论习近平关于全面从严治党重要论述的时代意蕴

党的十八大以来,以习近平同志为核心的党中央在加强党的建设方面提出了一系列新思想新观点,全面从严治党奏出了时代最强音,呈现出许多新的特点,突出表现为坚持思想建党和制度治党相统一,以党的政治建设为统领,以坚定理想信念宗旨为根基,全面推进党的各项建设。全面回应了新时代建设什么样的党、怎样建设党的问题。从时代特点、时代要求、时代品格、时代意义四个维度来分析把握习近平关于全面从严治党重要论述,对于新时代加强党的领导和推进党的建设伟大工程具有重要意义。     

阿尔及利亚D 区块储层特征及影响因素分析

下泥盆Siegenian 组砂岩储层是阿尔及利亚D 区块的主要勘探目的层。研究其储层特征及控制因素对勘探潜力的评价及后期开发有着重要的指导意义。经过研究，块内砂岩类型主要为石英砂岩，岩屑石英砂岩，储层储集空间主要为各种类型的次生孔隙和少量的裂缝，原生粒间孔不发育，多为粒间溶孔、粒内溶孔及微裂隙。孔隙结构主要为中小孔微细喉，储层物性较差，为中低孔、特低渗储层类储层；储层性质主要受到沉积条件和成岩作用的控制，成岩作用中以压实作用和溶蚀作用对储层物性影响最大，其次是胶结作用和交代作用。     

德、位张力与先秦儒家的性命之学——对楚简《唐虞之道》第14至29号简的思想解读

文章系统解读了楚简《唐虞之道》第14至29号简的思想内涵及脉络,认为这部分简文首先通过尧成为天子之原因的追问,突出了德与位的张力问题,即在应然之理上,有位必当有德,但就实然之事看,有德未必有位.简文对这一德位张力有两个层面的解决方案:一方面,要求有德无位者全力修德,谨守性命,安于时命,养成恒常如一的圆满德行,从而能在得位而治时能“利天下而弗利”；另一方面,要求有位者透悟性命之正,从而能主动尚德授贤、退而养生,这既能使贤者居位而利天下,又能退而养生以自利.简文将“七十致政”之礼普遍化,试图断绝天子终身制的构想,也具有深刻的政治哲学意义.     

水驱砂岩油藏孔喉结构变化的三维网络模拟

以长期水驱实验为基础，建立了等效水驱砂岩储层孔喉结构变化的三维网络模拟模型，结合三维微粒运移机制和有限差分求解方法，得到了长期水驱砂岩油藏孔喉结构变化规律：（1） 冲刷后喉道半径呈增加趋势，喉道半径变化范围变大，极小喉道半径呈微弱减小趋势；（2） 孔隙网络模型中冲刷半径扩大的孔道分布形式与原始孔隙网络结构密切相关，并非所有的大孔道都串联起来贯穿岩芯孔隙网络的两个端面，但入口端和出口端部分大孔道相互连通，形成端面上的大孔道网络群。网络模拟注水结果结合采油井测试，可为注水剖面的调整提供更加可靠的依据。     

Asymptotic expansions for sequential confidence levels in inverse linear regression

Non-linear renewal theory is used to derive second order asymptotic expansions for the coverage probability of a fixed-width sequential confidence interval for an unknown parameter xin the inverse linear regression model. These expansions are obtained for a two-stage sequential procedure, proposed by Perng and Tong (1974) for the construction of a confidence interval for x.     

Over‐indebtedness and microcredit in Cambodia: Moving beyond borrower‐centric frames

Over the past two decades, Cambodia has experienced an unprecedented credit boom, a growth in lending so rapid that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) referred to it as “one of the fastest financial deepening episodes by historical cross‐cultural standards” (IMF, 2016, p. 4). This deepening has been driven by the expansion of microcredit. In tandem, over‐indebtedness has increased among microcredit borrowers, and debt has become a significant political and economic concern. This article explores how over‐indebtedness is understood and explained by stakeholders across microcredit value chains. To do so, we draw on interviews with microfinance institution (MFI) executives, investors, branch managers, partners, financial literacy trainers, loan officers and borrowers in Siem Reap and Phnom Penh. We find that across the sector, dominant framings of over‐indebtedness privilege borrower‐centric explanations, while discounting the structural drivers of excessive lending and borrowing. As a consequence, current efforts to limit over‐indebtedness are unlikely to produce the kinds of solutions that are most needed to reduce the debt stress among borrowers. These arguments have implications across the Global South, particularly for contexts where microfinance is rapidly expanding.     

Bayesian density regression for discrete outcomes

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining conditional densities from the multivariate ones. The approach to multivariate mixed scale outcome density estimation that we describe represents discrete variables, either responses or covariates, as discretised versions of continuous latent variables. We present and compare several models for obtaining these thresholds in the challenging context of count data analysis where the response may be over‐ and/or under‐dispersed in some of the regions of the covariate space. We utilise a nonparametric mixture of multivariate Gaussians to model the directly observed and the latent continuous variables. The paper presents a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for posterior sampling, sufficient conditions for weak consistency, and illustrations on density, mean and quantile regression utilising simulated and real datasets.     

日本政府钓鱼岛事件对策的演变及其原因

20世纪70年代以来,日本政府的钓鱼岛事件对策,虽基本立场未有微动,但在具体方式上却经历了从政治处理、政治和司法二元处理到司法处理的转换。这种转换之所以可视为有其必然性,主要在于日方对钓鱼岛事件在对华关系格局中的定位和成为决定事件处理方针制约要素的日本政治及国际政治的状况已发生重大变化。     

揭示国民性的冷漠与隔阂——《伤逝》主旨的另一解读

沿着《伤逝》中不同的视点细读作品,可以看到涓生与子君存在着深深的隔膜。他们的爱情悲剧,主要是由这种人与人之间难以沟通的国民性弱点造成的。《伤逝》的主旨可以解读为揭示国民性的冷漠与隔阂。     

生态文明与人的生存关怀

恩格斯100多年前就关注人与自然的和谐相处,预警人类的生存危机,马克思则提出了根本的解决之道:包含生态文明与人的生存关怀在内的人化自然。面对着世界范围内的生态文明与人的生存关怀缺失,中国更应该从意识、规律、建设方面,坚持经济、社会、生态效益的统一,展示社会主义的生态文明与人的生存关怀。