Uniform Distributions on the Integers: A connection to the Bernouilli Random Walk

Associate to each subset of the integers its almost sure limiting relative frequency under the Bernouilli random walk, if it has one. The resulting probability space is purely finitely additive, and uniform in the sense of residue classes and shift-invariance. However, it is not uniform in the sense of limiting relative frequency.     

Nonparametric tests for conditional independence using conditional distributions

The concept of causality is naturally defined in terms of conditional distribution, however almost all the empirical works focus on causality in mean. This paper aims to propose a nonparametric statistic to test the conditional independence and Granger non-causality between two variables conditionally on another one. The test statistic is based on the comparison of conditional distribution functions using an L₂ metric. We use Nadaraya–Watson method to estimate the conditional distribution functions. We establish the asymptotic size and power properties of the test statistic and we motivate the validity of the local bootstrap. We ran a simulation experiment to investigate the finite sample properties of the test and we illustrate its practical relevance by examining the Granger non-causality between S&P 500 Index returns and VIX volatility index. Contrary to the conventional t-test which is based on a linear mean-regression, we find that VIX index predicts excess returns both at short and long horizons.     

Randomly Weighted Sums of Pairwise Quasi Upper-Tail Independent Increments with Application to Risk Theory

This article investigates the asymptotic tail probabilities of randomly weighted sums and their maximum of pairwise quasi upper-tail independent increments with non negative and arbitrarily dependent random weights. An application of the obtained results to risk theory is proposed.     

Some results following from conditional characteristic functions

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this article is to derive rigorously some results following from conditional characteristic functions and anticipate that they will prove to be of significant applicability. Specifically, Khintchine weak law of large numbers, Lévy central limit theorem, inversion theorem, uniqueness theorem, characterization of identical distribution, and characterization of independence are all generalized to conditional setup.     

A robust test for the homogeneity of scales

Many robust tests for the equality of variances have been proposed recently. Brown and Forsythe (1974) and Layard (1973) review some of the well-known procedures and compare them by simulation methods. Brown and Forsythe’s alternative formulation of Levene’s test statistic is found to be quite robust under certain nonnormal distributions. The performance of the methods, however, suffers in the presence of heavy tailed distributions such as the Cauchy distribution.

In this paper, we propose and study a simple robust test. The results obtained from the Monte Carlo study compare favorably with those of the existing procedures.     

Some asymptotic properties of the circular median

In this article, the asymptotic distribution of the circular median is derived for symmetric distributions on the circle. Its asymptotic relative efficienty with respect to the mean direction and to an estimator proposed by Watson (1983) is then examined. Special attention is given to the cases where the underlying distribution is von Mises and contaminated von Mises. It is seen that the circular median can perform more efficiently than both estimators in presence of outliers.     

Shrinkage testimators for the shape parameter of weibull distributin under type ii censoring

In this paper we propose some shrinkage testimators for the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution when censored samples are available and study their properties. Comparison of the testimators with Singh and Bhatkulikar (1978) and with the usual estimator, interms of mean squared error are made. It is shown that the proposed testimators     

The costs of using incomplete response data for the exponential regression model

This paper investigates the asymptotic and small sample costs of using incomplete response data, Situations are identified where the information loss is substantial, Moreover, the small sample properties of the estimators are even worse than suggested by their asymptotic counterparts. These results provide the practitioner with guidance as to the severity of the costs he can incur, This is especially helpful when he cars choose the type of incomplete data that he observes.     

Linear rank tests for homogeneity against ordered alternatives in anova and anocova

A unified method of constructing rank tests for homogeneity against ordered alternatives in unbalanced analysis of variance and analysis of covariance is considered. The relationship between these tests with some of the existing methods are studied. The normal theory likelihood ratio tests are also derived and the asymptotic relative efficiency comparisons, in Pitman sense, of the rank tests with respect to the likelihood ratio tests are carried out.