Toward an integrated Bayesian network approach to measurement error detection and correction

In this article, the quality of data produced by national statistical institutes and by governmental institutions is considered. In particular, the problem of measurement error is analyzed and an integrated Bayesian network decision support system based on non-parametric Bayesian networks is proposed for its detection and correction. Non-parametric Bayesian networks are graphical models expressing dependence structure via bivariate copulas associated to the edges of the graph. The network structure and the misreport probability are estimated using a validation sample. The Bayesian network model is proposed to decide: (i) which records have to be corrected; (ii) the kind and amount of correction to be adopted. The proposed correction procedure is applied to the Banca d’Italia Survey on Household Income and Wealth and, specifically, the bond amounts are analyzed. Finally, the sensitivity of the conditional distribution of the true value random variable given the observed one to different evidence configurations is studied.     

Reasons That Could Lead People to Divorce in an Evolutionary Perspective: Evidence from Cyprus

In the current research, we aimed to identify the reasons that could drive people to get a divorce. In Study 1, we employed qualitative research methods, and we identified 62 reasons that could potentially drive people to get a divorce. Using quantitative research methods, in Study 2 we classified these reasons into 7 broader factors. We found that being a harmful spouse was the most important factor for divorce, followed by incompatibility and in-law problems. We also found significant sex differences in several factors such as women indicating a higher willingness than men to divorce a harmful spouse. In addition, participants with children were less willing to divorce a harmful spouse than those who had no children. Finally, using second-order principal components analysis, we classified the 7 factors into 2 broader domains of reasons for getting a divorce.     

自媒体时代高校社会主义核心价值观教育研究

随着自媒体时代的兴起,高校培育和践行社会主义核心价值观,应全面把握和深入分析自媒体时代的特征及其影响,分析在自媒体时代的冲击下,高校社会主义核心价值观教育所面临的机遇和挑战,探讨如何用多维度策略推进高校社会主义核心价值观的政治认同。     

节约型高校后勤建设探讨——从校园浪费现象谈起

建设节约型社会已经在全国蔚然成风,节约型社会背景下的高校节约型校园建设其重点又在后勤。当前高校校园普遍存在严重的浪费现象,从分析校园浪费现象及原因入手,探讨建设节约型高校后勤的对策。     

体制改革、消费主导与经济发展方式转变

无论是从马克思主义理论和科学发展观的要求来看,还是从我国现实经济的发展要求来看,着力推进消费主导的经济发展方式转变,都已经作为一个事关我国现代化建设全局的重大任务被提了出来。为此,我们应针对扩大居民消费的几种主要障碍,下决心推进我国政治体制和经济体制的改革,从制度上解决与社会主义本质完全背离的国民财富分配不公问题和灰色收入问题。     

试析存在论视域的先秦道家审美观

从存在主义哲学的视野辨析先秦道家学说的存在论本质.道家的审美观念是基于"道境"的生存论体验,对"道境"的体悟决定了其对"本真美"的言说方式.这与儒家的审美观形成了鲜明的对比.     

论邓小平人才思想

作为中国改革开放和现代化建设的总设计师,邓小平在参与领导中国革命、建设和改革的过程中,科学地论述了人才的重要性,在人才标准、培养和使用等方面提出了一系列相互联系的基本观点,形成了丰富的人才思想。邓小平人才思想具有鲜明的时代性、实践性、科学性和开放性。研究邓小平人才思想,对实施新世纪人才强国战略有着极其重要的现实意义。     

10年来我国企业会计制度改革的回顾与评价

在我国会计发展历史过程中 ,会计制度一直被采纳和沿用 ,而直到 2 0世纪 90年代才引进西方国家的会计准则这一规范形式。经过不断改革探索 ,我国目前形成了企业会计制度和企业会计准则并存的国家统一会计核算体系的局面     

充分运用现代教育技术 全面革新大学英语教学

本文探讨了如何使现代教育技术同传统的教学手段相结合,充分发挥其作用和潜力,全面革新大学英语教学,建立以多媒体网络技术为支撑的人机结合的现代化大学英语教学新模式,该模式体现了以学生为中心的个性化学习理念,易于操作,优化了教学资源,培养学生英语综合实用能力和运用现代化的信息传播手段获得英语知识能力的同时,注重培养学生的文化素养。新模式对于广大高校非常有实用价值。     

金世宗对金源故地的经略

金世宗完颜雍在位29年,为了常葆女真全民族骑射武功不衰败,有效地抗击北方鞑靼部族南下攻掠金国,特在黑龙江金源故地山林中,大力倡导女真族以射猎野兽为实战的习武运动.同时颁布有利于生态平衡保护野兽繁衍的法令.对金国北疆世居混同江两岸的乌底改族施以残酷剿杀,以求得金源故地北疆的安全.