Older Carers of Adults with a Learning Disability Confront the Future: Issues and Preferences in Planning

The Valuing People White Paper (Department of Health, 2001)requires services to secure a plan for all service-users withlearning disabilities living with older carers and promisesthem and their families more choice and control over how andwhere they live. This paper examines the views of the oldercarers (aged over seventy) of sixty-two adults with a learningdisability about planning for the future. Fifty-six took partin interviews in their own homes and six completed a questionnaire.All carers were white and recruited from one local authorityin response to the requirements of the White Paper. Findingsindicate that a significant proportion (thirty-four—55per cent) is either not ready or is unwilling to make futureplans. Barriers to planning include a perceived lack of needdue to the existence of two carers, a lack of awareness of timescalesinvolved in securing housing, difficulties in letting go, alack of confidence in available housing options, and the existenceof mutually supportive relationships. The findings show a needfor a proactive approach to information and support provisionto enable these families to work through a process of makingplans for the future. This is essential to prevent the needfor emergency placements in response to crisis and in turn toensure that adults with learning disabilities have genuine choiceand involvement in how and where they live.     

改革开放30年来反腐倡廉建设的理论与实践

改革开放30年来，在党中央领导下，中央和各级纪委全面履行职责，反腐倡廉建设的理论和实践取得了巨大成就。实践上，保证党的路线方针政策贯彻执行，纠正不正之风，促进干部廉洁自律，出台法规制度，加强党内监督，依纪办案，推进体制机制制度改革，维护党员权利，加强国际合作；理论上，为马克思主义理论宝库做出了伟大贡献。面向未来，全党必须进一步提高认识，增强自觉性和紧迫感，加大惩治力度，更加注重预防和制度建设，注重落实。     

专业培养目标的转变与高校学分制的未来发展

在高校专业培养方案中,培养目标是必不可少的项目,它统领了专业培养方案的整体设计与规划。随着高等教育内外部环境的变迁,特别是包括社会价值和高等教育价值观念在内的情境变迁,这一项目正由"国家计划订制"向"适应社会制订"转变,以此为切入点,结合高校办学的实际,提出高校学分制理念在未来的发展方向将是长期的有限度学分制。     

世界油气资源现状及未来趋势预测

石油作为一种不可再生的稀缺资源,作为人类社会第一大能源,在21世纪前50年将不可能被大规模替代,仍将是世界经济发展的重要支撑和现代社会的动力基础。世界油气资源的变化以及未来趋势均会对中国经济产生重大影响。基于世界油气资源现状分析的基础上,对未来世界油气资源供需总量、结构变化以及国际油价变化等重大问题进行预测,以探讨其应对之策。     

O2O电子商务:动力、模式与前景分析

电子商务交易中消费人群必须上网、诚信体系不完善、线上推广成本日益提升、物流配送覆盖有限等问题,均导致电子商务无法对传统线下销售形成颠覆性改变。这就导致业界中出现了线上交易与线下交易的结合方式,即O2O电子商务。本文从对消费者价值、对电商企业的角度分析了O2O电子商务模式发展的动力所在,并根据O2O的特点总结出适合采用O2O模式的商品类型即服务型和体验型的产品。其次,本文总结了O2O商务发展的遭到创新、诚信和线上流量等瓶颈,接着分析了单纯线上和线下企业发展O2O电子商务面临的挑战和问题。最后展望了O2O模式未来的发展,即未来的O2O将是一种多层次、多维度的复合生态体系,不断向多元化和纵深化发展。     

Constructing Clean Dreams: Accounts,Future Selves,and Social and Structural Support as Desistance Work

This article investigates the discourse individuals use when talking about desisting from criminal offending. I analyze the links between offenders’ accounts of past negative behavior, their construction of their possible “clean” future selves, and the social and structural conditions in which they were raised and continue to be embedded. Applying Scott and Lyman's (1968) framework on accounts and Markus and Nurius's (1986) framework of possible selves to interview data with twenty‐eight criminal offenders, I illustrate how excuses for past behavior provide a way for people to distance themselves from their past selves in attempts to preserve or re‐create a possible self that is still worthy to be redeemed in the future. This discourse becomes one mechanism that motivates individuals to change their lives—but it can be short‐lived. The analysis highlights how limited structural opportunities influence individuals’ lifestyles and behaviors, how individuals approach the desistance process even in the face of structural deprivation, and how they attempt to sustain this desistance process.     

论我国呆帐准备金制度的未来选择

贷款呆帐准备金制度是国际上商业银行普遍采用的弥补贷款损失的制度。改革我国现有呆帐准备金制度 ,是我国当前金融制度改革中的一个重要内容     

Bayes prediction of number of failures in weibull samples

This work is concerned with the Bayesian prediction problem of the number of components which will fail in a future time interval, when the failure times are Weibull distributed. Both the 1-sample and the 2-sample prediction problems are dealed with, and some choices of the prior densities on the distribution parameters are discussed which are relatively easy to work with and allow different degrees of knowledge on the failure mechanism to be incorporated in the predictive procedure. Useful relations between the predictive distribution on the number of future failures and the predictive distribution on the future failure times are derived. Numerical examples are also given.     

我国企业专利发展战略新探

我国专利领域面临严峻考验与危机,入世过程中的法律移植使专利法律制度快速成熟,而理应作为专利权核心主体的企业在专利意识、专利人才、专利创造、专利保护等方面的现状却相当稚嫩,极不利于应对专利法制化条件下的知识经济与经济全球化.企业的当务之急就是制定与实施实事求是的专利发展战略,从专利意识的培育、人力资源的运作模式、专利存量的保护与利用、专利增量的原始取得与继受取得等方面形成企业的专利特色,力求改变在国际竞争中的劣势地位与被动局面,获得应有的发展空间.     

中国译学标准的回顾与反思

随着译学研究和学科建设的发展 ,译学标准研究越来越受到人们关注。本文就不同历史时期国内主要译学标准进行了简要回顾 ,并探讨了其流变规律。文章还进一步将译学标准置于民族文化语境中 ,细致分析了传统思维方式、价值取向、文化语言对其影响。最后 ,在分析国内译学标准研究现状的基础上 ,对未来研究进行了思考