区划改革做出的有益尝试。以构建大中小城市和小城镇协调发展的城镇化空间格局为目标指向,通过激活中小城市的发展“命脉”,改变单纯依靠经济推动乡镇发展的路径依赖,实现“农民城”向新型城镇的跨越,是中国经济发展的新探索。然而,随着改革的推进,缺位的行政规划设计、有限的乡镇管理能力、被异化的政绩观念、社会组织发育不成熟以及市民文化普及不到位等,对“镇改市”的推进造成一定程度的制约,成为“镇改市”过程中难以回避的现实问题。问题的化解离不开政策的引导、技术的支持和法治的保障,这三个维度相互联系、缺一不可,共同为“镇改市”改革的顺利实施“保驾护航”。     

协商民主与政治参与——一种重要的扩大公民有序政治参与的民主形式

协商民主是一种重要的扩大有序政治参与的民主形式。其主要体现为：协商民主有利于整合政治过程中的利益冲突;有利完善政治系统的结构与功能;有利于形成科学和民主的公共决策;有利于促进参与型政治文化的形成。     

被告人程序选择权的界定及其正当性探析

作为刑事被告人人权保障的一个方面,现代法治国家普遍尊重并在不同程度上赋予了被告人以程序选择权--即在法定范围内,被告人有权依自己的意愿选择刑事诉讼的有关程序及与程序有关的事项,具体如对审判程序的选择和对审判方式的选择.虽然程序选择权未被表述为被告人最基本、最重要的诉讼权利,但因其有着广泛的理论依据从而具备了存在和发展的正当性,故在我国的刑事诉讼中也应当受到重视.     

和谐社会构建过程中的民主政治建设

现代民主政治作为人类政治智慧的结晶和现代文明的标志对和谐社会的构建意义重大。民主政治是程序政治、透明政治、宽容政治、法治政治。它为和谐社会提供了必须的制度基础。改革开放以来,社会主义民主政治建设取得了巨大成就,但在构建和谐社会的今天仍然存在一些问题。我们要把握好解决问题的着眼点,找到解决问题的有效路径。在和谐社会的构建过程中发挥民主政治的重要作用,使民主政治与和谐社会相得益彰。     

Multivariate process dispersion monitoring without subgrouping

The memory-type adaptive and non-adaptive control charts are among the best control charts for detecting small-to-moderate changes in the process parameter(s). In this paper, we propose the Crosier CUSUM (CCUSUM), EWMA, adaptive CCUSUM (ACCUSUM) and adaptive EWMA (AEWMA) charts for efficiently monitoring the changes in the covariance matrix of a multivariate normal process without subgrouping. Using extensive Monte Carlo simulations, the length characteristics of these control charts are computed. It turns out that the ACCUSUM and AEWMA charts perform uniformly and substantially better than the CCUSUM and EWMA charts when detecting a range of shift sizes in the covariance matrix. Moreover, the AEWMA chart outperforms the ACCUSUM chart. A real dataset is used to explain the implementation of the proposed control charts.     

银行业国际化的理论基础和历程分析

以国际贸易理论、资本流动理论、对外直接投资理论、产业组织理论为基础,从比较优势论、内部化理论、金融结构论、金融抑制和金融深化论、金融服务贸易和金融创新等角度对银行业国际化的动因作了多方面的分析。重点分析了现代银行业国际化的形成原因和特点,认为欧洲美元市场的兴起、金融创新、金融自由化等因素推动了银行业国际化的发展。     

教育过程主客体关系研究——基于不同视角的回顾与探析

从教育学、历史学、哲学、社会学和心理学等视角,简要地对教育过程主客体关系进行了反思,认为哲学中的主客体概念在研究教育过程诸要素关系中的简单移植,研究方法、研究视角和构成要素在认识上的不统一,是引发争论的主要原因。     

Analysis of Competing Risks by Using Bayesian Smoothing

We consider the competing risks set-up. In many practical situations, the conditional probability of the cause of failure given the failure time is of direct interest. We propose to model the competing risks by the overall hazard rate and the conditional probabilities rather than the cause-specific hazards. We adopt a Bayesian smoothing approach for both quantities of interest. Illustrations are given at the end.     

On the coase theorem and coalitional stability: the principle of equal relative concession

The Coase theorem is argued to be incompatible with bargaining set stability due to a tension between the grand coalition and sub-coalitions. We provide a counter-intuitive argument to demonstrate that the Coase theorem may be in complete consonance with bargaining set stability. We establish that an uncertainty concerning the formation of sub-coalitions will explain such compatibility: each agent fears that others may `gang up' against him and this fear forces the agents to negotiate. The grand coalition emerges from the negotiations if each agent uses the principle of equal relative sacrifice to determine the actual allocation. We also establish the rational basis for the choice of the principle of equal relative concession by the negotiating agents. Hence we argue that the Coase theorem will be valid even if there are stable sub-coalitions.     

Correlation in a Bayesian framework

The authors consider the correlation between two arbitrary functions of the data and a parameter when the parameter is regarded as a random variable with given prior distribution. They show how to compute such a correlation and use closed form expressions to assess the dependence between parameters and various classical or robust estimators thereof, as well as between p‐values and posterior probabilities of the null hypothesis in the one‐sided testing problem. Other applications involve the Dirichlet process and stationary Gaussian processes. Using this approach, the authors also derive a general nonparametric upper bound on Bayes risks.