A methodological strategy for a one-number census in the UK

As a result of lessons learnt from the 1991 census, a research programme was set up to seek improvements in census methodology. Underenumeration has been placed top of the agenda in this programme, and every effort is being made to achieve as high a coverage as possible in the 2001 census. In recognition, however, that 100% coverage will never be achieved, the one-number census (ONC) project was established to measure the degree of underenumeration in the 2001 census and, if possible, to adjust fully the outputs from the census for that undercount. A key component of this adjustment process is a census coverage survey (CCS). This paper presents an overview of the ONC project, focusing on the design and analysis methodology for the CCS. It also presents results that allow the reader to evaluate the robustness of this methodology.     

诸葛草庐南阳襄阳之争的形成和发展

关于诸葛草庐所在地的争论已有上千年的历史。西晋时期未有人对诸葛亮"躬耕于南阳"提出疑问。东晋南北朝时期有人称襄阳隆中有诸葛亮"故宅"、隆中隶属南阳郡邓县、隆中即为躬耕地,但因与古代文献中对秦汉时期南阳郡与南郡之间界标的记载相左,不能使人信服。唐宋时期南阳诸葛庐、南阳诸葛亮名扬天下,大量文献记载诸葛亮躬耕受三顾于南阳。元明时期官修史书持南阳说。清代对诸葛草庐所在地众说纷纭。民国时期南襄两说并存。20世纪80年代末因发行"三顾茅庐"邮票而引发了一场波及全国、旷日持久的争论。"教科书事件"使草庐之争再度升温。     

高校教工慢性病及其危险因素现状调查

2012年1月—2013年1月,对几所高校1 268名教工慢性病的发病情况及危险因素进了行分析.结果表明,随着年龄增长,女性患高血压、高脂血症及肥胖、超重的比例均呈增高趋势;而55岁以下的男性,肥胖和超重人数随年龄增长而增多,大于55岁者则渐趋下降.糖尿病和高血压患者无性别差异,其他慢性病的患病率均为男性高于女性.高脂血症和高血压随体重指数(BMI)的增高而有上升之势,而体重指数与糖尿病的患病率无明显相关性.肥胖、超重或消瘦的教职工,其糖尿病患病率均高于标准体重指数的人群.     

论我国高校“人文教育”本科专业设置之必要性

深化高等教育改革,优化专业学科结构与人才培养模式,成为了提升高等教育质量的时代主题.高等教育设置"人文教育"本科专业之必要性表现为:全面推进素质教育,深化新课程改革的迫切需要;深化高师教育改革,优化学科专业结构的理性选择;服务地方经济,发展各项人文事业的逻辑定位;配合构建和谐社会,弘扬人文精神的必要举措.     

How Does the General Public Evaluate Risk Information? The Impact of Associations with Other Risks

There is a considerable body of knowledge about the way people perceive risks using heuristics and qualitative characteristics, and about how risk information should be communicated to the public. However, little is known about the way people use the perception of known risks (associated risks) to judge an unknown risk. In a first, qualitative study, six different risks were discussed in in-depth interviews and focus group interviews. The interviews showed that risk associations played a prominent role in forming risk perceptions. Associated risks were often mentioned spontaneously. Second, a survey study was conducted to confirm the importance of risk associations quantitatively. This study investigated whether people related unknown risks to known risks. This was indeed confirmed. Furthermore, some insight was gained into how and why people form risk associations. Results showed that the semantic category of the unknown risks was more important in forming associations than the perceived level of risk or specific risk characteristics. These findings were in line with the semantic network theory. Based on these two studies, we recommend using the mental models approach in developing new risk communications.     

The Possibility of Mixed-Mode Surveys in Sociological Studies

Abstract:  This paper explores the possibility of the mixed-mode survey in Japan in order to ensure a wider range of respondents, focusing on the specific type of mixture that is designed to make contact with a respondent by more than one mode and in which a respondent can choose an alternative mode convenient for him or her. The dataset mainly used comes from the survey Study on the Social Composition of the Urban Local Community conducted in Shinagawa Ward of Tokyo in 1999. Three other studies are introduced for additional information. As an indicator of the effectiveness of a mixed-mode design, the response rates of four studies are examined and some improvement in the response rates is observed, compared to that of a single-mode design. Another indicator is the representativeness of a sample and it is evaluated using the data of the Shinagawa survey. When the discrepancy between valid respondents and the population on some demographic characteristics is regarded as representation bias, a mixed-mode design is found to reduce the bias. An inherent problem in a mixed-mode design is "mode effect." In order to control for the mode effect in analyses, the inclusion of an additional variable indicating "mode" in the model is recommended. It is further suggested that the interaction effects between the "mode" and the respondents' traits should be checked, on the assumption that the survey mode affects respondents differently. The attempts are made and discussed in this paper using two variables drawn from the Shinagawa survey.     

《绿野仙踪》百年研究综述

《绿野仙踪》研究百年,最初颇受名家推崇,不久即被冷落;近20年来出版与有关研究逐渐增多,空前受到读者欢迎和专家的注重。百年来有关研究,主要涉及作者籍贯、抄本与刻本、题材与文体、思想与文化意蕴、构思与结构、人物形象及总体评价等问题,诸家持论不一。但有关研究大都是就某一或某几个方面问题有所深入,全面系统的研究尚属少见。     

Multilevel modelling of refusal and non-contact in household surveys: evidence from six UK Government surveys

Summary.  We analyse household unit non-response in six major UK Government surveys by using a multilevel multinomial modelling approach. The models are guided by current conceptual frameworks and theories of survey participation. One key feature of the analysis is the investigation of the extent to which effects of household characteristics are survey specific. The analysis is based on the 2001 UK Census Link Study, which is a unique source of data containing an unusually rich set of auxiliary variables. The study contains the response outcome of six surveys, linked to census data and interviewer observations for both respondents and non-respondents.     

粮食主产区农户稻作经营行为的调查与分析——基于江西省26县1058户农户调查数据

对江西省粮食主产区8个地级市26县32乡（镇）1058户农户进行问卷调查，内容涉及样本农户的稻作经营行为意愿及其影响因素的村域特征、农户户主及家庭特征、农户生产经营特征、对粮食补贴政策的认知及其它行为控制认知特征。在具体分析调查内容的基础上提出激励江西农户发展水稻生产的若干政策建议。     

以就业为导向的会计本科教育的培养目标研究——基于国内部分高校的问卷调查

文章从会计职业技能和全国14所高校的调查数据两方面对会计本科教育的培养目标进行分析,提出了以就业为导向的培养目标:培养具有良好的会计职业道德、具有扎实的经济管理理论基础、具备较强的会计专业技能、能适应社会经济发展需要、胜任会计工作的应用复合型人才.