贸易开放、贸易增长与贸易平衡--对转型国家贸易发展的实证研究

本文对1992年到2002年中东欧和独联体25个转型国家贸易开放、贸易增长和贸易平衡问题进行实证研究.文章第一部分简单介绍了转型国家从经互会贸易体制到世界多边贸易体制的发展过程,并提出本文的研究目的、对象以及方法.第二部分用贸易开放、增长和平衡的分析指标对转型国家贸易发展情况作一概述,并引入贸易政策指标、宏观经济指标以及入世虚拟变量等解释因素.第三部分运用面板数据扩展模型(extended model)对转型国家贸易发展的不同作用因素进行统计检验并对结果做出相应分析.第四部分集中对两个转型国家集团-中东欧和独联体-贸易的不同发展状况及其决定因素进行统计检验和比较分析.     

翻译中的若干技巧

听、说、读、写、译能准确反映出一名英语学习者的英语掌握程度 ,而若想译得准确、流利 ,这的确存在一定的难度。着重阐述了翻译(英译汉 )的标准、方法和若干实用的基本技巧 ,这些技巧包括 :转换法 ,增减法 ,正反、反正表达法和分句、合句法等。如掌握了这些技巧 ,定能起到事半功倍的作用     

Population Policy in Early Victorian England

This paper argues that the generally-held belief that there was no population policy in Great Britain during its fertility transition is incorrect. There were, in fact, clear and implicit and explicit policies in place by the early 19th Century which aimed at reducing population growth. These were negative, involving elimination of family allowances (the famous Poor Laws), and also positive, through subsidised emigration and ``transportation' of felons to the colonies. Moreover, a changed ``ideation' on the part of the nation's political, intellectual and spiritual leaders, changed norms about marriage and child-bearing, raising sharply the perceived economic and psychic cost of children. Lacking acceptable means to control pregnancies, many working class women resorted to abortion, infanticide and child abandonment to reduce their family size. The policy's actual impact on overall fertility is uncertain but it did constitute a deliberate attempt by society to affect demographic behaviour and outcomes.     

The State, Institutional Transition and the Creation of New Urban Poverty in China

Since the 1990s, the introduction of a market economy and the process of rapid urbanization have been accompanied by a new urban poverty related to lay‐offs and unemployment as well as by large‐scale rural–urban migration, which is different from the traditional urban poverty of the ‘Three Nos’ (no relatives or dependants, no working capacity and no source of income). This article focuses on new urban poverty in China under market transition and discusses the causes of poverty creation. Instead of considering Chinese new urban poverty only as a result of market mechanisms, it argues that the state as the manipulator of institutions and policies does matter in the creation of new urban poverty, and that the cleavages between the old and new institutions further intensify it. Specifically, the following aspects of the creation of new urban poverty are examined in detail: the adjustment of industrial policy, the reform of state‐owned enterprises, evolution of the household registration system, and the transformation of the welfare state.     

社会保障转制成本的理论与对策分析

在社会保障制度转换过程中,所有国家都会面临制度转换成本的负担问题。中国要顺利实现社会保障制度由现收现付制向部分积累制转变,政府必须承担新旧制度衔接过程中的全部转制成本。中国可借鉴智利“认可债券”发行经验,以解决目前社会保障资金运行中凸显的个人账户空账运行问题。中国也可借鉴美国“确定受益制”和“确定供款制”两种企业年金计划的成功推行经验,扩大企业补充保险支出,缩小国家基本保险支出,最终减轻政府财政负担,推动国家经济稳定增长。     

Race and Population Change: A Longitudinal Look at Cleveland Neighborhoods

This paper investigates the relationship of racial composition to neighborhood population change from 1910 to 1990 in the Cleveland metropolitan area. To better understand the long-term dynamics of urban neighborhood change, we focus our analysis upon the longitudinal relationship of race, socioeconomic status, and life cycle stage to changes in neighborhood population densities. First, we find that the more established neighborhoods of the African-American community have experienced dramatic declines in population since 1950, a pattern that represents a clear change from the earlier part of the twentieth century. Second, population loss is experienced through a variety of mechanisms, including the demolition of dwellings, the increase in housing vacancy, and the decline of household size. Third, much of this population loss should be interpreted within the context of high economic distress, occurring most frequently in older African-American communities. Over time, economic distress appears to be more important than race in and of itself in leading to the loss of neighborhood populations.     

社会转型时代的管理创新

人类社会已经步入了 2 1世纪 ,我们正处在社会的转型时代。知识经济的步步紧逼 ,无时无刻不在激励着人们在社会生产经营等各项活动中不断创新。管理的创新则是创新的灵魂。对创新资源的深入发掘 ,引出了我们对社会转型时代管理创新的内涵、原则、方法的讨论     

邓小平的政治观与当代中国政治转型

邓小平是我国改革开放的总设计师,他对社会主义政治内涵的新诠释和政治与经济关系的阐述以及提出的处理政治与经济关系的基本方略,为人们认识社会主义政治的科学内涵,从理论和实践上推动当代中国政治转型,为当代中国政治文明建设奠定了基础。     

多媒体呈现流程的形式化描述及内容表示

交互式多媒体呈现系统一般由呈现内容和呈现控制流程两部分组成。通过引入通用转换网络,对交互式多媒体应用系统的内部呈现流程进行了形式化描述;讨论了该形式化描述下呈现流程的重用性;提出了将呈现流程与呈现内容相分离的系统实现策略;给出了呈现内容描述和可呈现对象相结合的呈现内容表示方法。该策略和方法可用于设计实现交互式多媒体呈现系统创作平台,利用该平台创作的呈现系统能够并发地呈现多种媒体形式的信息,系统及其组成部件具有良好的可重用性。     

我国历史上疆域形成、变迁的理论研究

文章就我国历史上疆域形成及变迁的有关理论问题进行了研究。作者回顾了半个世纪以来我国疆域研究取得的成就,分析了有关论述观点的得失,提出了深化此项研究的对策。