Identification of target clusters by using the restricted normal mixture model

This paper addresses the problem of identifying groups that satisfy the specific conditions for the means of feature variables. In this study, we refer to the identified groups as “target clusters” (TCs). To identify TCs, we propose a method based on the normal mixture model (NMM) restricted by a linear combination of means. We provide an expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm to fit the restricted NMM by using the maximum-likelihood method. The convergence property of the EM algorithm and a reasonable set of initial estimates are presented. We demonstrate the method's usefulness and validity through a simulation study and two well-known data sets. The proposed method provides several types of useful clusters, which would be difficult to achieve with conventional clustering or exploratory data analysis methods based on the ordinary NMM. A simple comparison with another target clustering approach shows that the proposed method is promising in the identification.     

Estimation in periodic restricted EXPAR(1) models

ABSTRACT

This article is devoted to study the problem of estimation in the periodic restricted exponential autoregressive EXPAR(1) models. The estimation procedure that is used is the least-square method. Simulation studies are carried out in order to check the asymptotic properties. An application to monthly flow data for the Fraser River in British Columbia is included.     

论用人单位歧视性报复的表现形式及救济

用人单位歧视性报复作为一种独立的就业歧视类型有着独特的表现形式,主要有不当解雇、降低职务、减少劳动报酬和福利待遇等。我国法律虽然对之作出了禁止性的规定,但是缺乏系统全面的规制。由于救济手段的缺乏,现有的法律规范不能提供理想的救济手段和救济结果,劳动者在遭受用人单位歧视性报复后难以得到有效地救济。为解决这一困境探求法律救济方法显得十分必要,以法律规制用人单位的行为,保护劳动者的合法权益,调整劳动关系。     

On the restricted almost unbiased Liu estimator in the logistic regression model

It is known that when the multicollinearity exists in the logistic regression model, variance of maximum likelihood estimator is unstable. As a remedy, in the context of biased shrinkage Liu estimation, Chang introduced an almost unbiased Liu estimator in the logistic regression model. Making use of his approach, when some prior knowledge in the form of linear restrictions are also available, we introduce a restricted almost unbiased Liu estimator in the logistic regression model. Statistical properties of this newly defined estimator are derived and some comparison results are also provided in the form of theorems. A Monte Carlo simulation study along with a real data example are given to investigate the performance of this estimator.     

Comparison of the restricted mean survival time with the hazard ratio in superiority trials with a time‐to‐event end point

With the emergence of novel therapies exhibiting distinct mechanisms of action compared to traditional treatments, departure from the proportional hazard (PH) assumption in clinical trials with a time‐to‐event end point is increasingly common. In these situations, the hazard ratio may not be a valid statistical measurement of treatment effect, and the log‐rank test may no longer be the most powerful statistical test. The restricted mean survival time (RMST) is an alternative robust and clinically interpretable summary measure that does not rely on the PH assumption. We conduct extensive simulations to evaluate the performance and operating characteristics of the RMST‐based inference and against the hazard ratio–based inference, under various scenarios and design parameter setups. The log‐rank test is generally a powerful test when there is evident separation favoring 1 treatment arm at most of the time points across the Kaplan‐Meier survival curves, but the performance of the RMST test is similar. Under non‐PH scenarios where late separation of survival curves is observed, the RMST‐based test has better performance than the log‐rank test when the truncation time is reasonably close to the tail of the observed curves. Furthermore, when flat survival tail (or low event rate) in the experimental arm is expected, selecting the minimum of the maximum observed event time as the truncation timepoint for the RMST is not recommended. In addition, we recommend the inclusion of analysis based on the RMST curve over the truncation time in clinical settings where there is suspicion of substantial departure from the PH assumption.     

A fast algorithm for univariate log‐concave density estimation

A new fast algorithm for computing the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of a univariate log‐concave density is proposed and studied. It is an extension of the constrained Newton method for nonparametric mixture estimation. In each iteration, the newly extended algorithm includes, if necessary, new knots that are located via a special directional derivative function. The algorithm renews the changes of slope at all knots via a quadratically convergent method and removes the knots at which the changes of slope become zero. Theoretically, the characterisation of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate is studied and the algorithm is guaranteed to converge to the unique maximum likelihood estimate. Numerical studies show that it outperforms other algorithms that are available in the literature. Applications to some real‐world financial data are also given.     

Asymptotic properties of mean survival estimate based on the Kaplan-Meier curve with an extrapolated tail

Asymptotic distribution of the mean survival time based on the Kaplan-Meier curve with an extrapolated 'tail' is derived. A closed formula of the variance estimate is provided. Asymptotic properties of the estimator were studied in a simulation study, which showed that this estimator was unbiased with proper coverage probability and followed a normal distribution. An example is used to demonstrate the application of this estimator.     

The role of reversals in order‐restricted inference

A statistical model is said to be an order‐restricted statistical model when its parameter takes its values in a closed convex cone C of the Euclidean space. In recent years, order‐restricted likelihood ratio tests and maximum likelihood estimators have been criticized on the grounds that they may violate a cone order monotonicity (COM) property, and hence reverse the cone order induced by C. The authors argue here that these reversals occur only in the case that C is an obtuse cone, and that in this case COM is an inappropriate requirement for likelihood‐based estimates and tests. They conclude that these procedures thus remain perfectly reasonable procedures for order‐restricted inference.     

Testing noninferiority in three‐armed clinical trials based on likelihood ratio statistics

Clinical noninferiority trials with at least three groups have received much attention recently, perhaps due to the fact that regulatory agencies often require that a placebo group be evaluated along with a new experimental drug and an active control. The authors discuss likelihood ratio tests for binary endpoints and various noninferiority hypotheses. They find that, depending on the particular hypothesis, the test reduces asymptotically either to the intersection‐union test or to a test which follows asymptotically a mixture of generalized chi‐squared distributions. They investigate the performance of this asymptotic test and provide an exact modification. They show that this test considerably outperforms multiple testing methods such as the Bonferroni adjustment with respect to power. They illustrate their methods with a cancer study to compare antiemetic agents. Finally, they discuss the extension of the results to other settings, such as Gaussian endpoints.