非线性社会发展轨迹和当代中国之历史跨越

历史唯物主义在坚持经济必然性对社会历史进程的决定作用的同时 ,也承认其他因素交互作用对历史发展的影响 ,从而使社会主体能够在客观形成的可能性空间中自由地选择适合自身发展的理想途径和实现模式 ,使社会发展轨迹呈现出明显的非线性特征。当代中国社会主体选择适合自己发展的社会主义道路和发展模式 ,是对资本主义社会形态的“跨越”,是历史发展中非线性辨证图景的展现     

On the Choice of the Ridge Parameter: A Maximum Entropy Approach

In this article, a new method to estimate the ridge parameter, based on the ridge trace and an analytical method borrowed from maximum entropy, is presented. The performance of the new estimator is illustrated through a Monte Carlo simulation study and an empirical application to the well-known Portland cement data set.     

解读汉民族潜意识的文本

后现代哲学思潮的最伟大成就之一就是发现了历史给文化留下的踪迹(trace),尤其是语词的意义变化之后原有的义项留下的踪迹,往往以潜意识的形式影响本族语者的认知和行为.汉字由象形字转化而来.原始的图画从象似性变为索引性和指称性,外延变成了内涵.作为踪迹发挥作用的具象性从整体上桎梏着中国人的思维.中国文化的观念模型完全集中在三个关键的汉字"易"、"仁"、"祖"的意义之内.外延封闭内涵进一步加强了踪迹塑造中国人的人格、性格、品格的潜意识效应.     

Online collective identity: The case of the environmental movement

Social movements are making extensive communicative and organizational use of the Internet in order to identify social problems and bring about change. We present a model of an online social movement, where actors exchange practical and symbolic resources through hyperlink and online frame networks. Our positioning of these exchanges within a continuum of conscious and unconscious expressive behavior informs our framework for the empirical analysis of online collectives. An application using data collected from the websites of over 160 environmental activist organizations reveals significant fragmentation in this field of contentious activity, which we suggest reflects offline social divisions.     

综合利用各类物证认定肇事车辆的探讨

随着各种交通工具的普及,交通肇事案件越来越多,仅从痕迹物证或微量物证来认定肇事责任的案件日益困难。只有将两者综合利用,才能提高破案率。     

多糖微量元素络合物添加剂在肉鸡的试用效果研究

以含Fe、Cu、Zn、Mn等量的无机微量元素(Ⅱ组)、复合氨基酸微量元素螯合物(Ⅲ组)和自制多糖微量元素络合物(Ⅳ组)分别添加于相同的基础日粮中试喂肉鸡。结果表明:Fe、Zn、Mn的吸收利用率以Ⅳ组最高,Ⅱ组最低,而Cu的吸收利用率却与之相反,Ⅳ组与Ⅱ组间差异显著(P<0.05)。肉鸡生长率以Ⅳ组最高,与Ⅱ组差异极显著(P<0.01)。料重比Ⅳ组最低,与Ⅱ组差异显著(P<0.05)。Ⅳ组与Ⅲ组间吸收利用率、生长率、料重比差异均不显著(P>0.05)。各组鸡肝、肾、肌肉中这四种微量元素含量均无显著差异(P>0.05),都合符FDA卫生标准。饲用经济效益,Ⅳ组分别比Ⅱ组和Ⅲ组提高20.22％和3.87％。     

磁化水对鸡血象和微量元素的影响

本文研究磁化水对鸡血象和微量元素的影响．结果表明，磁化水喂９０—１０５日令青年鸡后对血红蛋白、白细胞均无显著影响．Ｐ＞０．０５．而非常显著地能降低锌（Ｚｎ）的含量，Ｐ＜０．０１     

《西游记》故事本事考

《西游记》中的故事多有本事可考,本文聊举十则。孙悟空龙宫得到金箍棒、祭赛国索回佛宝、金兜洞丢失金箍棒皆取自《法苑珠林》。孙悟空偷蟠桃后遭天兵围剿取材于《太平广记》。孙悟空与如来斗法的故事与《大般涅槃经》的相关记载大同小异。人参果似是《神异经》与《酉阳杂俎》里的两种异果"杂交"而成。孙悟空与鹿力大仙的比赛内容是《拾遗记》里提到的浣肠。女儿国最确切的原型是《后汉书·东夷传》里的女国。木仙庵谈诗的场景完全来自于《东阳夜怪录》。比丘国以小儿心肝入药的故事脱胎于《新唐书·杨虞卿传》。孙悟空随处召问土地的情节则来自于《吴越春秋》。     

Measurement-Error Diagnostics and the Sex Discrimination Problem

Numerical and graphical diagnostic tools are presented for studying the effect of explanatory-variable measurement errors on regression results when very rough knowledge about the measurement-error variances or reliabilities is available. These methods are exhibited on an example of sex discrimination in which male and female salaries are compared after adjustment for individual qualifications but the observed qualification variables are only proxies for what is actually desired. A measurement-error trace is suggested, much like a ridge trace, to exhibit effects of measurement errors of various sizes on the estimate of the adjusted sex difference in log salaries. An approximate Bayesian analysis for the simple functional model is also presented.     

国家政治化、社会经济化及其超越——中国国家发展的轨迹与走向

中国国家发展过程中出现了两种非常态现象国家政治化和社会经济化。分析了二者产生的原因、表现形式、后果,并在此基础上,指出了中国国家发展的未来方向。