James - stein regression estimation in a prediction context

Two types of shrunken estimators of regression coefficients are studied in the context of stochastic predictor variables. Emphasis is placed on the choice of the shrinkage parameters, using a ‘deleted-observation’ concept which is motivated by predictive ability.     

Exponential Inequalities in Stochastic Inverse Problems Using an Iterative Method

We consider an iterative method in order to solve linear inverse problems. We establish exponential inequalities for the probability of the distance between the approximated solution and the exact one for a calibration problem. The approximate is given by an iterative method with Gaussian errors. We treat an operator equation of the form Ax = u, where A is a compact operator.     

Bootstrap method in ranking and slippage problems

In this paper, the bootstrap method of Efron (1979) is given for a ranking and a slippage problem, where the ranking (or slippage) is with respect to the mean of the distributions. The method is also applied to obtain a confidence interval for the largest mean.     

地下空间的软导向识别及主要设计策略

针对软导向设计具有改善用户在特定导向任务中的寻路效率和效果的假设,利用意向尺度法对包含软导向设计的空间和不包含软导向设计的空间进行对比调研。结果证明,软导向设计可以明显提升导识效率,并发现随着用户对空间熟悉程度的增加,一些地标性差异物可以成为用户稳定可靠的定位要素,从而对常规标识系统的依赖度逐渐下降。由此提出应通过色彩和光影变化、立体造型与显著空间标志物的设置、平面造型的图案规划与差异、材料和肌理以及装饰强度的对比等措施完成空间中的软导向设计。并认为软导向设计前期需要在充分调研的基础之上开展,在设计过程中不但要节制规范的使用软导向要素,还应与空间主题语境相呼应。     

英语词汇学习的误区及方法研究

词汇学习是英语学习过程中的重要环节。通过对英语教学的分析研究,概括出了学生词汇学习的三大误区,并从转变思维模式、归类记忆、联想记忆等三方面提出了学习词汇的方法。     

Migration decision-making and migration industry in the Indonesia–Malaysia corridor

ABSTRACT

This paper explores the involvement of migration industry (MI) in the migration system of Indonesia and Malaysia. The two countries share an extensive border and have much in common in culture and history but they are very different in geographical size, population and economic development, the latter being a main cause for labour migration from Indonesia to Malaysia. The changing context of government policies generates new niches for migration services taken up by formal and informal intermediaries, thereby confronting migrants with a varied migration-decision field and thresholds during their migration process. Much of the migration is legal, but a large part of it also takes place outside the control of the national governments. While taking mental processes in migration decision-making as starting point, we analyse how the MI, by way of fostering, facilitating and controlling geographic mobility and localised employment, connects to the production and negotiating of three migration decision thresholds faced by migrants.     

论民族素质能量的积聚途径和方式--民族素质研究之四

本文利用丰富的资料,从教育、研究与开发、知识产权保护、开放度等四个方面,对民族素质能量积聚的途径、方式进行了开拓性的研究.     

试论马林诺夫斯基的性人类学研究

性人类学主要针对部落社会以及其他技术不发达的非西方文化中的性实践进行系统的描述和分析 ,关注的主要是生物的、心理的因素和产生性爱冲动、性吸引以及某种特定性行为的文化因素之间的互动关系。马林诺夫斯基是性人类学研究的第一位大师 ,他对异域社会性实践的田野考察建构了一种文化差异 ,为的是让人们找到反省本土文化的机会 ,从而做出建设性的自我批评并抛弃掉那些既武断又矛盾的陈旧观念     

多层面引导宗教与社会主义社会相适应的途径

本文从不同层面探讨了宗教与社会主义社会相适应的途径,分析了正确对待宗教工作的方法和态度,着重论述了新时期应该突出宗教的伦理和文化功能的观点,从制度支持、信仰者个体自我约束与政府的管理相互促进、以保证信教者与不信教者拥有平等的地位等方面探讨了宗教与社会主义社会相适应的条件及途径。     

Shadow Insurance

Life insurers use reinsurance to move liabilities from regulated and rated companies that sell policies to shadow reinsurers, which are less regulated and unrated off‐balance‐sheet entities within the same insurance group. U.S. life insurance and annuity liabilities ceded to shadow reinsurers grew from $11 billion in 2002 to $364 billion in 2012. Life insurers using shadow insurance, which capture half of the market share, ceded 25 cents of every dollar insured to shadow reinsurers in 2012, up from 2 cents in 2002. By relaxing capital requirements, shadow insurance could reduce the marginal cost of issuing policies and thereby improve retail market efficiency. However, shadow insurance could also reduce risk‐based capital and increase expected loss for the industry. We model and quantify these effects based on publicly available data and plausible assumptions.