首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   125165篇
  免费   3436篇
  国内免费   1373篇
管理学   2407篇
劳动科学   28篇
民族学   1914篇
人才学   10篇
人口学   1690篇
丛书文集   16977篇
理论方法论   5665篇
综合类   91787篇
社会学   4965篇
统计学   4531篇
  2024年   208篇
  2023年   644篇
  2022年   936篇
  2021年   1059篇
  2020年   1365篇
  2019年   1362篇
  2018年   1345篇
  2017年   1679篇
  2016年   1764篇
  2015年   2368篇
  2014年   5767篇
  2013年   7318篇
  2012年   7281篇
  2011年   8732篇
  2010年   7119篇
  2009年   7319篇
  2008年   7749篇
  2007年   9801篇
  2006年   9860篇
  2005年   9162篇
  2004年   8737篇
  2003年   8457篇
  2002年   6915篇
  2001年   5743篇
  2000年   3394篇
  1999年   975篇
  1998年   472篇
  1997年   382篇
  1996年   336篇
  1995年   273篇
  1994年   213篇
  1993年   172篇
  1992年   134篇
  1991年   116篇
  1990年   70篇
  1989年   63篇
  1988年   64篇
  1987年   19篇
  1986年   25篇
  1985年   96篇
  1984年   100篇
  1983年   72篇
  1982年   65篇
  1981年   59篇
  1980年   50篇
  1979年   53篇
  1978年   46篇
  1977年   16篇
  1976年   11篇
  1975年   6篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 8 毫秒
691.
For a linear regression model over m populations with separate regression coefficients but a common error variance, a Bayesian model is employed to obtain regression coefficient estimates which are shrunk toward an overall value. The formulation uses Normal priors on the coefficients and diffuse priors on the grand mean vectors, the error variance, and the between-to-error variance ratios. The posterior density of the parameters which were given diffuse priors is obtained. From this the posterior means and variances of regression coefficients and the predictive mean and variance of a future observation are obtained directly by numerical integration in the balanced case, and with the aid of series expansions in the approximately balanced case. An example is presented and worked out for the case of one predictor variable. The method is an extension of Box & Tiao's Bayesian estimation of means in the balanced one-way random effects model.  相似文献   
692.
ABSTRACT

We develop Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for estimating the parameters of the short-term interest rate model. Using Monte Carlo experiments we compare the Bayes estimators with the maximum likelihood and generalized method of moments estimators. We estimate the model using the Japanese overnight call rate data.  相似文献   
693.
In this article we investigate a class of moment-based estimators, called power method estimators, which can be almost as efficient as maximum likelihood estimators and achieve a lower asymptotic variance than the standard zero term method and method of moments estimators. We investigate different methods of implementing the power method in practice and examine the robustness and efficiency of the power method estimators.  相似文献   
694.
In this article, based on progressively Type-II censored samples from a heterogeneous population that can be represented by a finite mixture of two-component Rayleigh lifetime model, the problem of estimating the parameters and some lifetime parameters (reliability and hazard functions) are considered. Both Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators are of interest. A class of natural conjugate prior densities is considered in the Bayesian setting. The Bayes estimators are obtained using both the symmetric (squared error) loss function, and the asymmetric (LINEX and General Entropy) loss functions. It has been seen that the estimators obtained can be easily evaluated for this type of censoring by using suitable numerical methods. Finally, the performance of the estimates have been compared on the basis of their simulated maximum square error via a Monte Carlo simulation study.  相似文献   
695.
In this article, three methods of combining dependent univariate tests are studied. The Bahadur approximate efficiencies are derived under the asymptotic normal assumption. These procedures are applied to the multivariate location problem and compared with two Hotelling-type tests. A Monte Carlo study indicates that in certain cases the powers of the combination methods are much better than Hotelling's T 2 and other multivariate nonparametric tests.  相似文献   
696.
Gluing Copulas     
We present a new way of constructing n-copulas, by scaling and gluing finitely many n-copulas. Gluing for bivariate copulas produces a copula that coincides with the independence copula on some grid of horizontal and vertical sections. Examples illustrate how gluing can be applied to build complicated copulas from simple ones. Finally, we investigate the analytical as well as statistical properties of the copulas obtained by gluing, in particular, the behavior of Spearman's ρ and Kendall's τ.  相似文献   
697.
This paper extends the work of Russell (1976). Proof Is given that, for many parameter sets, all O:XB designs belonging to the set are connected. It is shown how an (M,S)-optinal design nay be selected from the M-optimal designs of a given parameter set. The efficiencies of these (M,S)-optimal designs are displayed, and it is concluded that the (M,S)-optimality criterion is useful for selecting designs of high efficiency.  相似文献   
698.
A distribution function is estimated by a kernel method with

a poinrwise mean squared error criterion at a point x. Relation- ships between the mean squared error, the point x, the sample size and the required kernel smoothing parazeter are investigated for several distributions treated by Azzaiini (1981). In particular it is noted that at a centre of symmetry or near a mode of the distribution the kernei method breaks down. Point- wise estimation of a distribution function is motivated as a more useful technique than a reference range for preliminary medical diagnosis.  相似文献   
699.
A study is made of Neyman's C(a) test for testing independence in nonnormal situations. It is shown that it performs very well both in terms of the level of significance and the powereven for smallvalues of the samplesize. Also, in the case of the bivariate Polsson distribution, itis shown that Fisher's z and Student's t transforms of the sample correlation coefficient are good competitors for Neyman's procedure.

  相似文献   
700.
The treatment sum of squares in the one-way analysis of variance can be expressed in two different ways: as a sum of comparisons between each treatment and the remaining treatments combined, or as a sum of comparisons between the treatments two at a time. When comparisons between treatments are made with the Wilcoxon rank sum statistic, these two expressions lead to two different tests; namely, that of Kruskal and Wallis and one which is essentially the same as that proposed by Crouse (1961,1966). The latter statistic is known to be asymptotically distributed as a chi-squared variable when the numbers of replicates are large. Here it is shown to be asymptotically normal when the replicates are few but the number of treatments is large. For all combinations of numbers of replicates and treatments its empirical distribution is well approximated by a beta distribution  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号