云冈石窟佛经故事的艺术传播方式

云冈石窟雕刻是将佛经故事以石刻的形式表现出来的经典作品,在石窟中占有重要位置。本文拟从艺术传播学的角度,对其传播技巧和传播方法进行新视域的研究。     

Exact permutation inference for two sample repeated measures data

Experiments in which very few units are measured many times sometimes present particular difficulties. Interest often centers on simple location shifts between two treatment groups, but appropriate modeling of the error distribution can be challenging. For example, normality may be difficult to verify, or a single transformation stabilizing variance or improving normality for all units and all measurements may not exist. We propose an analysis of two sample repeated measures data based on the permutation distribution of units. This provides a distribution free alternative to standard analyses. The analysis includes testing, estimation and confidence intervals. By assuming a certain structure in the location shift model, the dimension of the problem is reduced by analyzing linear combinations of the marginal statistics. Recently proposed algorithms for computation of two sample permutation distributions, require only a few seconds for experiments having as many as 100 units and any number of repeated measures. The test has high asymptotic efficiency and good power with respect to tests based on the normal distribution. Since the computational burden is minimal, approximation of the permutation distribution is unnecessary.     

论《生死疲劳》的叙事策略

莫言仅用43天的时间就创作了近50万字的《生死疲劳》,其创作速度之快、文本之厚重、情节之复杂都令人惊奇。《生死疲劳》的成功与莫言独特的叙事策略密不可分,"六道轮回"的叙事模式、灵活多变的叙述视角以及怪诞传奇的叙事情节,不单是吸引读者的因素,更是文本构造的支柱。     

A simple method to obtain minimum aberration split-plot designs

ABSTRACT

Split-plot designs have been utilized in factorial experiments with some factors applied to larger units and others to smaller units. Such designs with low aberration are preferred when the experimental size and the number of factors considered in both whole plot and subplot are determined. The minimum aberration split-plot designs can be obtained using either computer algorithms or the exhausted search. In this article, we propose a simple, easy-to-operate approach by using two ordered sequences of columns from two orthogonal arrays in obtaining minimum aberration split-plot designs for experiments of sizes 16 and 32.     

被社会环境造就与造就社会环境——论小说中人物与社会环境关系的特殊形态

小说创作有三个要素：人物、情节、环境。小说中人物与环境的关系通常解释为：＂环境是人物展开交往和活动的具体场所。＂但在以著名历史人物为原型的小说中,人物与环境出现了复杂的情形,环境尤其是社会环境并不只是人物展开交往和活动的场所,还是人物性格形成的重要因素;著名历史人物对社会环境的改变也着极为重要的作用。《斯巴达克思》和《上尉的女儿》就是如此。     

Multistate life‐tables and regression models

A survey is given of the use of modern statistical techniques in event history analysis, and in particular in the study of multi‐state life‐tables in demography. Emphasis is placed on the interplay between partial likelihood and nonparametric maximum likelihood based methods, a) when analysing semi‐Markov models or models with repeated spells, and b) in frailty models for inobservable heterogeneity.     

当代文学史写作:方法、可能与限度--以洪子诚著《中国当代文学史》为中心

<中国当代文学史>作为"重写文学史"的重要成果,有着重大的学术价值和独立的学术品格.但它作为"历史中间物"也有着缺陷和不足在叙史过程中,"当代文学"的内涵从"话语形成"到"自然时空"的转换,使其"下编"止于浮泛评述;以"一体化"的实现和解体作为叙史情节结构和文学史观,既显示出史识的洞见,又对复杂的文学情境造成了一定的遮蔽.     

Covariates and Random Effects in a Gamma Process Model with Application to Degradation and Failure

The gamma process is a natural model for degradation processes in which deterioration is supposed to take place gradually over time in a sequence of tiny increments. When units or individuals are observed over time it is often apparent that they degrade at different rates, even though no differences in treatment or environment are present. Thus, in applying gamma-process models to such data, it is necessary to allow for such unexplained differences. In the present paper this is accomplished by constructing a tractable gamma-process model incorporating a random effect. The model is fitted to some data on crack growth and corresponding goodness-of-fit tests are carried out. Prediction calculations for failure times defined in terms of degradation level passages are developed and illustrated.     

论竹林七贤的“无意为文”

阮籍、嵇康诗之无题化现象说明竹林七贤无意为文。这种创作态度的理论基础是嵇康“性动说” ,性动说的本质是任自然。无意为文表现在作品中就是师心使气 ,其长处是情浓言简、新颖独特 ;短处是“漫衍”。七贤所处的险恶社会环境激活了其原始诗性精神 ,导致其创作既有玄言文学 ,也有忧生之作 ,后者奏出了正始文学最强音     

七夕五考

七夕宗教文化现象无比繁杂而又影响甚巨,古今中外学者虽多有研究而始终不得要领。本文综合运用历史文献学和文化人类学的方法,比较全面地考证了这一宗教文化现象的来龙去脉,为相关宗教神话、天文历法、民族迁徙、民风民俗、文学艺术的研究开拓了新的道路。作者认为,中国几千年来无比繁杂的七夕宗教文化均当源于夏人的原始宗教和天文历法。原始夏历纪日,当兼顾月亮盈亏规律和夏人宗教信仰,而将一月四分为一七、二七、三七、四七,所余时日当另作月尾,以应女人行经之期。一七、二七,月呈死而复生状,象征先妣生命力、生殖力均得复活,且有无限生命神力,故古人祭之,意在假借月神女神两种生命神力;三七、四七,月呈将死状,象征先妣生殖力、生命力均渐死去,无力可借,故古人不祭。古人“七夕”祭祀先,意在祈祷活人“长生又长生”;又有“七七”丧葬礼,则欲祈祷死者复活,“长生再长生”,佛教只是附会了中国的这一原始宗教而已。古人“七夕”祭祀先后,青年男女无论婚否均可纵情野合,暂时恢复群婚时代的自由,但已婚男女只能一年一度才可放纵,平日则被严禁越轨,这才是牛郎织女神话的本像。西王母本称“西母”,亦称“希母遮”、“西摩”、“西膜”,本是西北羌戎的“母虎工”,其神话最晚从殷代开始传入中原,并最晚在汉代