A Bayesian Evidence Synthesis for Estimating Campylobacteriosis Prevalence

Stakeholders making decisions in public health and world trade need improved estimations of the burden‐of‐illness of foodborne infectious diseases. In this article, we propose a Bayesian meta‐analysis or more precisely a Bayesian evidence synthesis to assess the burden‐of‐illness of campylobacteriosis in France. Using this case study, we investigate campylobacteriosis prevalence, as well as the probabilities of different events that guide the disease pathway, by (i) employing a Bayesian approach on French and foreign human studies (from active surveillance systems, laboratory surveys, physician surveys, epidemiological surveys, and so on) through the chain of events that occur during an episode of illness and (ii) including expert knowledge about this chain of events. We split the target population using an exhaustive and exclusive partition based on health status and the level of disease investigation. We assume an approximate multinomial model over this population partition. Thereby, each observed data set related to the partition brings information on the parameters of the multinomial model, improving burden‐of‐illness parameter estimates that can be deduced from the parameters of the basic multinomial model. This multinomial model serves as a core model to perform a Bayesian evidence synthesis. Expert knowledge is introduced by way of pseudo‐data. The result is a global estimation of the burden‐of‐illness parameters with their accompanying uncertainty.     

Caregivers' perspectives on the SafeCare® programme: Implementing an evidence‐based intervention for child neglect

This qualitative study examined caregivers' experiences with SafeCare®, an evidence‐based programme that focuses on child neglect through modules on health, safety, and parenting. Shortly after completing SafeCare, 30 caregivers participated in a semi‐structured interview about their experiences with the programme. Overall, caregivers indicated that the programme helped with improvements in their parenting skills. Among the factors that contributed to a positive experience were the simplicity of language, the skills‐based approach, and the quality of the relationship with the SafeCare provider. Caregivers also noted several factors that made it difficult to fully benefit from the programme, including financial constraints, removal of their child from the home, and general distrust towards the child welfare system. Findings provide relevant information for SafeCare providers in terms of identifying areas that work well for caregivers completing the programme, as well as areas that might serve as impediments. Implications for contemporary child welfare practice are also considered.     

先验还原与现象学的世界问题

胡塞尔的先验现象学从怀疑论所揭示的自然认识的超越之谜入思,遵循直观明见性的原则,以向原初的经验视域回溯的最终奠基观念为引导,论证了先验还原的必然性。借此,通过先验还原的具体实行,开启了先验经验的研究领域。最终,在经验的视域结构的揭示中,凸显出现象学的世界问题性。     

证据损害理论：潜伏性毒物致害侵权诉讼中的可选择理论

在潜伏性毒物致害侵权诉讼中,由于经历时间久远、证据缺失以及造成损害结果的事实不确定等因素,对诉讼裁判的准确性造成极大困难。不确定性的存在以及后来法庭无法对事实进行裁定,有时是由于当事人的不当行为所致。这些不当行为人才应该对案件事实的不确定性以及相应的致错风险承担责任。是否应该让这些当事人承担这种证据损害的责任、其法律标准应该如何设置以及对于那些遭受证据损害者法律应该给予他们何种救济都是这种特殊侵权诉讼中可选择理论———证据损害理论所要探讨的重大议题。     

以正当程序来审视瑕疵证据的补正和合理解释

正当程序理念是英美法系法律思想、法律传统的体现,是公民个人所享有公平的最低限度标准,也是人类对正义理想的追求。从正当程序角度审视瑕疵证据的补正和合理解释,通过分析我国司法实务中对瑕疵证据的补正和合理解释的适用情形,说明在立法和司法上对正当程序的偏离,进而回归瑕疵证据本身,以后来看其对正当程序的影响。     

论刑事证据的法律分类

本文对刑事证据的“种类”、“分类”之称谓进行辨析,认为两者实质含义一致,进而提出采 用“法律上的分类”与“理论上的分类”的观点。作者立足我国刑事证据的立法分类,分析其规定不足, 建议重新分类,特别指出刑事证据分类应注视一、二审的转化问题和与今后将建立的证据规则相衔接 问题。     

The probabilistic analysis of testimony

The probabilistic analysis of testimony is surveyed. The coverage is not comprehensive; attention is focused on several problems of particular interest or complexity. The theory often contains implicit assumptions, and some attempt is made to clarify the role these play. The theory originally arose in an attempt to understand the logic of belief. It was not empirically grounded, however, and later died out in the 19th century when its conclusions became largely self-evident, and its non-empirical background suspect.     

"感性与知性的共同根"之辨--《纯粹理性批判》导言的一个微观考察

康德在《纯粹理性批判》导言中曾经提出了“感性与知性的共同根”这一重要问题,但长期被忽视。实际上,感性和知性的共同根并非如康德所言“不为我们所知”,而是清楚明白地存在于我们心中,它就是先验想象力。先验想象力和生产性想象力、纯粹想象力是同一的,但与再生性想象力和先验统觉有显著区别,因为先验想象力是纯粹的自发性,不仅是感性接受性的自发性的根,而且是知性自发性的根,它在康德知识论中,甚至在他的整个哲学中都具有奠基性作用。     

从适用到规范——论民事诉讼中的“策略取证”

民事诉讼中"陷阱取证"这一概念存在较大争议,用"策略取证"将其替代,并对"策略取证"进行严格界定,通过对其源起、概念、可行性及价值诉求作详细的探究,为此概念及相关制度顺利移植到民事诉讼中创造了条件.     

哲学的两种改造——罗蒂与阿佩尔哲学比较

19世纪末、20世纪初西方哲学陷入了困境,"语言学转向"是哲学家们为使哲学走出困境而进行探索的一种产物.罗蒂与阿佩尔都认为这一"转向"不够成功,未能使哲学走出困境.为此他们各自提出了自己的改造方案.罗蒂的后哲学文化强调剥夺哲学的特权,使之融入文化的领域之中,成为一个平等的对话者;阿佩尔的先验语用学则强调哲学应建立在主体间性维度的基础上,仍坚持先验语用学具有奠基的功能,先验语用学把先验哲学、语言分析哲学、解释学和实用主义等有机地结合起来,使之成为第一哲学的第三范式.相对而言,阿佩尔的哲学改造更具有合理性.