重视城市化过程中的人口分布变化——以上海市为例

上海几十万、上百万户籍人口从内环线以内迁到内环线以外 ,这给迁出地、迁入地的社会、经济、教育、卫生、治安等各方面带来一系列新的变化和问题 ,是一个带有全局性影响的大问题。这种数公里数十公里范围内的人口分布变化 ,必将影响上海整个城市形态、城市结构 ,有利于新型的城乡结合型的新城的建成。上海有六千多平方公里冲积平原 ,有广阔的发展空间 ,应不断扩大城市化地域范围 ,与其国际经济中心城市之一相匹配。     

Les carrières de cadres au cœur des restructurations : la recomposition des effets de genre ? L’internationalisation d’un groupe français en Angleterre et en Hongrie

The effects of corporate restructuring on managerial careers have not often been analyzed, especially not from a gendered perspective. As two cases of mergers and acquisitions studied in England and Hungary show, new windows of opportunity might open for women's careers, but a reinforced model of “masculine-neutral” activity hardens the glass ceiling for those (in particular women) who are unable to comply with its expectations.     

A multilevel perspective of the identity transition to motherhood

This study examines the identity transition of women when they become mothers and return to work. Twenty‐two first‐time mothers were interviewed at two points in time: just after giving birth and on re‐entry into employment after maternity leave. The findings suggest that this transition is influenced by multiple factors on different levels which include individual factors, such as partner support and career aspirations, organizational factors such as family‐friendly work practices and role models, and societal factors such as social norms and attitudes towards the maternal body. The findings highlight the importance of context by stressing the interrelated nature of factors on the micro‐, meso‐ and macro‐level in order to better understand the identity transition to motherhood.     

再就业工程法律对策论纲

我国再就业立法所要确立的目标模式应是“国家宏观调控下适度的市场就业机制”,再就业 立法应建立起以就业促进法、就业安定法、就业保障法为主体的框架体系。本文从四个方面 提出了再就业问题法律对策的基本思路和若干设想,特别提到了对下岗行为进行法律规制的必要性。     

A Bayesian adaptive blinded sample size adjustment method for risk differences

Adaptive sample size adjustment (SSA) for clinical trials consists of examining early subsets of on trial data to adjust estimates of sample size requirements. Blinded SSA is often preferred over unblinded SSA because it obviates many logistical complications of the latter and generally introduces less bias. On the other hand, current blinded SSA methods for binary data offer little to no new information about the treatment effect, ignore uncertainties associated with the population treatment proportions, and/or depend on enhanced randomization schemes that risk partial unblinding. I propose an innovative blinded SSA method for use when the primary analysis is a non‐inferiority or superiority test regarding a risk difference. The method incorporates evidence about the treatment effect via the likelihood function of a mixture distribution. I compare the new method with an established one and with the fixed sample size study design, in terms of maximization of an expected utility function. The new method maximizes the expected utility better than do the comparators, under a range of assumptions. I illustrate the use of the proposed method with an example that incorporates a Bayesian hierarchical model. Lastly, I suggest topics for future study regarding the proposed methods. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

论涉己态度问题--从心灵哲学与语言哲学的视角看

一般认为，涉己态度对传统关于态度及其归属的解释框架提出了挑战，即它引发人们重新考虑态度内容的本质及态度归属的语义解释问题。对此，文献中主要提出了三种解决方案———弗雷格式的解释、三元关系的解释和自我归属的解释。研究发现，这三种解决方案都存在问题，并且涉己态度的特殊性以及涉己态度报告在自然语言中的存在性也值得怀疑。鉴于此，论文提出涉己态度问题需要结合态度及态度归属研究领域的其他难题以及自然语言中的相关语言事实来进一步研究。     

A review and re‐interpretation of a group‐sequential approach to sample size re‐estimation in two‐stage trials

In this paper, we review the adaptive design methodology of Li et al. (Biostatistics 3 :277–287) for two‐stage trials with mid‐trial sample size adjustment. We argue that it is closer in principle to a group sequential design, in spite of its obvious adaptive element. Several extensions are proposed that aim to make it even more attractive and transparent alternative to a standard (fixed sample size) trial for funding bodies to consider. These enable a cap to be put on the maximum sample size and for the trial data to be analysed using standard methods at its conclusion. The regulatory view of trials incorporating unblinded sample size re‐estimation is also discussed. © 2014 The Authors. Pharmaceutical Statistics published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

兵团棉花购销体制改革的制度经济学分析

新疆生产建设兵团棉花购销体制通过阶段性改革,不断完善和创新。但是随着棉花市场全球化的发展,兵团棉花购销体制存在的问题日趋明显,已经威胁到了兵团棉花产业(兵团棉花产量占我国总产的1/4)的安全。该文运用相关制度经济学理论,对兵团棉花购销体制改革过程中的政策演变进行分析,重点对各购销主体间的委托代理关系进行博弈论证,最后提出:兵团农业经营制度改革和购销市场竞争结构完善,是兵团棉花购销体制改革的关键所在。     

城市扩张中失地农民再就业问题调查与思考——以栖霞区西岗街道观悔社区为例

近年来,城市扩张中的失地农民再就业问题被提高的征收补偿所掩盖。征收补偿并不能替代再就业。当前城市扩张中的失地农民再就业不充分、就业质量不高、稳定性差,邵分人再就业困难。原因在于失地农民工作技能、雏权能力缺乏;现有的再就业促进、培训服务不到位。在坚持市场化取向的前提下,应建立分类分层培训体系,完善就业促进服务机制,完善宏观再就业政策。