论企业组织创新风险

企业组织创新伴随着巨大风险 ,导致创新行为的失败。风险蛰伏在以人为中心、以组织结构为中心和组织流程为中心的组织创新内容中 ,通过创新动机、战略、整合和速度等创新行为要素表现出来。造成创新风险的原因在于企业组织创新动因机理的复杂性、运行过程的动态不平衡性以及组织创新环境与条件的变动性诸方面。     

加强学习把握思路--新形势下高校学生思想工作者必须关注的两个重要方面

着重论述了新形势下高校思想教育工作者应该关注的两个重要方面。其一为加强学习提高自身素质 ,适应时代要求 ,其二为在具体学生工作中应当把握的几个重要方面 ,包括工作思路、道德教育、价值取向 ,以及实践教育、心理素质教育、创新教育等。学习与育人 ,构成了思想工作者提高工作成效的两个基本方面     

被消解了的英雄主义

2 0世纪 80年代以后 ,中国文学经历了先锋文学、新写实主义、新现实主义冲击波、民间化等历程 ,在这一历程中 ,英雄主义被有力地消解了 ,但正是这种消解 ,才有文学精神的愤激和呐喊 ,重塑英雄主义才有可能。     

吾有志在丘壑--论辛弃疾的园林审美意识和人生态度

辛弃疾起义南归之后,与山水园林结下了不解之缘,他游览过许多湖山胜景,建造了自己的第宅园林,并创作了大量的与山水园林有关的词篇.他以多彩的笔墨描绘了自然山水和庭园风光,表现出崇尚自然、虚淡的审美意识,并在一定程度上抒写了随遇而安、超然放旷的人生态度.     

唐宋变革论体系的演化

自近代以来，由日本学者构筑的唐宋变革论体系，伴随时代的发展与新的知识资源的扩充，呈现出不断发展变化的趋势。本文旨在揭示这一演化的历史过程，尝试着分析这一过程变动发展的原因，并由此作出区别于以往的评价。     

Implied Preference for Seismic Design Level and Earthquake Insurance

Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies.     

小说的生命叙事与人的生命建构

生命叙事把对人类肉身生存境况的关怀逐步推进到类似宗教境界的精神追求；它描述生命从物质到精神的孕育、产生、冲突、升腾的变化过程，是在对生命现实反思基础上的想像和升华。生命叙事的起点及归宿都是对蓬勃的生命状态的渴望和追求，它把叩问人类心灵的意义、建构理想的生命作为自己的神圣使命。     

近代资本主义生产生活方式对中国传统慈善事业的影响——以北京为例

以交通、通讯、新闻舆论等为典型代表的近代西方资本主义生产与生活方式传入中国后，它们或便利救济物资的调配，或加速救助对象的区域流动，或监督与制约救济事务的运转，或宣传与流播新型慈善思想等，从整体上对中国传统慈善活动的近代转型发挥强大的刺激与推动作用。     

浅议民事责任竞合

违约责任与侵权责任竞合是由于某种违反民事义务的行为既符合违约责任构成要件又符合侵权责任构成要件 ,从而在法律上导致多种民事责任并存和冲突所产生的现象。因此 ,采取责任聚合与自由选择诉因的措施来解决责任竟合 ,以期充分保护受害方权利 ,消灭责任重叠可能导致的不公平 ,合并不重叠部分的责任。     

Non-ignorable missing covariate data in survival analysis: a case-study of an International Breast Cancer Study Group trial

Summary.  Non-ignorable missing data, a serious problem in both clinical trials and observational studies, can lead to biased inferences. Quality-of-life measures have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. However, these measures are often incompletely observed, and investigators may suspect that missing quality-of-life data are likely to be non-ignorable. Although several recent references have addressed missing covariates in survival analysis, they all required the assumption that missingness is at random or that all covariates are discrete. We present a method for estimating the parameters in the Cox proportional hazards model when missing covariates may be non-ignorable and continuous or discrete. Our method is useful in reducing the bias and improving efficiency in the presence of missing data. The methodology clearly specifies assumptions about the missing data mechanism and, through sensitivity analysis, helps investigators to understand the potential effect of missing data on study results.